Heat vs. Pacers Prediction, Odds, Picks - Jan. 10

The Indiana Pacers (7-31) will host the Miami Heat (20-17) after dropping seven home games in a row. Saturday's matchup between the Heat and the Pacers features the Heat as solid 6.5-point favorites. The over/under for the game is set at 235.5.

Check out everything you need to know about the Heat-Pacers game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Heat vs. Pacers Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Saturday, January 10, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET
• Where: Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, Indiana
• TV: FDSSUN and FDSIN
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

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Heat vs. Pacers Prediction

ATS Pick: Heat (- 6.5)
O/U Pick: Under (235.5)
Score Prediction: Heat 121 - Pacers 113

Heat vs. Pacers Betting Insights

• Heat games have finished over 235.5 points scored, their current matchup's total, 20 times (out of 37) this season.
• The Pacers have played in 16 games this year (42.1% of opportunities) in which the teams combined to score more than 235.5 points.
• These two teams average a combined 230.9 points per game, 4.6 fewer points than the total of 235.5 set for this game.
• The Heat and the Pacers have seen their opponents average a combined 1.4 more points per game than the over/under of 235.5 set in this outing.
• Miami has been the favorite in 16 games this season and has come away with the win 10 times (62.5%) in those contests.
• Indiana has been victorious in five, or 15.2%, of the 33 contests it has been chosen as an underdog in this season.
• Miami has won its one head-to-head meeting with Indiana.
• The Heat also have a 1-0 edge against the spread when facing off with the Pacers.

Heat Recent Trends

• The Heat have a 6-4 record against the spread while going 5-5 overall over their last 10 contests.
• Miami has averaged a total of 237.6 combined points over its last 10 games, 2.1 greater than this game's over/under of 235.5.
• The Heat are 21-15-1 against the spread this season.
• Miami has an ATS record of 5-3 in its eight games when favored by 6.5 points or more so far this season.
• The Heat have gone over the point total in 47.4% of their opportunities this year (18 times in 38 games with a set point total).
• The Heat put up 120.1 points per game, only 0.6 more points than the 119.5 the Pacers give up.
• Miami is 15-3 against the spread and 13-5 overall when scoring more than 119.5 points.
• The Heat make 46.9% of their shots from the field this season, which is 1.6 percentage points lower than the Pacers have allowed to their opponents (48.5%).
• At home, the Heat own a better record against the spread (11-8-0) compared to their ATS record on the road (10-7-1).
• Miami has gone over the over/under in nine of 19 home games (47.4%). It has fared better on the road, going over the total in nine of 18 matchups (50%).
• The Heat have played better as a moneyline favorite at home, sporting a home record of 9-5, compared to going 1-1 in away games.

Heat Recent Stats

Heat Leaders

• Norman Powell puts up 24.3 points, 2.7 assists and 3.8 rebounds per contest.
• Kel'el Ware averages 12.3 points, 10.6 boards and 0.6 assists per contest, shooting 54.8% from the field and 43.0% from downtown with 1.2 made 3-pointers per contest.
• Jaime Jaquez Jr. puts up 16.2 points, 4.7 assists and 5.3 rebounds per game.
• Bam Adebayo averages 16.9 points, 2.6 assists and 9.6 boards.
• Andrew Wiggins averages 15.9 points, 2.9 assists and 4.8 boards.

Heat Player Props

Pacers Recent Trends

• The Pacers have gone 1-9 in their past 10 games, with a 5-5 record against the spread in that span.
• Indiana has averaged a total of 228.2 combined points over its last 10 games, 7.3 fewer than this matchup's over/under of 235.5.
• The Pacers are 19-19-0 against the spread this year.
• Indiana has been underdogs by 6.5 points or more 18 times this season and are 9-9 ATS in those matchups.
• The Pacers have gone over the point total 39.5% of the time this season (15 of 38 games with a set point total).
• The Pacers score 6.6 fewer points per game (110.8) than the Heat give up (117.4).
• Indiana is 5-5 against the spread and 3-7 overall when it scores more than 117.4 points.
• The Pacers have shot at a 44.3% rate from the field this season, 1.6 percentage points below the 45.9% shooting opponents of the Heat have averaged.
• The Pacers have been better against the spread at home (11-9-0) than away (8-10-0) this season.
• In terms of the over/under, Indiana's games have gone over more often at home (nine of 20, 45%) than away (six of 18, 33.3%).
• This year the Pacers are 2-2 at home as moneyline favorites (.500 winning percentage). On the road they are 0-1 (.000).

Pacers Recent Stats

Pacers Leaders

• On a per-game basis, Pascal Siakam gets the Pacers 23.9 points, 6.8 rebounds and 3.8 assists. He also averages 1.3 steals and 0.4 blocked shots.
• Andrew Nembhard is putting up 17.2 points, 2.4 rebounds and 7.0 assists per contest. He's making 43.8% of his shots from the field and 35.4% from 3-point range, with 1.8 treys per contest.
• Jay Huff is averaging 8.1 points, 3.8 rebounds and 1.3 assists per contest. He is making 44.1% of his shots from the field and 31.3% from beyond the arc, with 1.4 treys per contest.
• Jarace Walker is putting up 8.8 points, 4.2 rebounds and 1.8 assists per game. He is sinking 35.9% of his shots from the field and 33.3% from beyond the arc, with 1.4 treys per contest.
• The Pacers are getting 10.2 points, 2.5 rebounds and 4.8 assists per game from T.J. McConnell this year.

Pacers Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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