Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec. 25

The Minnesota Timberwolves (20-10) will attempt to continue a three-game winning streak when hitting the road against the Denver Nuggets (21-8) on December 25, 2025 at Ball Arena. Thursday's matchup between the Nuggets and the Timberwolves features the Nuggets as small 2.5-point favorites. The matchup has a point total of 239.5.

Here is everything you need to know about the Nuggets-Timberwolves game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Thursday, December 25, 2025 at 10:30 p.m. ET
• Where: Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado
• TV: ABC and ESPN
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

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Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Prediction

ATS Pick: Nuggets (- 2.5)
O/U Pick: Under (239.5)
Score Prediction: Nuggets 122 - Timberwolves 115

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Betting Insights

• Nuggets games have gone over 239.5 points scored, their current matchup's point total, 19 times (out of 29) this year.
• The Timberwolves games have gone over 239.5 total points scored in six of 30 total matchups this year.
• Between them, these two teams average 4.2 more points per game (243.7) than this matchup's over/under (239.5).
• Opponents of these two teams have averaged a combined 230 points per game, 9.5 fewer than the point total in this matchup.
• Denver has won 19, or 76%, of the 25 contests in which it was the favorite this year.
• Minnesota has come away with two wins in the six contests it has been listed as the underdog this season.
• After the last two head-to-head matchups, Denver has a 2-0 record against Minnesota.
• The Nuggets also have a 2-0 record against the spread when playing the Timberwolves.

Nuggets Recent Trends

• The Nuggets are 5-5 against the spread and 7-3 overall in their last 10 contests.
• Denver and its opponents have combined to score an average of 238.7 points over its last 10 games, 0.8 less than the 239.5 over/under in this matchup.
• The Nuggets have played 29 games, with 17 wins against the spread.
• Denver has been favored by 2.5 points or more 24 times this season and are 14-10 ATS in those contests.
• Nuggets games this year have gone over the point total 63.3% of the time (19 out of 30 games with a set point total).
• The 125.2 points per game the Nuggets record are 11.7 more points than the Timberwolves give up (113.5).
• Denver is 16-10 against the spread and 20-6 overall when scoring more than 113.5 points.
• The Nuggets make 51.5% of their shots from the field this season, which is six percentage points higher than the Timberwolves have allowed to their opponents (45.5%).
• The Nuggets have done a better job covering the spread on the road (9-6-0) than they have at home (8-6-0).
• In terms of over/unders, Denver hits the over less often when playing at home, as it has exceeded the total nine times in 14 opportunities this season (64.3%). In away games, it has hit the over 10 times in 15 opportunities (66.7%).
• As a moneyline favorite, the Nuggets have won a lower percentage of their games at home (.667) compared to road games (.846).

Nuggets Recent Stats

Nuggets Leaders

• Nikola Jokic averages 28.9 points, 12 rebounds and 10.9 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 1.5 steals and 0.8 blocks.
• Jamal Murray puts up 25.1 points, 4.4 rebounds and 6.9 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 1.1 steals and 0.3 blocks.
• Peyton Watson averages 10.6 points, 4.6 boards and 1.6 assists per contest, shooting 50.7% from the floor and 40% from beyond the arc with 1.1 made treys per game.
• Tim Hardaway Jr. posts 12.7 points, 2.1 boards and 1.4 assists per game, shooting 46.8% from the floor and 42.5% from beyond the arc with 2.7 made 3-pointers per contest.
• Bruce Brown averages 7.4 points, 4.2 rebounds and 2 assists per contest. At the other end he averages 1 steal and 0.3 blocks.

Nuggets Player Props

Timberwolves Recent Trends

• The Timberwolves have gone 8-2 over their past 10 games, with a 4-6 record against the spread in that span.
• Minnesota and its opponents have combined to score an average of 229.6 combined points over its last 10 games, 9.9 less than the 239.5 over/under in this matchup.
• The Timberwolves have 12 wins against the spread in 30 games this year.
• Minnesota is 3-2 ATS when underdogs by 2.5 points or more this year.
• Timberwolves games this year have gone over the point total 43.3% of the time (13 out of 30 games with a set point total).
• The Timberwolves put up an average of 118.5 points per game, only two more points than the 116.5 the Nuggets give up.
• Minnesota is 9-6 against the spread and 15-0 overall when it scores more than 116.5 points.
• The Timberwolves' 47.6% shooting percentage from the field this season is 0.6 percentage points higher than the Nuggets have allowed to their opponents (47%).
• In 2025-26 against the spread, the Timberwolves have a better winning percentage at home (.412, 7-10-0 record) than away (.385, 5-8-0).
• Looking at the over/under, Minnesota's games have finished over five of 17 times at home (29.4%), and eight of 13 on the road (61.5%).
• The Timberwolves, when moneyline favorites, have won a higher percentage of games at home (11-3) than away (7-3) this season.

Timberwolves Recent Stats

Timberwolves Leaders

• Julius Randle is putting up 22.6 points, 7.2 rebounds and 5.5 assists per game. He's also draining 48.2% of his shots from the floor and 32.9% from beyond the arc, with 1.6 triples per contest.
• On a per-game basis, Anthony Edwards gives the Timberwolves 28.7 points, 5 rebounds and 3.8 assists. He also averages 1.3 steals and 0.9 blocked shots.
• Rudy Gobert gets the Timberwolves 11.5 points, 11.1 rebounds and 2 assists per contest while putting up 0.5 steals and 1.5 blocked shots (seventh in NBA).
• Naz Reid is averaging 13.7 points, 6.3 rebounds and 2.4 assists per contest. He is making 44.9% of his shots from the field and 36.3% from beyond the arc, with 2.3 triples per game.
• Donte DiVincenzo is putting up 13.9 points, 4.3 rebounds and 3.8 assists per contest. He is making 41.8% of his shots from the floor and 38.5% from beyond the arc, with 3.1 treys per game (10th in league).

Timberwolves Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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