Thunder vs. Rockets Prediction, Odds, Picks - Oct. 21

The Oklahoma City Thunder take the court against the Houston Rockets on October 21, 2025 in the opening contest of the 2025-26 season for both teams. Tuesday's matchup between the Thunder and the Rockets features the Thunder as strong 6.5-point favorites. The game has a point total of 227.5.

Check out everything you need to know about the Thunder-Rockets game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Thunder vs. Rockets Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Tuesday, October 21, 2025 at 7:30 p.m. ET
• Where: Paycom Center in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
• TV: NBC/Peacock
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Thunder vs. Rockets Prediction

ATS Pick: Thunder (- 6.5)
O/U Pick: Under (227.5)
Score Prediction: Thunder 119 - Rockets 105

Thunder vs. Rockets Betting Insights

• In 44 of 82 games last season, the Thunder and their opponents went over 227.5 points.
• The Rockets played 39 games last season that ended with a combined score higher than 227.5 points.
• The teams combined to score 234.8 points per game last season, 7.3 more points than this matchup's total.
• These teams surrendered a combined 217.4 points per game last year, 10.1 fewer points than the over/under for this contest.
• The Thunder had an average point total of 227.4 in their contests last season, 0.1 more points than the over/under for this game.
• Rockets contests last year had a 223.3-point average over/under, 4.2 fewer points than this game's point total.

Thunder Recent Trends

• Oklahoma City went 54-26-2 ATS last season.
• Oklahoma City covered the spread 37 times last season (37-21-1 ATS) when playing as at least a 6.5-point favorite.
• Oklahoma City and its opponent combined to go over the point total 44 out of 82 times last season.
• Last year, the 120.5 points per game the Thunder put up were 10.7 more points than the Rockets allowed (109.8).
• When Oklahoma City totaled more than 109.8 points last season, it went 45-16-1 against the spread and 53-9 overall.
• The Thunder made 48.2% of their shots from the field last season, which was 2.3 percentage points higher than the Rockets allowed to their opponents (45.9%).
• Against the spread last season, the Thunder performed better at home, covering 29 times in 42 home games, and 25 times in 40 road games.
• Oklahoma City eclipsed the total more consistently when playing at home last season, hitting the over in 25 of 42 home matchups (59.5%). In away games, it hit the over in 19 of 40 games (47.5%).
• The Thunder played better as a moneyline favorite at home last season, putting up a home record of 35-6 home record, compared to going 30-7 away from home.

Thunder Recent Stats

Thunder Leaders

• Per game, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander put up points, 5.0 rebounds and 6.4 assists last season. He also posted 1.7 steals (fourth in league) and 1.0 block.
• Jalen Williams averaged 21.6 points, 5.3 boards and 5.1 assists. He sank 48.4% of his shots from the field and 36.5% from beyond the arc, with 1.8 treys per game.
• Isaiah Hartenstein put up 11.2 points, 10.7 boards and 3.8 assists. He drained 58.1% of his shots from the floor.
• Aaron Wiggins' numbers last season were 12.0 points, 3.9 boards and 1.8 assists per contest. He made 48.8% of his shots from the floor and 38.3% from 3-point range, with an average of 1.7 triples.
• Luguentz Dort's numbers last season were 10.1 points, 4.1 rebounds and 1.6 assists per contest. He made 43.5% of his shots from the field and 41.2% from beyond the arc, with an average of 2.4 treys.

Thunder Player Props

Rockets Recent Trends

• The Rockets won 43 games against the spread last season, while failing to cover or pushing 39 times.
• Houston had two wins ATS (2-4) as a 6.5-point underdog or more last season.
• Rockets games went over the point total 45 out of 82 times last season.
• The Rockets scored 6.7 more points per game last year (114.3) than the Thunder allowed their opponents to score (107.6).
• Houston went 37-17-1 against the spread and 42-13 overall when it scored more than 107.6 points last season.
• The Rockets shot 45.5% from the field, 1.9% higher than the 43.6% the Thunder's opponents shot last season.
• Last season, the Rockets were 21-19-1 at home against the spread (.512 winning percentage). Away, they were 22-19-0 ATS (.537).
• In terms of the over/under, Houston's games went over less often at home (20 of 41, 48.8%) than away (25 of 41, 61%) last season.
• As moneyline favorites, the Rockets won a lower percentage of games at home (25-9) than away (16-4) last season.

Rockets Recent Stats

Rockets Leaders

• Alperen Sengun grabbed 10.3 rebounds and gave out 4.9 assists per game along with scoring 19.1 points per contest last season.
• Kevin Durant dropped 26.6 points a game in addition to his 6.0 rebounds and 4.2 assists.
• Durant knocked down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 2.6 per contest a season ago.
• Tari Eason and Amen Thompson were defensive standouts last season, with Eason averaging 1.7 steals per game and Thompson collecting 1.3 blocks per contest.

Rockets Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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Oklahoma City Thunder

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