Thunder vs. Bucks Prediction, Odds, Picks - Feb. 12

The Oklahoma City Thunder (42-13) play the Milwaukee Bucks (22-30) on February 12, 2026 on Amazon Prime Video and FDSOK. The Thunder face the Bucks in a game that Oklahoma City is currently a double-digit favorite by 13.5 points. The over/under for the matchup is set at 213.5.

Here is everything you need to know about the Thunder-Bucks game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Thunder vs. Bucks Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Thursday, February 12, 2026 at 7:30 p.m. ET
• Where: Paycom Center in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
• TV: Amazon Prime Video and FDSOK
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

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Thunder vs. Bucks Prediction

ATS Pick: Thunder (- 13.5)
O/U Pick: Over (213.5)
Score Prediction: Thunder 123 - Bucks 105

Thunder vs. Bucks Betting Insights

• Thunder games have gone over 213.5 points scored, their current matchup's over/under, 46 times (out of 55) this season.
• This season, 40 of the Bucks' 52 games have had a combined total of more than 213.5 points scored.
• The two teams average a combined 18.5 more points per game (232) than this game's total of 213.5 points.
• The Thunder and the Bucks have seen their opponents average a combined 10.1 more points per game than the over/under of 213.5 set for this game.
• Oklahoma City has won 42, or 77.8%, of the 54 contests in which it was the favorite this year.
• Milwaukee has been an underdog in 31 games this season and has come away with the win 12 times (38.7%) in those contests.
• Oklahoma City holds a 1-0 record in the last one head-to-head matchups against Milwaukee.
• The Thunder have an advantage against the spread as well (1-0) when taking on the Bucks.

Thunder Recent Trends

• The Thunder have a 4-5-1 record against the spread while finishing 5-5 overall over their past 10 games.
• Oklahoma City and its opponents have combined to score an average of 222.9 points in its last 10 games, 9.4 more than the 213.5 over/under in this matchup.
• Against the spread, the Thunder are 27-27-1 this season.
• Oklahoma City is 10-10 ATS when favored by 13.5 points or more this season.
• Thunder games this year have gone over the point total 31 times in 52 opportunities (59.6%).
• The 120.2 points per game the Thunder average are only 4.6 more points than the Bucks give up (115.6).
• When Oklahoma City totals more than 115.6 points, it is 25-11 against the spread and 34-2 overall.
• This season, the Thunder have a 48.9% shooting percentage from the field, which is 2.4% higher than the 46.5% of shots the Bucks' opponents have hit.
• When playing at home, the Thunder own a worse record against the spread (13-15-0) compared to their ATS record on the road (14-12-1).
• Oklahoma City has gone over the total in a lower percentage of home games (50%) than road tilts (63%).
• As a moneyline favorite, the Thunder have won 22 of 28 games when playing at home, good for a .786 winning percentage. They have won 20 of 26 games on the road (.769) as a moneyline favorite.

Thunder Recent Stats

Thunder Leaders

• Chet Holmgren posts 17.5 points, 8.6 boards and 1.6 assists per game, shooting 56.3% from the floor and 35.7% from beyond the arc with 1.3 made treys per game.
• Ajay Mitchell averages 14.1 points, 3.7 assists and 3.5 rebounds per contest.
• Cason Wallace posts 8.2 points, 2.2 assists and 3.1 rebounds per game.
• Isaiah Hartenstein posts 10.6 points, 9.7 boards and 3.6 assists per game, shooting 63.5% from the floor.
• Jalen Williams posts 17.5 points, 4.7 boards and 5.4 assists per contest. At the other end he averages 1.3 steals and 0.3 blocks.

Thunder Player Props

Bucks Recent Trends

• The Bucks have a 4-6 record against the spread while finishing 4-6 overall in their last 10 games.
• Milwaukee has averaged a total of 220.5 combined points over its last 10 games, 7.0 greater than this game's total of 213.5.
• The Bucks have played 52 games, with 23 wins against the spread.
• Milwaukee has been underdogs by 13.5 points or more one time this season and has not covered the spread once.
• Bucks games this year have gone over the total in 21 of 52 opportunities (40.4%).
• The Bucks average just 3.8 more points per game (111.8) than the Thunder give up to opponents (108.0).
• Milwaukee is 19-12 against the spread and 20-11 overall when it scores more than 108.0 points.
• The Bucks have shot at a 48.1% clip from the field this season, 4.6 percentage points greater than the 43.5% shooting opponents of the Thunder have averaged.
• The Bucks' winning percentage against the spread at home is .458 (11-13-0). On the road, it is .429 (12-16-0).
• In 2025-26, a higher percentage of Milwaukee's games have finished above the over/under at home (50%, 12 of 24) compared to on the road (32.1%, nine of 28).
• The Bucks, when moneyline favorites, have won a lower percentage of games at home (5-6) than away (5-5) this season.

Bucks Recent Stats

Bucks Leaders

• On a per-game basis, Ryan Rollins gets the Bucks 16.9 points, 4.6 rebounds and 5.5 assists. He also averages 1.5 steals (seventh in league) and 0.4 blocked shots.
• The Bucks are getting 12.7 points, 5.7 rebounds and 1.6 assists per game from Myles Turner this season.
• The Bucks are receiving 13.1 points, 6.5 rebounds and 1.6 assists per game from Bobby Portis this season.
• Kyle Kuzma gets the Bucks 12.9 points, 5.0 rebounds and 2.6 assists per game while delivering 0.6 steals and 0.4 blocked shots.
• Kevin Porter Jr. gets the Bucks 17.5 points, 5.3 rebounds and 7.6 assists per contest while posting 2.1 steals and 0.4 blocked shots.

Bucks Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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