Pistons vs. Thunder Prediction, Odds, Picks - Feb. 25

The Eastern Conference-leading Detroit Pistons (42-14) host the Western Conference-leading Oklahoma City Thunder (45-14) at Little Caesars Arena on February 25, 2026. Wednesday's matchup between the Pistons and the Thunder sees the Pistons as a solid, 7.5-point favorite. The over/under for the game is 218.5.

Here's everything you need to know about the Pistons-Thunder game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Pistons vs. Thunder Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Wednesday, February 25, 2026 at 7:30 p.m. ET
• Where: Little Caesars Arena in Detroit, Michigan
• TV: FDSDET, FDSOK, and ESPN
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

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Pistons vs. Thunder Prediction

ATS Pick: Thunder (+ 7.5)
O/U Pick: Over (218.5)
Score Prediction: Pistons 114 - Thunder 113

Pistons vs. Thunder Betting Insights

• Pistons games have gone over 218.5 points scored, their current matchup's total, 34 times (out of 56) this season.
• This season, 42 of the Thunder's 59 games have had a combined total of more than 218.5 points scored.
• These teams average 236.7 points per game combined, 18.2 more than the over/under of 218.5.
• The Pistons and the Thunder have seen their opponents average a combined 1.4 fewer points per game than the over/under of 218.5 set in this outing.
• Detroit has won 31, or 70.5%, of the 44 contests in which it was the favorite this year.
• Oklahoma City has won in two of the three contests it has been named as the odds-on underdog this year.
• Oklahoma City has come out on top in both of its last two head-to-head meetings with Detroit.
• The Thunder have an advantage against the spread as well (2-0) when playing the Pistons.
• The Thunder have beaten the spread in their past three games, and were favored in one of them.

Pistons Recent Trends

• The Pistons have a 7-3 record against the spread while finishing 8-2 overall over their last 10 games.
• Detroit and its opponents have combined to score an average of 224.5 points in its last 10 games, 6.0 more than the 218.5 over/under in this matchup.
• Against the spread, the Pistons are 31-24-1 this season.
• So far this season, Detroit has been installed as favorites by a 7.5-point margin or more 20 times and are 11-8-1 ATS in those games.
• Pistons games this year have eclipsed the over/under 42.4% of the time (25 out of 59 games with a set point total).
• The 117.3 points per game the Pistons average are 9.6 more points than the Thunder allow (107.7).
• Detroit has a 31-16-1 record against the spread and a 40-8 record overall when scoring more than 107.7 points.
• The Pistons make 47.8% of their shots from the field this season, which is 4.3 percentage points higher than the Thunder have allowed to their opponents (43.5%).
• The Pistons have done a better job covering the spread on the road (16-10-1) than they have at home (15-14-0).
• Detroit has exceeded the over/under in a lower percentage of home games (41.4%) than away games (48.1%).
• As a moneyline favorite, the Pistons have won a higher percentage of their games at home (.750) compared to road games (.650).

Pistons Recent Stats

Pistons Leaders

• Cade Cunningham puts up 25.3 points, 5.8 rebounds and 9.8 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 1.5 steals (eighth in NBA) and 0.9 blocks.
• Jalen Duren posts 18.0 points, 10.5 boards and 1.7 assists per game, shooting 63.4% from the floor (sixth in league).
• Ausar Thompson puts up 10.1 points, 5.9 boards and 2.8 assists per game. At the other end, he averages 1.9 steals (fourth in NBA) and 0.8 blocks.
• Duncan Robinson posts 12.3 points, 2.7 rebounds and 1.9 assists per contest, shooting 43.8% from the floor and 40.1% from downtown with 3.0 made treys per contest.
• Kevin Huerter puts up 10.3 points, 3.7 rebounds and 2.5 assists per contest, shooting 45.4% from the field and 30.6% from beyond the arc with 1.5 made 3-pointers per contest.

Pistons Player Props

Thunder Recent Trends

• The Thunder are 7-2-1 against the spread and 7-3 overall in their past 10 contests.
• Oklahoma City has averaged a total of 219.1 combined points in its last 10 games, 0.6 greater than this matchup's over/under of 218.5.
• The Thunder are 30-28-1 against the spread this season.
• Oklahoma City has yet to cover the spread this year when underdogs by 7.5 points or more.
• Thunder games this year have hit the over on 33 of 59 set point totals (55.9%).
• The Thunder score an average of 119.4 points per game, 10 more points than the 109.4 the Pistons give up to opponents.
• Oklahoma City has put together a 29-16 ATS record and a 40-5 overall record in games it scores more than 109.4 points.
• The Thunder have shot at a 48.6% clip from the field this season, 4.5 percentage points higher than the 44.1% shooting opponents of the Pistons have averaged.
• In 2025-26 against the spread, the Thunder have a lower winning percentage at home (.484, 15-16-0 record) than away (.536, 15-12-1).
• Looking at the over/under, Oklahoma City's games have finished over 15 of 31 times at home (48.4%), and 18 of 28 on the road (64.3%).
• The Thunder, as moneyline favorites, have won a lower percentage of games at home (23-7) than away (20-6) this season.

Thunder Recent Stats

Thunder Leaders

• On a per-game basis, Chet Holmgren gets the Thunder 17.2 points, 8.8 rebounds and 1.7 assists. He also averages 0.5 steals and 1.9 blocked shots (third in league).
• On a per-game basis, Cason Wallace gets the Thunder 8.6 points, 3.2 rebounds and 2.5 assists. He also averages 2.1 steals (first in league) and 0.3 blocked shots.
• The Thunder are receiving 10.7 points, 9.5 rebounds and 3.5 assists per game from Isaiah Hartenstein this season.
• The Thunder are receiving 11.0 points, 2.6 rebounds and 1.5 assists per game from Isaiah Joe this season.
• Luguentz Dort is averaging 8.9 points, 3.8 rebounds and 1.3 assists per game. He is making 39.4% of his shots from the floor and 34.8% from beyond the arc, with 1.9 treys per game.

Thunder Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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