Warriors vs. Jazz Prediction, Odds, Picks - Jan. 3

Warriors vs. Jazz Prediction, Odds, Picks - Jan. 3

Updated Jan. 3, 2026 9:22 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

The Golden State Warriors (18-17) take on the Utah Jazz (12-21) on January 3, 2026 on KJZZ, Jazz+, and NBCS-BA. Saturday's game between the Warriors and the Jazz sees the Warriors as a double-digit favorite by 11.5 points. The game's point total is 246.5.

Here's everything you need to know about the Warriors-Jazz game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Warriors vs. Jazz Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

  • When: Saturday, January 3, 2026 at 10 p.m. ET
  • Where: Chase Center in San Francisco, California
  • TV: KJZZ, Jazz+, and NBCS-BA
  • Live Boxscore: FOX Sports
Warriors vs Jazz Betting Information
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
Warriors -11.5 -110 -110 246.5 -110 -110 -500 +385

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Warriors vs. Jazz Prediction

ATS Pick: Jazz (+ 11.5)
O/U Pick: Under (246.5)
Score Prediction: Warriors 124 - Jazz 114

Warriors vs. Jazz Betting Insights

  • The Warriors and their opponent have combined to score over 246.5 points, the current matchup's point total, in nine of 35 games this year.
  • The Jazz have played in 19 games this year (57.6% of chances) in which the teams combined to score more than 246.5 points.
  • The two teams average a combined 11.7 fewer points per game (234.8) than this game's total of 246.5 points.
  • The Warriors and the Jazz have seen their opponents average a combined 5.8 fewer points per game than the point total of 246.5 set for this game.
  • Golden State has won 14, or 58.3%, of the 24 contests in which it was the favorite this year.
  • Utah has come away with nine wins in the 29 contests it has been listed as the underdog this season.
  • Golden State has taken its one head-to-head meeting with Utah.
  • The Warriors also have a 1-0 edge against the spread when playing the Jazz.

Warriors Recent Trends

  • The Warriors have gone 5-5 in their last 10 contests, with a 3-7 record against the spread in that span.
  • Golden State and its opponents have combined to score an average of 229.4 points in its last 10 games, 17.1 less than the 246.5 over/under in this matchup.
  • The Warriors are 15-19-1 against the spread this year.
  • This season, Golden State has won ATS in each of its two games as a favorite of 11.5 points or more.
  • Warriors games this year have gone over the point total 60.6% of the time (20 out of 33 games with a set point total).
  • The Warriors record 11.8 fewer points per game (115) than the Jazz give up (126.8).
  • Golden State has a 3-3 record against the spread and a 4-2 record overall when scoring more than 126.8 points.
  • The Warriors make 45.3% of their shots from the field this season, which is 3.8 percentage points lower than the Jazz have allowed to their opponents (49.1%).
  • Against the spread, the Warriors have performed better when playing at home, covering seven times in 15 home games, and eight times in 20 road games.
  • Golden State has exceeded the over/under in eight of 15 home games (53.3%). It has fared better in away games, topping the total in 12 of 20 matchups (60%).
  • As a moneyline favorite, the Warriors have won a higher percentage of their games at home (.750) compared to road games (.417).

Warriors Recent Stats

Stat Average Rank
Points Scored 115 22
Points Allowed 113.9 8
Rebounds 43.6 20
Assists 27.9 8
Steals 9.5 4
Blocks 4.5 19

Warriors Leaders

  • Jimmy Butler III averages 19.7 points, 5.6 rebounds and 4.9 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 1.4 steals and 0.2 blocks.
  • Stephen Curry posts 28.7 points, 4 boards and 4.3 assists per contest, shooting 46.8% from the field and 39.4% from beyond the arc with 4.8 made 3-pointers per contest (first in league).
  • Brandin Podziemski averages 12.5 points, 3.3 assists and 4.4 boards per contest.
  • Draymond Green puts up 8.5 points, 6 rebounds and 5.3 assists per contest, shooting 42.2% from the floor and 33.9% from downtown with 1.5 made treys per contest.
  • Moses Moody puts up 10.8 points, 3.4 rebounds and 1.5 assists per game. Defensively he averages 0.9 steals and 0.7 blocks.

Warriors Player Props

Points O/U Points Over Odds PPG
Stephen Curry 28.5 -114 28.7
Jimmy Butler 18.5 -130 19.7
Moses Moody 10.5 -132 10.8
Quinten Post 8.5 -114 7.8
Draymond Green 8.5 -112 8.5

Jazz Recent Trends

  • The Jazz have gone 4-6 over their last 10 games, with a 6-4 record against the spread during that span.
  • Utah has averaged a total of 242.6 combined points in its last 10 games, 3.9 fewer than this matchup's over/under of 246.5.
  • The Jazz are 18-15-0 against the spread this season.
  • This year, Utah has just two against the spread wins in 11 games as an underdog of 11.5 points or more.
  • Jazz games this season have hit the over on 21 of 33 set point totals (63.6%).
  • The Jazz's 119.8 points per game are 5.9 more points than the 113.9 the Warriors give up to opponents.
  • Utah has put together a 14-5 ATS record and an 11-8 overall record in games it scores more than 113.9 points.
  • The Jazz's 46% shooting percentage from the field this season is the same as the Warriors have given up to their opponents.
  • Against the spread, the Jazz have been better at home (13-6-0) than on the road (5-9-0).
  • Utah's games have gone above the over/under more often at home (15 times out of 19) than away (six of 14) this year.
  • This season the Jazz are 2-0 at home when moneyline favorites (1.000 winning percentage). Away they are 1-1 (.500).

Jazz Recent Stats

Stat Average Rank
Points Scored 119.8 7
Points Allowed 126.8 30
Rebounds 44.7 11
Assists 30 2
Steals 7.6 25
Blocks 3.5 30

Jazz Leaders

  • Keyonte George puts up 24.6 points, 4.3 rebounds and 6.8 assists per game for the Jazz.
  • Lauri Markkanen is putting up 27.7 points, 7 rebounds and 2.1 assists per game. He's sinking 47.3% of his shots from the floor and 36.6% from beyond the arc, with 3 treys per game.
  • Kyle Filipowski is putting up 9.5 points, 6.3 rebounds and 2.2 assists per contest. He is draining 45.5% of his shots from the floor.
  • Isaiah Collier gets the Jazz 8.4 points, 2.3 rebounds and 6.6 assists per contest while putting up 0.6 steals and 0.4 blocked shots.
  • Brice Sensabaugh gets the Jazz 9.5 points, 2.7 rebounds and 1.5 assists per game while delivering 0.7 steals and 0.2 blocked shots.

Jazz Player Props

Points O/U Points Over Odds PPG
Lauri Markkanen 26.5 -112 27.7
Keyonte George 24.5 -120 24.6
Brice Sensabaugh 14.5 +100 9.5
Jusuf Nurkic 12.5 -108 9.9
Kyle Filipowski 10.5 -125 9.5

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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