Warriors vs. Raptors Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec. 28

The Golden State Warriors (16-15) will attempt to continue a three-game winning stretch when visiting the Toronto Raptors (18-14) on December 28, 2025 at Scotiabank Arena. Sunday's matchup between the Warriors and the Raptors sees the Warriors as 4.5-point favorites. The over/under is 226.5 points for the matchup.

Here's everything you need to know about the Warriors-Raptors game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Warriors vs. Raptors Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Sunday, December 28, 2025 at 3:30 p.m. ET
• Where: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, Ontario
• TV: NBCS-BA and SportsNet
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

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Warriors vs. Raptors Prediction

ATS Pick: Raptors (+ 4.5)
O/U Pick: Over (226.5)
Score Prediction: Raptors 114 - Warriors 112

Warriors vs. Raptors Betting Insights

• The Warriors and their opponent have combined to score over 226.5 points, the current matchup's over/under, in 18 of 31 games this season.
• A total of 17 Raptors games this season (out of 32) have gone over 226.5 total points scored.
• These teams average a combined 228 points per game, 1.5 more points than the over/under of 226.5 set for this matchup.
• Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 224.9 points per game, 1.6 fewer than the point total for this game.
• Golden State has been victorious in 12, or 57.1%, of the 21 contests it has been chosen as favorites in this season.
• Toronto has won in six, or 50%, of the 12 contests it has been named as the odds-on underdog this year.
• Golden State and Toronto have each won one of their last two head-to-head matchups.
• The Raptors have an advantage against the spread (2-0) when playing the Warriors.

Warriors Recent Trends

• The Warriors are 5-5 against the spread and 5-5 overall in their past 10 games.
• Golden State and its opponents have combined to score an average of 228.4 points over its last 10 games, 1.9 more than the 226.5 over/under in this matchup.
• In the Warriors' 31 games this season, they have 14 wins against the spread.
• Golden State has an ATS record of 6-6-1 in its 13 games when favored by 4.5 points or more so far this season.
• Warriors games this year have eclipsed the over/under 53.1% of the time (17 out of 32 games with a set point total).
• The Warriors record only two more points per game (114.5) than the Raptors allow (112.5).
• Golden State is 10-7-1 against the spread and 12-6 overall when scoring more than 112.5 points.
• The Warriors are shooting 45.2% from the field this season, 1.4 percentage points lower than the 46.6% the Raptors allow to opponents.
• When playing at home, the Warriors sport a better record against the spread (7-6-1) compared to their ATS record on the road (7-10-0).
• Golden State has exceeded the total more consistently at home, hitting the over in eight of 14 home matchups (57.1%). In away games, it has hit the over in nine of 17 games (52.9%).
• As a moneyline favorite, the Warriors have won nine of 12 games at home, good for a .750 winning percentage. They have won three of nine games away from home (.333) as a moneyline favorite.

Warriors Recent Stats

Warriors Leaders

• Jimmy Butler III puts up 19.7 points, 5.6 boards and 4.9 assists per contest, shooting 52.2% from the field.
• Stephen Curry posts 28.4 points, 4.2 rebounds and 4.3 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 1.3 steals and 0.5 blocks.
• Brandin Podziemski averages 12.4 points, 4.6 rebounds and 3.3 assists per game, shooting 45.6% from the field and 39.3% from beyond the arc with 1.9 made 3-pointers per contest.
• Moses Moody averages 11.4 points, 3.3 rebounds and 1.7 assists per contest, shooting 41.9% from the floor and 38.2% from beyond the arc with 2.3 made treys per game.
• Draymond Green averages 8 points, 5 assists and 6 boards.

Warriors Player Props

Raptors Recent Trends

• The Raptors are 3-7 against the spread and 3-7 overall in their last 10 contests.
• Toronto and its opponents have combined to score an average of 225.5 combined points in its last 10 games, one less than the 226.5 over/under in this matchup.
• The Raptors have played 32 games, with 14 wins against the spread.
• This year, Toronto has an ATS record of 5-5 in its 10 games as an underdog of 4.5 points or more.
• The Raptors have gone over the point total 37.5% of the time this year (12 of 32 games with a set point total).
• The Raptors average just 1.1 more points per game (113.5) than the Warriors give up (112.4).
• Toronto is 8-9 against the spread and 10-7 overall when it scores more than 112.4 points.
• The Raptors' 47.7% shooting percentage from the field this season is 1.5 percentage points higher than the Warriors have given up to their opponents (46.2%).
• This season, the Raptors are 4-11-0 at home against the spread (.267 winning percentage). On the road, they are 10-7-0 ATS (.588).
• Toronto's games have finished above the over/under more frequently at home (six times out of 15) than away (six of 17) this season.
• The Raptors, as moneyline favorites, have won a higher percentage of games at home (8-4) than on the road (4-4) this year.

Raptors Recent Stats

Raptors Leaders

• Scottie Barnes is averaging 19.2 points, 7.9 rebounds and 5.1 assists per game. He's also draining 50.2% of his shots from the floor and 35.7% from 3-point range, with 1.3 triples per contest.
• On a per-game basis, Brandon Ingram gets the Raptors 21.9 points, 5.8 rebounds and 3.8 assists. He also averages 0.8 steals and 0.7 blocked shots.
• The Raptors are receiving 16.1 points, 4.3 rebounds and 6.4 assists per game from Immanuel Quickley this season.
• Sandro Mamukelashvili gives the Raptors 10.5 points, 4.8 rebounds and 1.8 assists per contest while posting 0.6 steals and 0.5 blocked shots.
• Jamal Shead is averaging 6.3 points, 1.9 rebounds and 5.3 assists per contest. He is draining 35.5% of his shots from the field and 33% from beyond the arc, with 1.1 triples per game.

Raptors Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.