Thunder vs. Timberwolves Game 5 prediction, how to watch, TV channel, odds - May 28

The Oklahoma City Thunder and Minnesota Timberwolves are playing in the Western Conference Finals, with a decisive Game 5 coming up. Oklahoma City is a healthy 8.5-point favorite against Minnesota when the Thunder square off against the Timberwolves on Wednesday. The matchup's over/under is 220.5.

Here is everything you need to know about the Thunder-Timberwolves game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Thunder vs. Timberwolves Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Wednesday, May 28, 2025 at 8:30 p.m. ET
• Where: Paycom Center in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
• TV: ESPN

Thunder vs. Timberwolves Prediction

ATS Pick: Thunder (- 8.5)
O/U Pick: Over (220.5)
Score Prediction: Thunder 118 - Timberwolves 107

Thunder vs. Timberwolves Betting Insights

• Thunder games have gone over 220.5 points scored, their current matchup's total, 56 times (out of 82) this year.
• The Timberwolves have played in 46 games this season (56.1% of chances) in which the teams combined to score more than 220.5 points.
• The Thunder and Timberwolves average 14.3 more points between them than the over/under of 220.5 for this matchup.
• Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 216.9 points per game, 3.6 fewer than the over/under in this game.
• Oklahoma City has been the favorite in 78 games this season and has come away with the win 65 times (83.3%) in those contests.
• Minnesota has come away with eight wins in the 18 contests it has been listed as the underdog this season.
• Oklahoma City holds a 5-3 record in the last eight head-to-head meetings with Minnesota.
• The Timberwolves have a 5-3 advantage against the spread when playing the Thunder.
• The Thunder have covered in four consecutive games against the spread, and they were favored in all of those contests.

Thunder Recent Trends

• The Thunder are 4-6 against the spread and 7-3 overall over their past 10 games.
• Oklahoma City and its opponents have combined to score an average of 221.6 points over its last 10 games, 1.1 more than the 220.5 over/under in this matchup.
• Against the spread, the Thunder are 53-25-4 this year.
• So far this season, Oklahoma City has been installed as favorites by an 8.5-point margin or more 45 times and are 27-15-3 ATS in those matchups.
• Thunder games this year have gone over the total in 45 out of 82 opportunities (54.9%).
• The 120.5 points per game the Thunder average are 11.2 more points than the Timberwolves give up (109.3).
• Oklahoma City is 44-16-2 against the spread and 53-9 overall when scoring more than 109.3 points.
• The Thunder make 48.2% of their shots from the field this season, which is 2.2 percentage points higher than the Timberwolves have allowed to their opponents (46.0%).
• The Thunder have covered the spread in a higher percentage of their home games than road games. They have covered 28 times in 42 opportunities at home, and they've covered 25 times in 40 opportunities in away games.
• Oklahoma City has exceeded the total in 25 of 42 home games (59.5%), compared to 20 of 40 road games (50%).
• As a moneyline favorite, the Thunder have taken 35 of 41 games at home, good for a .854 winning percentage. They have won 30 of 37 games away from home (.811) as a moneyline favorite.

Thunder Recent Stats

Thunder Leaders

• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander averages 32.7 points, 5.0 rebounds and 6.4 assists per contest, shooting 51.9% from the floor and 37.5% from beyond the arc with 2.1 made 3-pointers per contest.
• Jalen Williams posts 21.6 points, 5.3 boards and 5.1 assists per contest, shooting 48.4% from the floor and 36.5% from beyond the arc with 1.8 made 3-pointers per contest.
• Isaiah Hartenstein averages 11.2 points, 10.7 boards and 3.8 assists per contest, shooting 58.1% from the field.
• Aaron Wiggins posts 12.0 points, 3.9 rebounds and 1.8 assists per contest, shooting 48.8% from the field and 38.3% from beyond the arc with 1.7 made 3-pointers per contest.
• Luguentz Dort posts 10.1 points, 4.1 rebounds and 1.6 assists per contest, shooting 43.5% from the field and 41.2% from downtown with 2.4 made treys per game.

Thunder Player Props

Timberwolves Recent Trends

• The Timberwolves have gone 6-4 over their last 10 games, with a 6-4 record against the spread during that span.
• Minnesota's average total over the last 10 games is 10.6 points fewer than the 220.5 over/under given for this matchup.
• Against the spread, the Timberwolves are 39-43-0 this season.
• So far this year, Minnesota has been installed as underdogs by an 8.5-point margin or more four times and are 4-0 ATS in those games.
• Timberwolves games this year have gone over the point total 44 times in 82 opportunities (53.7%).
• The Timberwolves' 114.3 points per game are 6.7 more points than the 107.6 the Thunder allow to opponents.
• Minnesota is 30-22 against the spread and 39-13 overall when it scores more than 107.6 points.
• The Timberwolves' 46.8% shooting percentage from the field this season is 3.2 percentage points higher than the Thunder have allowed to their opponents (43.6%).
• Against the spread, the Timberwolves have had better results away (22-19-0) than at home (17-24-0) .
• In 2024-25, a higher percentage of Minnesota's games have finished above the over/under at home (58.5%, 24 of 41) compared to on the road (48.8%, 20 of 41).
• The Timberwolves' winning percentage at home as moneyline favorites is .639 (23-13), and away it is .654 (17-9).

Timberwolves Recent Stats

Timberwolves Leaders

• Anthony Edwards generates 27.6 points, 5.7 rebounds and 4.5 assists per game for the Timberwolves.
• On a per-game basis, Julius Randle gets the Timberwolves 18.7 points, 7.1 rebounds and 4.7 assists. He also averages 0.7 steals and 0.2 blocked shots.
• Rudy Gobert gives the Timberwolves 12.0 points, 10.9 rebounds and 1.8 assists per contest while putting up 0.8 steals and 1.4 blocked shots (eighth in NBA).
• The Timberwolves are getting 14.2 points, 6.0 rebounds and 2.3 assists per game from Naz Reid this season.
• Jaden McDaniels is putting up 12.2 points, 5.7 rebounds and 2.0 assists per contest. He is sinking 47.7% of his shots from the field and 33.0% from 3-point range, with 1.2 treys per contest.

Timberwolves Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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National Basketball Association

Oklahoma City Thunder

Minnesota Timberwolves