Yankees vs. Orioles Prediction, Odds, Picks - April 28

Yankees vs. Orioles Prediction, Odds, Picks - April 28

Updated Apr. 28, 2025 6:00 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

Aaron Judge and the New York Yankees will try to defeat Cedric Mullins and the Baltimore Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Monday at 6:35 p.m. ET. The Yankees are listed as -133 moneyline favorites in this matchup with the Orioles (+113). New York is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +118 odds). A 9.5-run total has been set for this contest.

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Yankees-Orioles game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Yankees vs. Orioles Game Information & Odds

  • When: Monday, April 28, 2025 at 6:35 p.m. ET
  • Where: Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland
  • How to watch on TV: MASN and YES
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Yankees -133 +113 9.5 -106 -114 -1.5 +118 -139

Yankees vs. Orioles Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Yankees 4, Orioles 3
  • Total Prediction: Under 9.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Yankees 56%, Orioles 44%

Yankees vs. Orioles Betting Insights

  • The Yankees have won 15, or 68.2%, of the 22 games they've played as favorites this season.
  • New York is 14-5 this season when entering a game favored by -133 or more on the moneyline.
  • The Yankees have a 57.1% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • The Orioles have been chosen as underdogs in 12 games this year and have walked away with the win five times (41.7%) in those games.
  • Baltimore has won all of its three games in which it was named as at least a +113 moneyline underdog.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Orioles have a 46.9% chance of walking away with the win.

Yankees Recent Betting Performance

  • The Yankees went 5-2 across the seven games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
  • In their last 10 matchups, the Yankees and their opponents combined to hit the over three times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
  • The Yankees are 4-6-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Yankees Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.8
HR 12
ERA 2.76
K/9 7.3

Yankees Player Insights

  • Judge is the bat to watch in the Yankees lineup, leading the team in batting average (.406), home runs (8), and RBI (27).
  • Of all batters in MLB, Judge's home run total places him sixth, and his RBI tally puts him second.
  • Judge takes a hitting streak of eight games into this game. In his last 10 outings he is batting .400 with two doubles, a triple, a home run, five walks and six RBI.
  • Ben Rice is hitting .259 with four doubles, a triple, six home runs and 13 walks.
  • Rice is 24th in homers in MLB, and 117th in RBI.
  • Jasrado Hermis Arrington (Coakley) Chisholm has two doubles, seven home runs and 15 walks while hitting .178.
  • Chisholm has at least one base hit in four straight games. In his last five games he is batting .286 with seven walks and three RBI.
  • Anthony Volpe is hitting .228 with seven doubles, five home runs and 13 walks.
  • Volpe is riding a three-game hitting streak into this one. In his last five games he is batting .278 with two doubles, a home run, two walks and two RBI.

Yankees Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Cody James Bellinger 0.5 (-230) 1.5 (+130) - 0.5 (+160)
Anthony Volpe 0.5 (-225) 1.5 (+140) - 0.5 (+170)
Paul Goldschmidt 1.5 (+195) 1.5 (+115) - 0.5 (+125)
Aaron Judge 1.5 (+145) 1.5 (-155) - 0.5 (-105)
Trent Grisham 0.5 (-195) 0.5 (-195) - 0.5 (+185)

Orioles Recent Betting Performance

  • The Orioles have played as underdogs in three of their past 10 games and won one of those contests.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Orioles and their opponents are 3-6-1 when it comes to hitting the over.
  • The Orioles have three wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Orioles Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 3
HR 13
ERA 6.99
K/9 7.2

Orioles Player Insights

  • Mullins paces the Orioles in home runs (six), runs batted in (20) and has put up a team-best batting average of .279.
  • In all of the majors, Mullins is 24th in home runs and 15th in RBI.
  • Ryan O'Hearn is batting .303 with three doubles, four home runs and seven walks.
  • O'Hearn ranks 57th overall in home runs and 178th in RBI this season.
  • Adley Rutschman is batting .209 with two doubles, four home runs and 14 walks.
  • Jordan Westburg is hitting .217 with two doubles, a triple, four home runs and five walks.

Orioles Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Ryan Mountcastle 0.5 (-210) 1.5 (+140) - 0.5 (+170)
Gunnar Henderson 0.5 (-225) 1.5 (+125) - 0.5 (+175)
Ryan O'Hearn 0.5 (-175) 0.5 (-175) - 0.5 (+200)
Ramon Urias 0.5 (-180) 0.5 (-185) - 0.5 (+215)
Ramon Laureano 0.5 (-130) 0.5 (-130) - 0.5 (+240)

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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