Warriors vs. Grizzlies NBA Play-In prediction, how to watch, TV channel, odds - April 15

In NBA Play-In Tournament action on Tuesday, the Golden State Warriors will meet the Memphis Grizzlies. Golden State is a healthy 6.5-point favorite against Memphis when the Warriors square off against the Grizzlies on Tuesday. The over/under is 227.5 points for the game.

Here is everything you need to know about the Warriors-Grizzlies game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Warriors vs. Grizzlies Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Tuesday, April 15, 2025 at 10 p.m. ET
• Where: Chase Center in San Francisco, California
• TV: TNT, truTV, and MAX

Warriors vs. Grizzlies Prediction

ATS Pick: Grizzlies (+ 6.5)
O/U Pick: Over (227.5)
Score Prediction: Warriors 118 - Grizzlies 114

Warriors vs. Grizzlies Betting Insights

• Out of 82 games thus far this year, the Warriors have had 40 with over 227.5 points scored, their current matchup's total.
• A total of 60 Grizzlies games this season (out of 82) have gone over 227.5 total points scored.
• Between them, these two teams average eight more points per game (235.5) than this game's total (227.5).
• Opponents of these two teams have averaged a combined 227.4 points per game, 0.1 fewer than the point total for this matchup.
• Golden State has been victorious in 35, or 64.8%, of the 54 contests it has been chosen as favorites in this season.
• Memphis has won in nine, or 30%, of the 30 contests it has been named as the odds-on underdog this year.
• Golden State holds a 3-1 record in the last four head-to-head matchups with Memphis.
• Both the Warriors and the Grizzlies have 2-2 records against the spread in those contests.

Warriors Recent Trends

• The Warriors have gone 7-3 in their past 10 games, with a 6-4 record against the spread in that span.
• Golden State and its opponents have combined to score an average of 231.2 points in its last 10 games, 3.7 more than the 227.5 over/under in this matchup.
• Against the spread, the Warriors are 41-40-1 this year.
• Golden State is 14-17 ATS when favored by 6.5 points or more this season.
• The Warriors have hit the over in 51.2% of their opportunities this year (42 times over 82 games with a set point total).
• The 113.8 points per game the Warriors average are only 3.1 fewer points than the Grizzlies give up (116.9).
• Golden State has a 26-11 record against the spread and a 30-7 record overall when putting up more than 116.9 points.
• The Warriors are shooting 45.1% from the field this season, 0.5 percentage points lower than the 45.6% the Grizzlies allow to opponents.
• The Warriors have done a better job covering the spread on the road (23-17-1) than they have at home (18-23-0).
• Golden State has exceeded the over/under in a lower percentage of games at home (48.8%) than road tilts (53.7%).
• The Warriors have performed worse as a moneyline favorite when playing at home, putting up a home record of 18-11, compared to going 17-8 away from home.

Warriors Recent Stats

Warriors Leaders

• Stephen Curry posts 24.5 points, 4.4 rebounds and 6 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 1.1 steals and 0.4 blocks.
• Jimmy Butler averages 17.5 points, 5.4 boards and 5.4 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 1.4 steals and 0.3 blocks.
• Draymond Green posts 9 points, 6.1 boards and 5.6 assists per contest, shooting 42.4% from the floor and 32.5% from downtown with 1.2 made 3-pointers per contest.
• Brandin Podziemski averages 11.7 points, 5.1 rebounds and 3.4 assists per game, shooting 44.5% from the floor and 37.2% from downtown with 1.8 made 3-pointers per contest.
• Buddy Hield posts 11.1 points, 3.2 rebounds and 1.6 assists per game, shooting 41.7% from the floor and 37% from beyond the arc with 2.5 made 3-pointers per contest.

Warriors Player Props

Grizzlies Recent Trends

• The Grizzlies have a 3-7 record against the spread while finishing 4-6 overall over their last 10 games.
• Memphis' average total over the last 10 games is 7.8 points greater than the 227.5 total given for this matchup.
• The Grizzlies have 41 wins against the spread in 82 games this season.
• So far this season, Memphis has been installed as underdogs by a 6.5-point margin or more 10 times and are 4-6 ATS in those games.
• Grizzlies games this season have hit the over 46 times in 82 opportunities (56.1%).
• The Grizzlies average 11.2 more points per game (121.7) than the Warriors allow their opponents to score (110.5).
• Memphis is 39-23 against the spread and 42-20 overall when it scores more than 110.5 points.
• The Grizzlies are shooting 47.9% from the field, 1.4% higher than the 46.5% the Warriors' opponents have shot this season.
• The Grizzlies have performed better against the spread on the road (21-20-0) than at home (20-21-0) this season.
• Looking at the over/under, Memphis' games have finished over less often at home (21 of 41, 51.2%) than away (25 of 41, 61%).
• The Grizzlies, as moneyline favorites, have won a lower percentage of games at home (23-9) than on the road (16-4) this season.

Grizzlies Recent Stats

Grizzlies Leaders

• Jaren Jackson Jr. is averaging 22.2 points, 5.6 rebounds and 2 assists per game. He's also draining 48.8% of his shots from the floor and 37.5% from beyond the arc, with 2 triples per game.
• On a per-game basis, Desmond Bane gives the Grizzlies 19.2 points, 6.1 rebounds and 5.3 assists. He also averages 1.2 steals and 0.4 blocked shots.
• The Grizzlies are getting 23.2 points, 4.1 rebounds and 7.3 assists per game from Ja Morant this season.
• The Grizzlies are getting 9.9 points, 3.3 rebounds and 4.4 assists per game from Scotty Pippen Jr. this season.
• Santi Aldama gets the Grizzlies 12.5 points, 6.4 rebounds and 2.9 assists per game while averaging 0.8 steals and 0.4 blocked shots.

Grizzlies Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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National Basketball Association

Golden State Warriors

Memphis Grizzlies