Timberwolves vs. Warriors Game 3 prediction, how to watch, TV channel, odds - May 10

The Minnesota Timberwolves and Golden State Warriors are doing battle in the second round of the NBA Playoffs, with Game 3 next to come. The Timberwolves are currently 5.5-point favorites over the Warriors. The matchup has an over/under of 200.5.

Here's everything you need to know to know about the Timberwolves-Warriors game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Timberwolves vs. Warriors Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Saturday, May 10, 2025 at 8:30 p.m. ET
• Where: Chase Center in San Francisco, California
• TV: ABC

Timberwolves vs. Warriors Prediction

ATS Pick: Warriors (+ 5.5)
O/U Pick: Over (200.5)
Score Prediction: -Warriors 112 - Timberwolves 111

Timberwolves vs. Warriors Betting Insights

• Out of 82 games thus far this season, the Timberwolves have played 72 with over 200.5 points scored, their current matchup's point total.
• The Warriors have played in 72 games this season (87.8% of chances) in which the teams combined to score more than 200.5 points.
• Between them, these two teams average 27.6 more points per game (228.1) than this game's over/under (200.5).
• Opponents of the two teams average a combined 19.3 more points per game, 219.8, than this game's over/under of 200.5 points.
• Minnesota has been victorious in 40, or 64.5%, of the 62 contests it has been chosen as favorites in this season.
• Golden State has been chosen as underdogs in 26 games this year and has walked away with the win 12 times (46.2%) in those games.
• Golden State has taken four of its last six head-to-head meetings with Minnesota.
• The Warriors have an advantage against the spread as well (4-2) when hitting the court against the Timberwolves.

Timberwolves Recent Trends

• The Timberwolves are 7-3 against the spread and 8-2 overall over their last 10 contests.
• Minnesota's average total over the last 10 games is 14.2 points more than the 200.5 over/under given for this matchup.
• The Timberwolves have 39 wins against the spread in 82 games this season.
• So far this season, Minnesota has been installed as favorites by a 5.5-point margin or more 37 times and are 17-20 ATS in those matchups.
• Timberwolves games this year have hit the over 44 times in 82 opportunities (53.7%).
• The Timberwolves record 114.3 points per game, only 3.8 more points than the 110.5 the Warriors give up.
• Minnesota has a 28-20 record against the spread and a 36-12 record overall when scoring more than 110.5 points.
• The Timberwolves make 46.8% of their shots from the field this season, which is 0.3 percentage points higher than the Warriors have allowed to their opponents (46.5%).
• The Timberwolves have covered the spread in a lower percentage of their home games than away games. They have covered 17 times in 41 games when playing at home, and they've covered 22 times in 41 games when playing on the road.
• In home games, Minnesota goes over the total 58.5% of the time (24 of 41 games). It has hit the over in 48.8% of games on the road (20 of 41 contests).
• The Timberwolves have played worse as a moneyline favorite in home games, posting a home record of 23-13, compared to going 17-9 in road games.

Timberwolves Recent Stats

Timberwolves Leaders

• Anthony Edwards averages 27.6 points, 5.7 rebounds and 4.5 assists per game. Defensively, he averages 1.2 steals and 0.6 blocks.
• Julius Randle puts up 18.7 points, 7.1 rebounds and 4.7 assists per game, shooting 48.5% from the floor and 34.4% from beyond the arc with 1.6 made 3-pointers per contest.
• Rudy Gobert posts 12 points, 1.8 assists and 10.9 rebounds per game.
• Naz Reid posts 14.2 points, 6 boards and 2.3 assists per game. Defensively, he averages 0.7 steals and 0.9 blocks.
• Jaden McDaniels averages 12.2 points, 5.7 boards and 2 assists per contest. Defensively he averages 1.3 steals and 0.9 blocks.

Timberwolves Player Props

Warriors Recent Trends

• The Warriors have a 4-6 record against the spread while going 5-5 overall over their last 10 games.
• Golden State has averaged a total of 207.1 combined points over its last 10 games, 6.6 greater than this game's total of 200.5.
• The Warriors have 41 wins against the spread in 82 games this year.
• Golden State is 5-4 ATS when underdogs by 5.5 points or more this season.
• The Warriors have eclipsed the over/under 51.2% of the time this year (42 of 82 games with a set point total).
• The Warriors score an average of 113.8 points per game, only 4.5 more points than the 109.3 the Timberwolves give up.
• Golden State is 33-18 against the spread and 39-12 overall when it scores more than 109.3 points.
• The Warriors are shooting 45.1% from the field, 0.9% lower than the 46% the Timberwolves' opponents have shot this season.
• In 2024-25 against the spread, the Warriors have a lower winning percentage at home (.439, 18-23-0 record) than on the road (.561, 23-17-1).
• In terms of the over/under, Golden State's games have finished over 20 of 41 times at home (48.8%), and 22 of 41 on the road (53.7%).
• The Warriors, as moneyline favorites, have won a lower percentage of games at home (18-11) than on the road (17-8) this season.

Warriors Recent Stats

Warriors Leaders

• On a per-game basis, Jimmy Butler gets the Warriors 17.5 points, 5.4 rebounds and 5.4 assists. He also averages 1.4 steals and 0.3 blocked shots.
• The Warriors are receiving 9 points, 6.1 rebounds and 5.6 assists per game from Draymond Green this year.
• Brandin Podziemski is putting up 11.7 points, 5.1 rebounds and 3.4 assists per contest. He is sinking 44.5% of his shots from the floor and 37.2% from 3-point range, with 1.8 treys per game.
• The Warriors are getting 11.1 points, 3.2 rebounds and 1.6 assists per game from Buddy Hield this year.
• Moses Moody is putting up 9.8 points, 2.6 rebounds and 1.3 assists per game. He is sinking 43.3% of his shots from the field and 37.4% from beyond the arc, with 1.7 triples per contest.

Warriors Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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