Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec. 25

The Minnesota Timberwolves (20-10) aim to build on a three-game winning stretch when visiting the Denver Nuggets (21-8) on December 25, 2025 at Ball Arena. The Nuggets are currently slight 1-point favorites over the Timberwolves. A 238.5-point total is set for the game.

Here's everything you need to know about the Nuggets-Timberwolves game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Thursday, December 25, 2025 at 10:30 p.m. ET
• Where: Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado
• TV: ABC and ESPN
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

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Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Prediction

ATS Pick: Nuggets (- 1)
O/U Pick: Under (238.5)
Score Prediction: Nuggets 122 - Timberwolves 115

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Betting Insights

• Nuggets games have gone over 238.5 points scored, their current matchup's over/under, 19 times (out of 29) this season.
• Six of the Timberwolves' 30 games this season have had more than 238.5 total points scored.
• Between them, these two teams average 5.2 more points per game (243.7) than this matchup's over/under (238.5).
• Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 230 points per game, 8.5 fewer than the point total for this matchup.
• Denver has been the favorite in 25 games this season and has come away with the win 19 times (76%) in those contests.
• Minnesota has come away with two wins in the six contests it has been listed as the underdog this season.
• Denver has taken both of its last two head-to-head matchups against Minnesota.
• The Nuggets also have a 2-0 record against the spread when taking on the Timberwolves.

Nuggets Recent Trends

• The Nuggets have gone 7-3 in their past 10 contests, with a 5-5 record against the spread during that span.
• Denver's average total over the last 10 games is 0.2 points more than the 238.5 over/under given for this matchup.
• In the Nuggets' 29 games this season, they have 17 wins against the spread.
• Denver has been favored by 1 point or more 25 times this season and are 15-10 ATS in those games.
• Nuggets games this year have hit the over on 19 of 30 set point totals.
• The 125.2 points per game the Nuggets average are 11.7 more points than the Timberwolves give up (113.5).
• Denver is 16-10 against the spread and 20-6 overall when scoring more than 113.5 points.
• This season, the Nuggets have a 51.5% shooting percentage from the field, which is six% higher than the 45.5% of shots the Timberwolves' opponents have made.
• The Nuggets have done a better job covering the spread in away games (9-6-0) than they have in home games (8-6-0).
• Denver has exceeded the total less often at home, hitting the over in nine of 14 home matchups (64.3%). On the road, it has hit the over in 10 of 15 games (66.7%).
• The Nuggets have fared worse as a moneyline favorite at home, posting a home record of 8-4, compared to going 11-2 in away games.

Nuggets Recent Stats

Nuggets Leaders

• Nikola Jokic averages 28.9 points, 12 rebounds and 10.9 assists per game. At the other end, he averages 1.5 steals and 0.8 blocks.
• Jamal Murray puts up 25.1 points, 4.4 boards and 6.9 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 1.1 steals and 0.3 blocks.
• Peyton Watson averages 10.6 points, 1.6 assists and 4.6 boards per game.
• Tim Hardaway Jr. puts up 12.7 points, 2.1 rebounds and 1.4 assists per contest, shooting 46.8% from the floor and 42.5% from beyond the arc with 2.7 made treys per game.
• Bruce Brown averages 7.4 points, 2 assists and 4.2 boards.

Nuggets Player Props

Timberwolves Recent Trends

• The Timberwolves have gone 8-2 in their last 10 contests, with a 4-6 record against the spread during that span.
• Minnesota and its opponents have combined to score an average of 229.6 combined points over its last 10 games, 8.9 less than the 238.5 over/under in this matchup.
• The Timberwolves are 12-18-0 against the spread this season.
• This year, Minnesota has an against-the-spread record of 3-3 in its six games as an underdog of 1 point or more.
• Timberwolves games this year have eclipsed the over/under 13 times in 30 opportunities (43.3%).
• The Timberwolves average only two more points per game (118.5) than the Nuggets give up to opponents (116.5).
• Minnesota is 9-6 against the spread and 15-0 overall when it scores more than 116.5 points.
• The Timberwolves' 47.6% shooting percentage from the field this season is 0.6 percentage points higher than the Nuggets have given up to their opponents (47%).
• Against the spread, the Timberwolves have performed better at home (7-10-0) than on the road (5-8-0).
• In terms of the over/under, Minnesota's games have gone over five of 17 times at home (29.4%), and eight of 13 away (61.5%).
• This season the Timberwolves are 11-3 at home as moneyline favorites (.786 winning percentage). Away they are 7-3 (.700).

Timberwolves Recent Stats

Timberwolves Leaders

• On a per-game basis, Julius Randle gives the Timberwolves 22.6 points, 7.2 rebounds and 5.5 assists. He also averages 1.1 steals and 0.1 blocked shots.
• On a per-game basis, Anthony Edwards gets the Timberwolves 28.7 points, 5 rebounds and 3.8 assists. He also averages 1.3 steals and 0.9 blocked shots.
• Rudy Gobert gives the Timberwolves 11.5 points, 11.1 rebounds and 2 assists per contest while posting 0.5 steals and 1.5 blocked shots (seventh in league).
• The Timberwolves are getting 13.7 points, 6.3 rebounds and 2.4 assists per game from Naz Reid this season.
• Donte DiVincenzo gets the Timberwolves 13.9 points, 4.3 rebounds and 3.8 assists per game while posting 1.2 steals and 0.5 blocked shots.

Timberwolves Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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