Reds vs. Rays Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 27

Shane Baz will start for the Tampa Bay Rays in the final of a three-game series against the Cincinnati Reds and Austin Hays on Sunday at 1:40 p.m. ET. The Rays are -110 moneyline underdogs for this matchup against the Reds (-110). Tampa Bay is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +148 odds). The total is 9.5 runs for the matchup.

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Reds-Rays game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Rays vs. Reds Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best highlights between the Tampa Bay Rays and Cincinnati Reds.

Reds vs. Rays Game Information & Odds

• When: Sunday, July 27, 2025 at 1:40 p.m. ET
• Where: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio
• How to watch on TV: FDSOH and FDSSUN

Reds vs. Rays Prediction

• Score Prediction: Reds 5, Rays 4
• Total Prediction: Under 9.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Reds 52%, Rays 48%

Reds vs. Rays Betting Insights

• This season, the Reds have been favored 48 times and won 25, or 52.1%, of those games.
• Cincinnati is 25-23 this season when entering a game favored by -110 or more on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 52.4% chance of a victory for the Reds.
• The Rays have been underdogs in 49 games this season and have come away with the win 21 times (42.9%) in those contests.
• This year, Tampa Bay has won 21 of 49 games when listed as at least -110 or worse on the moneyline.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Rays have a 52.4% chance of pulling out a win.

Reds Recent Betting Performance

• The Reds played as the moneyline favorite for seven of their last 10 games, and they finished 5-2 in those matchups.
• In their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Reds and their opponents combined to go over the total two times.
• The Reds have gone 7-3-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Reds Recent Stats

Reds Player Insights

• Elly De La Cruz is the bat to watch in the Reds lineup, leading the team in batting average (.285), home runs (18), and RBI (67).
• Among all batters in the majors, De La Cruz is 36th in home runs and 15th in RBI.
• De La Cruz has collected a hit in two games in a row. In his last five games he is batting .368 with four doubles, five walks and two RBIs.
• TJ Friedl is hitting .268 with 15 doubles, two triples, 10 home runs and 51 walks.
• Friedl is 133rd in homers and 155th in RBI on the year.
• Friedl has two straight games with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .294 with a home run, five walks and three RBIs.
• Spencer Steer is batting .244 with 15 doubles, a triple, 11 home runs and 27 walks.
• Matt McLain is batting .220 with 11 doubles, 11 home runs and 38 walks.

Reds Team Props

Rays Recent Betting Performance

• The Rays have played as underdogs in four of their past 10 games and lost each of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Rays and their opponents have failed to hit the over seven times.
• Over their last 10 games, the Rays are 2-8-0 against the spread.

Rays Recent Stats

Rays Player Insights

• Yandy Diaz is hitting .286 with 19 doubles, a triple, 18 home runs and 34 walks.
• In all of MLB, Diaz ranks 36th in homers and 26th in RBI.
• Junior Caminero been a consistent power bat this season, as he paces his team with 26 home runs and 68 RBI.
• Caminero is seventh in homers and 14th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Jonathan Aranda leads the Rays' lineup with a .315 batting average.
• Chandler Simpson is hitting .308 with eight doubles, a triple and 13 walks.

Rays Team Props

Rays vs. Reds Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best highlights between the Tampa Bay Rays and Cincinnati Reds.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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