Twins vs. Brewers Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 16

The Minnesota Twins and Harrison Bader will take the field against the Milwaukee Brewers and Brice Turang at American Family Field on Friday, with the first pitch at 8:10 p.m. ET. The Twins are favored in this one, at -130, while the underdog Brewers have +110 odds to play spoiler. Minnesota is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The over/under is 7.5 runs for the game.

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Twins-Brewers game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Twins vs. Brewers Game Information & Odds

• When: Friday, May 16, 2025 at 8:10 p.m. ET
• Where: American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin
• How to watch on TV: FDSWI and MNNT

Twins vs. Brewers Prediction

• Score Prediction: Brewers 5, Twins 4
• Total Prediction: Under 7.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Twins 51%, Brewers 49%

Twins vs. Brewers Betting Insights

• The Twins have won 15, or 55.6%, of the 27 games they've played as favorites this season.
• This season Minnesota has won 11 of its 15 games, or 73.3%, when favored by at least -130 on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 56.5% chance of a victory for the Twins.
• The Brewers have come away with seven wins in the 23 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• This season, Milwaukee has been victorious three times in 15 chances when named as an underdog of at least +110 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Brewers have an implied victory probability of 47.6% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Twins Recent Betting Performance

• The Twins played as the moneyline favorite for four of their last 10 games, and won every time.
• In their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Twins and their opponents combined to go over the run total five times.
• The Twins' record against the spread is 9-1-0 over their past 10 games.

Twins Recent Stats

Twins Player Insights

• Not only does Byron Buxton lead the Twins in hitting with his .261 average, he also paces the squad with 10 home runs and 27 RBI.
• Including all MLB hitters, Buxton ranks 70th in batting average, 105th in on-base percentage, and 21st in slugging.
• Buxton carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .118 with a home run, three walks and two RBIs.
• Trevor Larnach has five doubles, seven home runs and 17 walks while hitting .244.
• Larnach is 48th in home runs in MLB, and 58th in RBI.
• Ty France has eight doubles, three home runs and 10 walks while batting .252.
• Bader is hitting .300 with six doubles, four home runs and 12 walks.
• Bader brings a five-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last five outings he is hitting .400 with two doubles, a walk and two RBIs.

Twins Team Props

Brewers Recent Betting Performance

• The Brewers have played as underdogs in six of their past 10 games and won three of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Brewers and their opponents have failed to hit the over eight times.
• The Brewers have won five of their last 10 games against the spread.

Brewers Recent Stats

Brewers Player Insights

• Jackson Chourio has launched a team-high seven home runs.
• Chourio's home run total places him 48th in the majors, and he is 37th in RBI.
• Turang is batting .289 with three doubles, three home runs and 19 walks.
• Turang is 166th in home runs and 138th in RBI among all MLB batters this year.
• William Contreras has three doubles, four home runs and 25 walks while batting .238.
• Rhys Hoskins leads the Brewers with a .292 batting average.

Brewers Team Props

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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