Lakers vs. Warriors Prediction, Odds, Picks - Feb. 28

The Los Angeles Lakers (34-24) will be looking to stop a three-game losing skid when visiting the Golden State Warriors (31-28) on February 28, 2026 at Chase Center. Los Angeles is a modest 4-point favorite against Golden State when the Lakers square off with the Warriors on Saturday. The over/under is 225.5 points for the game.

Here is everything you need to know to know about the Lakers-Warriors game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Lakers vs. Warriors Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Saturday, February 28, 2026 at 8:30 p.m. ET
• Where: Chase Center in San Francisco, California
• TV: ABC
• Streaming: FOX One + ESPN Bundle

This page may contain affiliate links to legal sports betting partners. If you sign up or place a wager, FOX Sports may be compensated. Read more about Sports Betting on FOX Sports.

Lakers vs. Warriors Prediction

ATS Pick: Warriors (+ 4)
O/U Pick: Over (225.5)
Score Prediction: Warriors 118 - Lakers 113

Lakers vs. Warriors Betting Insights

• The Lakers and their opponent have combined to score over 225.5 points, the current matchup's over/under, in 39 of 58 games this season.
• The Warriors games have gone over 225.5 total points scored in 37 of 59 total matchups this season.
• These teams average 231.3 points per game combined, 5.8 more than the total of 225.5.
• Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 229.7 points per game, 4.2 more than the over/under for this game.
• Los Angeles has been chosen as the favorite in 35 games this year and has walked away with the win 26 times (74.3%) in those games.
• Golden State has won in seven, or 38.9%, of the 18 contests it has been named as the odds-on underdog this year.
• In the last two head-to-head matchups, Los Angeles and Golden State have a tied 1-1 record.
• The squads are each 1-1 against the spread in those contests.
• In their past four contests the Lakers have not covered the spread, and they were favored in three of them.

Lakers Recent Trends

• The Lakers have gone 5-5 over their past 10 games, with a 4-6 record against the spread during that span.
• Los Angeles has averaged a total of 227.1 combined points over its last 10 games, 1.6 greater than this matchup's total of 225.5.
• The Lakers have played 58 games, with 29 wins against the spread.
• Los Angeles is 12-10-1 ATS when favored by 4 points or more this season.
• The Lakers have eclipsed the over/under in 52.5% of their opportunities this year (31 times in 59 games with a set point total).
• The Lakers average 115.5 points per game, just 1.7 more points than the 113.8 the Warriors allow.
• When Los Angeles totals more than 113.8 points, it is 25-6-1 against the spread and 29-3 overall.
• This season, the Lakers have a 49.8% shooting percentage from the field, which is 2.6% higher than the 47.2% of shots the Warriors' opponents have hit.
• The Lakers have done a better job covering the spread on the road (16-14-0) than they have at home (13-14-1).
• Los Angeles has gone over the over/under in a higher percentage of home games (64.3%) than games on the road (43.3%).
• The Lakers have won a lower percentage of their matchups as a moneyline favorite at home, going 14-5 (.737). When playing away from home as a moneyline favorite, they own a record of 12-4 (.750).

Lakers Recent Stats

Lakers Leaders

• Luka Doncic puts up 32.7 points, 7.8 rebounds and 8.6 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 1.4 steals and 0.5 blocks.
• LeBron James averages 21.5 points, 5.7 boards and 7 assists per contest, shooting 49.8% from the floor and 29.9% from beyond the arc with 1.4 made 3-pointers per contest.
• Deandre Ayton averages 13 points, 8.4 boards and 0.9 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 0.6 steals and 0.9 blocks.
• Austin Reaves averages 24.6 points, 5 boards and 5.5 assists per contest, shooting 50.2% from the field and 37.3% from downtown with 2.5 made 3-pointers per contest.
• Jake LaRavia averages 9.2 points, 3.9 boards and 1.9 assists per contest, shooting 46.8% from the floor and 32.8% from downtown with 1.1 made 3-pointers per game.

Lakers Player Props

Warriors Recent Trends

• The Warriors have a 3-7 record against the spread while finishing 4-6 overall over their past 10 contests.
• Golden State's average total over the last 10 games is 4.2 points fewer than the 225.5 total listed for this matchup.
• The Warriors have 26 wins against the spread in 59 games this season.
• Golden State is 5-8 ATS when underdogs by 4 points or more this year.
• The Warriors have hit the over 57.6% of the time this season (34 of 59 games with a set point total).
• The Warriors score only 0.1 fewer points per game (115.8) than the Lakers allow their opponents to score (115.9).
• Golden State has put together a 19-11-1 ATS record and a 23-8 overall record in games it scores more than 115.9 points.
• The Warriors' 46.2% shooting percentage from the field this season is 2.4 percentage points lower than the Lakers have allowed to their opponents (48.6%).
• This season, the Warriors are 14-15-1 at home against the spread (.467 winning percentage). On the road, they are 12-17-0 ATS (.414).
• Looking at the over/under, Golden State's games have finished over more frequently at home (19 of 30, 63.3%) than on the road (15 of 29, 51.7%).
• When moneyline favorites, the Warriors have won a higher percentage of games at home (17-7) than away (7-10).

Warriors Recent Stats

Warriors Leaders

• Brandin Podziemski generates 12.3 points, 5 rebounds and 3.7 assists per game for the Warriors.
• On a per-game basis, Moses Moody gets the Warriors 12 points, 3.4 rebounds and 1.6 assists. He also averages 0.9 steals and 0.6 blocked shots.
• Draymond Green gives the Warriors 8.5 points, 5.7 rebounds and 5.1 assists per game while averaging 0.8 steals and 0.6 blocked shots.
• Quinten Post gives the Warriors 7.6 points, 4 rebounds and 1.4 assists per game while posting 0.4 steals and 0.5 blocked shots.
• The Warriors are getting 8 points, 4.9 rebounds and 2.5 assists per game from Al Horford this year.

Warriors Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

FOLLOW Follow your favorites to personalize your FOX Sports experience

National Basketball Association

Golden State Warriors

Los Angeles Lakers