Pelicans vs. Bucks Prediction, Odds, Picks - Feb. 20

The Milwaukee Bucks (23-30) play the New Orleans Pelicans (15-41) on February 20, 2026 at Smoothie King Center. New Orleans is a modest 4-point favorite against Milwaukee when the Pelicans play the Bucks on Friday. The matchup has a point total of 224.5.

Check out everything you need to know to know about the Pelicans-Bucks game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Pelicans vs. Bucks Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Friday, February 20, 2026 at 8 p.m. ET
• Where: Smoothie King Center in New Orleans, Louisiana
• TV: FDSWI, Gulf Coast Sports, and Pelicans+
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

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Pelicans vs. Bucks Prediction

ATS Pick: Bucks (+ 4)
O/U Pick: Over (224.5)
Score Prediction: Pelicans 116 - Bucks 115

Pelicans vs. Bucks Betting Insights

• Of 56 games thus far this season, the Pelicans have played 38 with more than 224.5 points scored, their current matchup's over/under.
• The Bucks have played in 26 games this year (49.1% of chances) in which the teams combined to score more than 224.5 points.
• These teams average a combined 226.4 points per game, 1.9 more points than the over/under of 224.5 set for this game.
• Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 235.6 points per game, 11.1 more than the over/under in this game.
• New Orleans has won six of the eight contests in which it was the favorite this year.
• Milwaukee has been an underdog in 32 games this season and has come away with the win 13 times (40.6%) in those contests.
• Milwaukee has come out on top in its lone head-to-head matchup against New Orleans.
• The Bucks have an advantage against the spread as well (1-0) when playing the Pelicans.

Pelicans Recent Trends

• The Pelicans have a 6-3-1 record against the spread while going 5-5 overall in their last 10 games.
• New Orleans' average total over the last 10 games is 8.8 points more than the 224.5 total given for this matchup.
• The Pelicans have 30 wins against the spread in 56 games this season.
• New Orleans has been favored by 4 points or more two times this season and covered the spread in one of them.
• Pelicans games this year have gone over the point total 28 times in 53 opportunities (52.8%).
• The Pelicans record 114.6 points per game, just 0.6 fewer points than the 115.2 the Bucks allow.
• New Orleans is 21-8 against the spread and 11-18 overall when scoring more than 115.2 points.
• This season, the Pelicans have a 46.2% shooting percentage from the field, which is 0.2% lower than the 46.4% of shots the Bucks' opponents have hit.
• The Pelicans own a better record against the spread when playing at home (17-12-0) than they do in road games (13-13-1).
• New Orleans has exceeded the total more often at home, hitting the over in 16 of 29 home matchups (55.2%). In road games, it has hit the over in 12 of 27 games (44.4%).
• As a moneyline favorite, the Pelicans have taken five of six games at home, good for a .833 winning percentage. They have won one of two games away from home (.500) as a moneyline favorite.

Pelicans Recent Stats

Pelicans Leaders

• Trey Murphy III posts 22.1 points, 3.8 assists and 5.7 boards per contest.
• Derik Queen posts 12.2 points, 4.1 assists and 7.2 boards per contest.
• Zion Williamson posts 21.6 points, 6.1 boards and 3.5 assists per game, shooting 58.4% from the field.
• Saddiq Bey puts up 16.6 points, 5.9 rebounds and 2.5 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 0.9 steals and 0.0 blocks.
• Jeremiah Fears averages 13.2 points, 3.1 assists and 3.7 rebounds.

Pelicans Player Props

Bucks Recent Trends

• The Bucks are 5-5 against the spread and 5-5 overall over their last 10 contests.
• Milwaukee's average total over the last 10 games is 5.0 points fewer than the 224.5 over/under listed for this matchup.
• The Bucks have played 53 games, with 24 wins against the spread.
• Milwaukee has an ATS record of 9-12 in its 21 games as an underdog of 4 points or more this season.
• Bucks games this year have hit the over 39.6% of the time (21 out of 53 games with a set point total).
• The Bucks put up 8.6 fewer points per game (111.8) than the Pelicans give up to opponents (120.4).
• Milwaukee has put together an 8-4 ATS record and a 9-3 overall record in games it scores more than 120.4 points.
• The Bucks are shooting 48.1% from the field, 0.3% higher than the 47.8% the Pelicans' opponents have shot this season.
• The Bucks' winning percentage against the spread at home is .458 (11-13-0). Away, it is .448 (13-16-0).
• In 2025-26, a higher percentage of Milwaukee's games have finished above the over/under at home (50%, 12 of 24) than on the road (31%, nine of 29).
• The Bucks, when moneyline favorites, have won a lower percentage of games at home (5-6) than on the road (5-5) this year.

Bucks Recent Stats

Bucks Leaders

• Ryan Rollins is averaging 16.9 points, 4.6 rebounds and 5.5 assists per game. He's also draining 46.3% of his shots from the floor and 40.7% from 3-point range, with 2.4 triples per game.
• On a per-game basis, Giannis Antetokounmpo gives the Bucks 28.0 points, 10.0 rebounds and 5.6 assists. He also averages 0.9 steals and 0.7 blocked shots.
• Myles Turner gives the Bucks 12.7 points, 5.7 rebounds and 1.6 assists per contest while averaging 0.7 steals and 1.7 blocked shots (sixth in NBA).
• The Bucks are getting 13.2 points, 6.6 rebounds and 1.6 assists per game from Bobby Portis this season.
• The Bucks are getting 12.9 points, 5.0 rebounds and 2.5 assists per game from Kyle Kuzma this year.

Bucks Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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