Yankees vs. Mets Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 6

Cody Bellinger and the New York Yankees will take on the New York Mets and Pete Alonso on Sunday at 1:40 p.m. ET, at Citi Field. Oddsmakers list the Yankees as -186 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the underdog Mets +155 moneyline odds to win. The Yankees are favored on the run line (-1.5). A 9-run over/under is set in the matchup.

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Yankees-Mets game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Yankees vs. Mets Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the New York Yankees and New York Mets.

Yankees vs. Mets Game Information & Odds

• When: Sunday, July 6, 2025 at 1:40 p.m. ET
• Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
• How to watch on TV: SNY

Yankees vs. Mets Prediction

• Score Prediction: Mets 5, Yankees 4
• Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
• Win Probabilities: Yankees 53%, Mets 47%

Yankees vs. Mets Betting Insights

• This season, the Yankees have won 45 out of the 79 games, or 57%, in which they've been favored.
• The Yankees have a record of 17-10, a 63% win rate, when they're favored by -186 or more by oddsmakers this season.
• The implied probability of a win from the Yankees, based on the moneyline, is 65%.
• The Mets have been underdogs in 27 games this season and have come away with the win 11 times (40.7%) in those contests.
• The Mets have been listed as an underdog of +155 or more on two occasions this season and lost both games.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mets have a 39.2% chance of pulling out a win.

Yankees Recent Betting Performance

• The Yankees have a 3-6 record from the nine games they were moneyline favorites over their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Yankees and their opponents combined to go over the total seven times.
• The Yankees have put together a 4-6-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Yankees Recent Stats

Yankees Player Insights

• Aaron Judge is the bat to watch in the Yankees lineup, leading the team in batting average (.361), home runs (32), and RBI (71).
• Judge's home runs place him second in the majors, and he ranks fifth in RBI.
• Bellinger is hitting .268 with 16 doubles, three triples, 13 home runs and 28 walks.
• Bellinger is 52nd in homers and 50th in RBI among all major league batters this year.
• Bellinger carries an 11-game streak with at least one hit into this matchup. In his last 10 outings he is batting .311 with two doubles, three home runs, a walk and nine RBIs.
• Paul Goldschmidt is batting .282 with 18 doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 27 walks.
• Anthony Volpe is batting .222 with 21 doubles, three triples, 10 home runs and 34 walks.

Yankees Team Props

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• Over the past 10 games, the Mets have been underdogs twice and won both contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Mets and their opponents are 8-2-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
• The Mets have a record of 4-6-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• Juan Soto has swatted a team-high 21 long balls.
• Soto's home run total puts him ninth in MLB, and he ranks 34th in RBI.
• Soto carries a four-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .412 with a double, a home run, four walks and four RBIs.
• Alonso's 73 RBI and .290 batting average are both team-highs.
• Alonso ranks 12th in home runs and third in RBI among all major league batters this season.
• Francisco Lindor has 17 doubles, 17 home runs and 31 walks while batting .261.
• Brandon Nimmo has 16 doubles, 18 home runs and 25 walks while hitting .257.

Mets Team Props

Yankees vs. Mets Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the New York Yankees and New York Mets.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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