Warriors vs. Rockets Game 6 prediction, how to watch, TV channel, odds - May 2

The Golden State Warriors and Houston Rockets are doing battle in the opening round of the NBA Playoffs, with a decisive Game 6 coming up. Friday's matchup between the Warriors and the Rockets features the Warriors as 5.5-point favorites. A 208-point over/under is set for the game.

Here's everything you need to know to know about the Warriors-Rockets game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Warriors vs. Rockets Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Friday, May 2, 2025 at 9 p.m. ET
• Where: Chase Center in San Francisco, California
• TV: ESPN, NBCS-BA, and SCHN

Warriors vs. Rockets Prediction

ATS Pick: Rockets (+ 5.5)
O/U Pick: Over (208)
Score Prediction: Warriors 113 - Rockets 110

Warriors vs. Rockets Betting Insights

• Warriors games have finished over 208 points scored, their current matchup's total, 64 times (out of 82) this season.
• This year, 59 of the Rockets' 82 total matchups have gone over 208 total points scored.
• The two teams average a combined 20.1 more points per game (228.1) than this matchup's over/under of 208 points.
• The Warriors and the Rockets have seen their opponents average a combined 12.3 more points per game than the point total of 208 set in this outing.
• Golden State has come away with 35 wins in the 54 contests it has been listed as the favorite this season.
• Houston has been victorious in 11, or 39.3%, of the 28 contests it has been chosen as an underdog in this season.
• After the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Golden State has a 6-4 record against Houston.
• The Warriors also hold a 6-4 edge against the spread when taking on the Rockets.
• Against the point spread, the Rockets have failed to cover in three games in a row, and were the favorite in zero of those contests.

Warriors Recent Trends

• The Warriors have gone 5-5 in their last 10 games, with a 4-6 record against the spread in that span.
• Golden State's average total over the last 10 games is 7.4 points more than the 208 total listed for this matchup.
• The Warriors have played 82 games, with 41 wins against the spread.
• Golden State is 14-21 ATS when favored by 5.5 points or more this season.
• Warriors games this year have hit the over 42 times in 82 opportunities (51.2%).
• The 113.8 points per game the Warriors put up are only four more points than the Rockets give up (109.8).
• Golden State has a 33-18 record against the spread and a 39-12 record overall when scoring more than 109.8 points.
• The Warriors are shooting 45.1% from the field this season, 0.8 percentage points lower than the 45.9% the Rockets allow to opponents.
• The Warriors have done a better job covering the spread when playing on the road (23-17-1) than they have in home games (18-23-0).
• Golden State has eclipsed the total in 20 of 41 home games (48.8%). It has done better on the road, eclipsing the total in 22 of 41 matchups (53.7%).
• As a moneyline favorite, the Warriors have won a lower percentage of their games at home (.621) compared to road games (.680).

Warriors Recent Stats

Warriors Leaders

• Stephen Curry puts up 24.5 points, 4.4 rebounds and 6 assists per game. Defensively, he averages 1.1 steals and 0.4 blocks.
• Jimmy Butler puts up 17.5 points, 5.4 rebounds and 5.4 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 1.4 steals and 0.3 blocks.
• Draymond Green averages 9 points, 6.1 boards and 5.6 assists per game, shooting 42.4% from the field and 32.5% from downtown with 1.2 made 3-pointers per game.
• Brandin Podziemski averages 11.7 points, 3.4 assists and 5.1 rebounds.
• Buddy Hield posts 11.1 points, 3.2 boards and 1.6 assists per contest. At the other end he averages 0.8 steals and 0.3 blocks.

Warriors Player Props

Rockets Recent Trends

• The Rockets have a 5-5 record against the spread while finishing 4-6 overall over their last 10 contests.
• Houston's average total over the last 10 games is 8.3 points greater than the 208 over/under listed for this matchup.
• In the Rockets' 82 games this season, they have 42 wins against the spread.
• This season, Houston has an ATS record of 6-5 in its 11 games as an underdog of 5.5 points or more.
• Rockets games this year have hit the over on 46 of 82 set point totals (56.1%).
• The Rockets average just 3.8 more points per game (114.3) than the Warriors give up (110.5).
• Houston has put together a 32-17 ATS record and a 37-12 overall record in games it scores more than 110.5 points.
• The Rockets have shot at a 45.5% clip from the field this season, one percentage point less than the 46.5% shooting opponents of the Warriors have averaged.
• In 2024-25 against the spread, the Rockets have a lower winning percentage at home (.488, 20-20-1 record) than on the road (.537, 22-19-0).
• In terms of the over/under, Houston's games have finished over 21 of 41 times at home (51.2%), and 25 of 41 on the road (61%).
• As moneyline favorites, the Rockets have won a lower percentage of games at home (25-8) than on the road (16-4).

Rockets Recent Stats

Rockets Leaders

• On a per-game basis, Alperen Sengun gets the Rockets 19.1 points, 10.3 rebounds and 4.9 assists. He also averages 1.1 steals and 0.8 blocked shots.
• The Rockets are getting 21 points, 4.6 rebounds and 3.4 assists per game from Jalen Green this season.
• The Rockets are getting 14.1 points, 8.2 rebounds and 3.8 assists per game from Amen Thompson this season.
• The Rockets are getting 14.1 points, 3.7 rebounds and 5.6 assists per game from Fred VanVleet this year.
• Dillon Brooks gives the Rockets 14 points, 3.7 rebounds and 1.7 assists per game while averaging 0.8 steals and 0.2 blocked shots.

Rockets Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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National Basketball Association

Golden State Warriors

Houston Rockets