Warriors vs. Lakers Prediction, Odds, Picks - Feb. 28

The Los Angeles Lakers (34-24) hope to snap a three-game losing streak when visiting the Golden State Warriors (31-28) on February 28, 2026 at Chase Center. Golden State and Los Angeles are in a matchup Saturday without a set line.

Here is everything you need to know about the Warriors-Lakers game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Warriors vs. Lakers Game Information and TV Channel

• When: Saturday, February 28, 2026 at 8:30 p.m. ET
• Where: Chase Center in San Francisco, California
• TV: ABC
• Streaming: FOX One + ESPN Bundle

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Warriors vs. Lakers Prediction

ATS Pick:
O/U Pick: Under ()
Score Prediction: Warriors 118 - Lakers 113

Warriors Recent Trends

• The Warriors are 3-7 against the spread and 4-6 overall in their past 10 games.
• The Warriors have 26 wins against the spread in 59 games this season.
• Warriors games this year have gone over the point total 58.6% of the time (34 out of 58 games with a set point total).
• The Warriors put up 115.8 points per game, only 0.1 fewer points than the 115.9 the Lakers allow.
• Golden State has a 19-11-1 record against the spread and a 23-8 record overall when putting up more than 115.9 points.
• The Warriors are shooting 46.2% from the field this season, 2.4 percentage points lower than the 48.6% the Lakers allow to opponents.
• When playing at home, the Warriors own a better record against the spread (14-15-1) compared to their ATS record in road games (12-17-0).
• Looking at over/unders, Golden State hits the over more often in home games, as it has eclipsed the total 19 times in 30 opportunities this season (63.3%). In road games, it has hit the over 15 times in 29 opportunities (51.7%).
• As a moneyline favorite, the Warriors have won a higher percentage of their games when playing at home (.708) compared to away games (.412).

Warriors Recent Stats

Warriors Leaders

• Brandin Podziemski posts 12.3 points, 5.0 boards and 3.7 assists per contest, shooting 44.8% from the field and 36.7% from beyond the arc with 1.7 made treys per game.
• Moses Moody posts 12.0 points, 1.6 assists and 3.4 boards per game.
• Draymond Green averages 8.5 points, 5.1 assists and 5.7 rebounds per contest.
• Quinten Post posts 7.6 points, 4.0 rebounds and 1.4 assists per contest, shooting 43.5% from the field and 34.1% from downtown with 1.4 made 3-pointers per contest.
• Al Horford posts 8.0 points, 4.9 boards and 2.5 assists per game, shooting 43.1% from the floor and 35.4% from beyond the arc with 1.6 made treys per contest.

Lakers Recent Trends

• The Lakers are 4-6 against the spread and 5-5 overall in their last 10 contests.
• In the Lakers' 58 games this season, they have 29 wins against the spread.
• The Lakers have gone over the point total 53.4% of the time this year (31 of 58 games with a set point total).
• The Lakers put up an average of 115.5 points per game, only 1.7 more points than the 113.8 the Warriors allow to opponents.
• Los Angeles is 25-6-1 against the spread and 29-3 overall when it scores more than 113.8 points.
• The Lakers have shot at a 49.8% rate from the field this season, 2.6 percentage points above the 47.2% shooting opponents of the Warriors have averaged.
• In 2025-26 against the spread, the Lakers have a lower winning percentage at home (.464, 13-14-1 record) than on the road (.533, 16-14-0).
• Los Angeles' games have finished above the over/under 64.3% of the time at home (18 of 28), and 43.3% of the time on the road (13 of 30).
• As moneyline favorites, the Lakers have won a lower percentage of games at home (14-5) than away (12-4).

Lakers Recent Stats

Lakers Leaders

• Luka Doncic is putting up 32.7 points, 7.8 rebounds and 8.6 assists per contest. He's also draining 47.0% of his shots from the field and 35.7% from beyond the arc, with 3.7 triples per contest (first in NBA).
• On a per-game basis, LeBron James gives the Lakers 21.5 points, 5.7 rebounds and 7.0 assists. He also averages 1.1 steals and 0.6 blocked shots.
• Deandre Ayton gets the Lakers 13.0 points, 8.4 rebounds and 0.9 assists per contest while delivering 0.6 steals and 0.9 blocked shots.
• Austin Reaves gets the Lakers 24.6 points, 5.0 rebounds and 5.5 assists per game while averaging 1.1 steals and 0.3 blocked shots.
• The Lakers are getting 9.2 points, 3.9 rebounds and 1.9 assists per game from Jake LaRavia this year.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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