Warriors vs. Raptors Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec. 28

The Toronto Raptors (18-14) will attempt to snap a five-game home losing skid when hosting the Golden State Warriors (16-15) on December 28, 2025 at Scotiabank Arena. Sunday's matchup between the Warriors and the Raptors features the Warriors as 4.5-point favorites. The game has a point total of 224.5.

Check out everything you need to know to know about the Warriors-Raptors game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Warriors vs. Raptors Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Sunday, December 28, 2025 at 3:30 p.m. ET
• Where: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, Ontario
• TV: NBCS-BA and SportsNet
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

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Warriors vs. Raptors Prediction

ATS Pick: Raptors (+ 4.5)
O/U Pick: Over (224.5)
Score Prediction: Raptors 114 - Warriors 112

Warriors vs. Raptors Betting Insights

• The Warriors have played 19 games with more than 224.5 points scored, their current matchup's over/under, this year.
• The Raptors have played in 17 games this year (53.1% of opportunities) in which the teams combined to score more than 224.5 points.
• These two teams average a combined 228 points per game, 3.5 more points than the over/under of 224.5 set for this game.
• The Warriors and the Raptors have seen their opponents average a combined 0.4 more points per game than the over/under of 224.5 set for this outing.
• Golden State has come away with 12 wins in the 21 contests it has been listed as the favorite this season.
• Toronto has come away with six wins in the 12 contests it has been listed as the underdog this season.
• Golden State and Toronto have each won one of their last two head-to-head matchups.
• The Raptors have a 2-0 record against the spread when playing the Warriors.

Warriors Recent Trends

• The Warriors have gone 5-5 in their last 10 contests, with a 5-5 record against the spread in that span.
• Golden State's average total over the last 10 games is 3.9 points more than the 224.5 total listed for this matchup.
• Against the spread, the Warriors are 14-16-1 this season.
• Golden State has been favored by 4.5 points or more 13 times this season and are 6-6-1 ATS in those matchups.
• The Warriors have hit the over in 53.1% of their opportunities this year (17 times in 32 games with a set point total).
• The 114.5 points per game the Warriors score are just two more points than the Raptors give up (112.5).
• Golden State is 10-7-1 against the spread and 12-6 overall when scoring more than 112.5 points.
• The Warriors make 45.2% of their shots from the field this season, which is 1.4 percentage points lower than the Raptors have allowed to their opponents (46.6%).
• The Warriors have a better record against the spread when playing at home (7-6-1) than they do on the road (7-10-0).
• In terms of over/unders, Golden State hits the over more consistently when playing at home, as it has exceeded the total eight times in 14 opportunities this season (57.1%). On the road, it has hit the over nine times in 17 opportunities (52.9%).
• As a moneyline favorite, the Warriors have picked up the win in nine of 12 games when playing at home, good for a .750 winning percentage. They have won three of nine games on the road (.333) as a moneyline favorite.

Warriors Recent Stats

Warriors Leaders

• Jimmy Butler III puts up 19.7 points, 5.6 rebounds and 4.9 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 1.4 steals and 0.3 blocks.
• Stephen Curry posts 28.4 points, 4.3 assists and 4.2 boards per game.
• Brandin Podziemski posts 12.4 points, 3.3 assists and 4.6 rebounds per game.
• Moses Moody averages 11.4 points, 1.7 assists and 3.3 boards.
• Draymond Green averages 8 points, 5 assists and 6 rebounds.

Warriors Player Props

Raptors Recent Trends

• The Raptors have a 3-7 record against the spread while going 3-7 overall in their past 10 games.
• Toronto has averaged a total of 225.5 combined points over its last 10 games, one greater than this game's over/under of 224.5.
• The Raptors are 14-18-0 against the spread this year.
• Toronto is 5-5 ATS when underdogs by 4.5 points or more this season.
• The Raptors have hit the over 37.5% of the time this season (12 of 32 games with a set point total).
• The Raptors' 113.5 points per game are only 1.1 more points than the 112.4 the Warriors give up to opponents.
• When it scores more than 112.4 points, Toronto is 8-9 against the spread and 10-7 overall.
• The Raptors are shooting 47.7% from the field, 1.5% higher than the 46.2% the Warriors' opponents have shot this season.
• Against the spread, the Raptors have had better results away (10-7-0) than at home (4-11-0) .
• Toronto's games have finished above the over/under more often at home (six times out of 15) than away (six of 17) this year.
• In 2025-26 when moneyline favorites, the Raptors have a better winning percentage at home (.667, 8-4 record) than away (.500, 4-4).

Raptors Recent Stats

Raptors Leaders

• On a per-game basis, Scottie Barnes gets the Raptors 19.2 points, 7.9 rebounds and 5.1 assists. He also averages 1.3 steals and 1.6 blocked shots (fourth in NBA).
• On a per-game basis, Brandon Ingram gets the Raptors 21.9 points, 5.8 rebounds and 3.8 assists. He also averages 0.8 steals and 0.7 blocked shots.
• Immanuel Quickley is averaging 16.1 points, 4.3 rebounds and 6.4 assists per game. He is draining 44.3% of his shots from the floor and 36.2% from 3-point range, with 2.4 treys per contest.
• Sandro Mamukelashvili gives the Raptors 10.5 points, 4.8 rebounds and 1.8 assists per game while delivering 0.6 steals and 0.5 blocked shots.
• The Raptors are receiving 6.3 points, 1.9 rebounds and 5.3 assists per game from Jamal Shead this season.

Raptors Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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