Mavericks vs. Timberwolves Game 3 prediction, how to watch, TV channel, odds - May 26

Updated May. 26, 2024 3:22 p.m. ET

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The Dallas Mavericks will meet the Minnesota Timberwolves in Game 3 of the Western Conference Finals. Sunday's matchup between the Mavericks and the Timberwolves features a slim line of Dallas -1.5. The game's over/under is 207.5.

Here is everything you need to know about the Mavericks-Timberwolves game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Mavericks vs. Timberwolves Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Sunday, May 26, 2024 at 8:00 PM ET
• Where: American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas
• TV: TNT and truTV

Mavericks vs. Timberwolves Prediction

ATS Pick: Timberwolves (+ 1.5)
O/U Pick: Over (207.5)
Score Prediction: Timberwolves 113 - Mavericks 112

Mavericks vs. Timberwolves Betting Insights

• Mavericks games have finished over 207.5 points scored, their current matchup's total, 75 times (out of 82) this year.
• The Timberwolves games have gone over 207.5 total points scored in 67 of 82 total matchups this season.
• The Mavericks and the Timberwolves combine to average 23.4 more points per game than the over/under of 207.5 set for this matchup.
• Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 222.1 points per game, 14.6 more than the point total for this game.
• Dallas has been victorious in 37, or 74%, of the 50 contests it has been chosen as favorites in this season.
• Minnesota has been an underdog in 20 games this season and has come away with the win 10 times (50%) in those contests.
• Dallas and Minnesota have split the last six games they've played.
• The Mavericks hold a 4-2 advantage against the spread when taking on the Timberwolves.
• Against the spread, the Timberwolves have failed to cover for four consecutive games, and were the favorite in three of those contests.

FINAL

MIN 107 · DAL 116

NBA

SPREAD

TO WIN

TOTAL

Minnesota Timberwolves

MIN

+1.5

-101

o207.5

Dallas Mavericks

DAL

-1.5

-119

u207.5

Mavericks Recent Trends

• The Mavericks have gone 8-2 in their past 10 games, with a 7-3 record against the spread during that span.
• Dallas has averaged a total of 212.3 combined points over its last 10 games, 4.8 greater than this matchup's total of 207.5.
• The Mavericks have 48 wins against the spread in 82 games this year.
• Dallas has been favored by 1.5 points or more 45 times this season and are 28-17 ATS in those games.
• The Mavericks have gone over the point total in 43.9% of their opportunities this year (36 times over 82 games with a set point total).
• The Mavericks score 11.4 more points per game (117.9) than the Timberwolves allow (106.5).
• Dallas has a 47-23 record against the spread and a 49-21 record overall when putting up more than 106.5 points.
• This season, the Mavericks have a 48.1% shooting percentage from the field, which is 3.1% higher than the 45.0% of shots the Timberwolves' opponents have hit.
• Against the spread, the Mavericks have performed worse at home, covering 21 times in 41 home games, and 27 times in 41 road games.
• In terms of over/unders, Dallas hits the over less consistently when playing at home, as it has eclipsed the total 16 times in 41 opportunities this season (39%). On the road, it has hit the over 20 times in 41 opportunities (48.8%).
• As a moneyline favorite, the Mavericks have won a lower percentage of their games at home (.667) compared to road games (.826).

Mavericks Recent Stats

Mavericks Leaders

• Luka Doncic posts 33.9 points, 9.2 boards and 9.8 assists per contest, shooting 48.7% from the floor and 38.2% from beyond the arc with 4.1 made 3-pointers per game (second in NBA).
• Kyrie Irving puts up 25.6 points, 5.2 assists and 5.0 boards per game.
• Daniel Gafford puts up 11.0 points, 1.6 assists and 7.6 rebounds per game.
• P.J. Washington averages 12.9 points, 1.9 assists and 5.6 boards.
• Tim Hardaway Jr. averages 14.4 points, 3.2 boards and 1.8 assists per contest. At the other end he averages 0.5 steals and 0.1 blocks.

Timberwolves Recent Trends

• The Timberwolves are 5-5 against the spread and 5-5 overall over their past 10 games.
• Minnesota has averaged a total of 207.0 combined points in its last 10 games, 0.5 fewer than this game's over/under of 207.5.
• In the Timberwolves' 82 games this year, they have 40 wins against the spread.
• Minnesota has been underdogs by 1.5 points or more 17 times this year and are 10-7 ATS in those games.
• Timberwolves games this year have gone over the total in 41 of 82 opportunities (50%).
• The Timberwolves' 113.0 points per game are just 2.6 fewer points than the 115.6 the Mavericks allow.
• Minnesota is 23-10 against the spread and 29-4 overall when it scores more than 115.6 points.
• The Timberwolves' 48.5% shooting percentage from the field this season is 1.0 percentage point higher than the Mavericks have allowed to their opponents (47.5%).
• The Timberwolves' winning percentage against the spread at home is .439 (18-22-1). On the road, it is .537 (22-18-1).
• Minnesota's games have finished above the over/under less frequently at home (18 times out of 41) than away (23 of 41) this season.
• When moneyline favorites, the Timberwolves have won a lower percentage of games at home (27-10) than on the road (19-5).

Timberwolves Recent Stats

Timberwolves Leaders

• Anthony Edwards is putting up 25.9 points, 5.4 rebounds and 5.1 assists per contest. He's also draining 46.1% of his shots from the field and 35.7% from beyond the arc, with 2.4 triples per contest.
• On a per-game basis, Rudy Gobert gives the Timberwolves 14.0 points, 12.9 rebounds and 1.3 assists. He also averages 0.7 steals and 2.1 blocked shots (sixth in league).
• Karl-Anthony Towns is putting up 21.8 points, 8.3 rebounds and 3.0 assists per contest. He is draining 50.4% of his shots from the field and 41.6% from beyond the arc, with 2.2 triples per contest.
• The Timberwolves are receiving 13.5 points, 5.2 rebounds and 1.3 assists per game from Naz Reid this season.
• Mike Conley gives the Timberwolves 11.4 points, 2.9 rebounds and 5.9 assists per contest while putting up 1.2 steals and 0.2 blocked shots.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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NBA - Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Dallas Mavericks - 05/27/2024