Tigers vs. Guardians Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 17

Tigers vs. Guardians Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 17

Updated Sep. 17, 2025 6:01 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

Kerry Carpenter and the Detroit Tigers will see Gavin Williams starting for the Cleveland Guardians in the second game of a three-game series, Wednesday at 6:40 p.m. ET. Oddsmakers list the Tigers as -144 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the underdog Guardians +121 moneyline odds to win. Detroit is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The game's over/under is listed at 8 runs.

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Tigers-Guardians game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Tigers vs. Guardians Game Information & Odds

  • When: Wednesday, September 17, 2025 at 6:40 p.m. ET
  • Where: Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan
  • How to watch on TV: Fox Sports 1, FDSDET, and CLEG
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Tigers -144 +121 8 -111 -109 -1.5 +146 -175

Tigers vs. Guardians Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Tigers 5, Guardians 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Tigers 54%, Guardians 46%

Tigers vs. Guardians Betting Insights

  • The Tigers have won 63, or 60%, of the 105 games they've played as favorites this season.
  • Detroit has entered 63 games this season favored by -144 or more and is 43-20 in those contests.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 59% chance of a victory for the Tigers.
  • The Guardians have been underdogs in 83 games this season and have come away with the win 38 times (45.8%) in those contests.
  • This season, Cleveland has been victorious 20 times in 37 chances when named as an underdog of at least +121 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Guardians have a 45.2% chance of pulling out a win.

Tigers Recent Betting Performance

  • The Tigers have a 2-5 record from the seven games they were moneyline favorites over their last 10 matchups.
  • In their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Tigers combined with their opponents to hit the over on the run total eight times.
  • The Tigers have a 4-6-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Tigers Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 5.4
HR 13
ERA 4.40
K/9 8.9

Tigers Player Insights

  • Gleyber Torres has 21 doubles, 16 home runs and 82 walks while batting .254.
  • Torres is 117th in homers and 64th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
  • Riley Greene has shown off his power as he paces his team with 34 home runs and 108 RBI, with a team-high .265 batting average.
  • Among all major league batters, Greene is 10th in homers and fifth in RBI.
  • Spencer Torkelson is batting .242 with 26 doubles, a triple, 29 home runs and 68 walks.
  • Torkelson has at least one base hit in three straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .368 with a home run, three walks and two RBIs.
  • Zach McKinstry has 21 doubles, 11 triples, 11 home runs and 45 walks while hitting .261.

Tigers Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Riley Greene 0.5 (-186) 1.5 (+140) - 0.5 (+176)
Gleyber Torres 0.5 (-223) 1.5 (+131) - 0.5 (+197)
Jake Rogers - - - -
Jack Flaherty - - - -
Zach McKinstry 0.5 (-128) - - 0.5 (+254)

Guardians Recent Betting Performance

  • The Guardians have played as underdogs three times over their past 10 games and won each of those contests.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Guardians and their opponents have combined to hit the over two times.
  • The Guardians have a record of 8-2-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Guardians Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 9-1
Runs Per Game 4
HR 9
ERA 1.68
K/9 8.3

Guardians Player Insights

  • Jose Ramirez paces the Guardians with 28 home runs and 78 runs batted in, while posting a team-best batting average of .282.
  • Ramirez's home run total places him 29th in the big leagues, and he ranks 47th in RBI.
  • Steven Kwan is batting .274 with 27 doubles, a triple, 10 home runs and 52 walks.
  • Kwan ranks 202nd in home runs and 169th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
  • Kyle Manzardo is hitting .241 with 16 doubles, two triples, 26 home runs and 46 walks.
  • Angel Martinez is batting .228 with 22 doubles, two triples, 11 home runs and 19 walks.

Guardians Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Steven Kwan 0.5 (-239) 1.5 (+138) - 0.5 (+254)
Kyle Manzardo 0.5 (-189) 1.5 (+133) - 0.5 (+161)
José Ramírez 0.5 (-235) 1.5 (+115) - 0.5 (+155)
Gavin Williams - - - -
Daniel Schneemann - - - -

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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