Twins vs. White Sox Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 22

Twins vs. White Sox Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 22

Updated Aug. 22, 2025 7:00 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

Trevor Larnach and the Minnesota Twins will play Miguel Vargas and the Chicago White Sox on Friday at Rate Field, at 7:40 p.m. ET. Oddsmakers list the Twins as -130 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog White Sox +109 moneyline odds. Minnesota is favored on the run line (-1.5 with +131 odds). An 8.5-run total has been listed for this matchup.

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Twins-White Sox game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Twins vs. White Sox Game Information & Odds

  • When: Friday, August 22, 2025 at 7:40 p.m. ET
  • Where: Rate Field in Chicago, Illinois
  • How to watch on TV: CHSN and MNNT
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Twins -130 +109 8.5 -107 -113 -1.5 +131 -157

Twins vs. White Sox Prediction

  • Score Prediction: White Sox 5, Twins 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Twins 52%, White Sox 48%

Twins vs. White Sox Betting Insights

  • The Twins have been favorites in 73 games this season and won 36 (49.3%) of those contests.
  • Minnesota has a record of 23-19, a 54.8% win rate, when favored by -130 or more by bookmakers this season.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Twins have a 56.5% chance to win.
  • The White Sox have won in 44, or 35.2%, of the 125 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • Chicago has a win-loss record of 43-75 when favored by +109 or worse by bookmakers this year.
  • The White Sox have an implied victory probability of 47.8% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Twins Recent Betting Performance

  • The Twins did not win a game while favored on the moneyline in the last 10 games in three tries.
  • Over their last 10 matchups, the Twins and their opponents combined to go over the run total four times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
  • The Twins have put together a 3-7-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Twins Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 2-8
Runs Per Game 3.1
HR 8
ERA 4.35
K/9 8.6

Twins Player Insights

  • Not only does Byron Buxton lead the Twins in hitting with his .270 average, he also paces the squad with 25 home runs and 61 RBI.
  • In all of MLB, Buxton ranks 22nd in home runs and 65th in RBI.
  • Larnach is batting .247 with 18 doubles, a triple, 16 home runs and 41 walks.
  • Larnach ranks 85th in homers and 118th in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
  • Larnach heads into this game looking for his fifth game in a row with a hit. In his last five games he is batting .263 with two doubles, two walks and an RBI.
  • Brooks Lee is batting .249 with 13 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 22 walks.
  • Ryan Jeffers is batting .262 with 22 doubles, nine home runs and 41 walks.

Twins Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Trevor Larnach 0.5 (-205) 1.5 (+130) - 0.5 (+200)
Ryan Jeffers 0.5 (-205) 1.5 (+135) - 0.5 (+190)
Royce Lewis 0.5 (-200) 1.5 (+135) - 0.5 (+195)
Brooks Lee 0.5 (-195) 1.5 (+140) - 0.5 (+190)
Luke Keaschall 1.5 (+185) 1.5 (+110) - 0.5 (+190)

White Sox Recent Betting Performance

  • In 10 games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by oddsmakers, the White Sox had a record of 3-7.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the White Sox and their opponents are 4-6-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
  • The White Sox are 7-3-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

White Sox Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 4.4
HR 11
ERA 4.45
K/9 8.6

White Sox Player Insights

  • Vargas is hitting .231 with 27 doubles, two triples, 13 home runs and 43 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .307.
  • Among all hitters in the majors, Vargas ranks 118th in home runs and 139th in RBI.
  • Andrew Benintendi has 14 doubles, two triples, 14 home runs and 32 walks while batting .227.
  • Benintendi ranks 112th among all hitters in the majors in home runs, and 134th in RBI.
  • Lenyn Sosa has racked up a club-best .271 batting average, and leads the White Sox in home runs (17) and runs batted in (55).
  • Luis Robert has 12 doubles, 13 home runs and 40 walks while batting .220.

White Sox Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Lenyn Sosa 0.5 (-255) 1.5 (+120) - 0.5 (+165)
Brooks Baldwin - - - -
Aaron Civale - - - -
Luis Robert 0.5 (-195) - - 0.5 (+225)
Kyle Teel 0.5 (-195) - - 0.5 (+200)

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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