Reds vs. Cardinals Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 16

Reds vs. Cardinals Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 16

Updated Sep. 16, 2025 7:00 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

Andrew Abbott and Michael McGreevy are the projected starters when the Cincinnati Reds and the St. Louis Cardinals square off on Tuesday at Busch Stadium, at 7:45 p.m. ET. The favored Reds have -123 moneyline odds against the underdog Cardinals, who are listed at +103. Cincinnati is a 1.5-run favorite (at +137 odds). The total for the contest is set at 8 runs.

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Reds-Cardinals game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Reds vs. Cardinals Game Information & Odds

  • When: Tuesday, September 16, 2025 at 7:45 p.m. ET
  • Where: Busch Stadium in St. Louis, Missouri
  • How to watch on TV: FDSMW and FDSOH
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Reds -123 +103 8 -108 -112 -1.5 +137 -164

Reds vs. Cardinals Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Cardinals 6, Reds 5
  • Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Reds 51%, Cardinals 49%

Reds vs. Cardinals Betting Insights

  • The Reds have been favorites in 64 games this season and won 33 (51.6%) of those contests.
  • Cincinnati has a record of 25-20, a 55.6% win rate, when favored by -123 or more by bookmakers this season.
  • The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 55.2% chance of a victory for the Reds.
  • The Cardinals have been victorious in 39, or 47%, of the 83 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • St. Louis has a mark of 24-37 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +103 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Cardinals have an implied victory probability of 49.3% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Reds Recent Betting Performance

  • The Reds have a 1-2 record over the three games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
  • Over their last 10 matchups, the Reds and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total three times (all 10 games had set totals).
  • The Reds have a 6-4-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Reds Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.2
HR 14
ERA 4.44
K/9 8.4

Reds Player Insights

  • Not only does Elly De La Cruz lead the Reds in hitting with his .263 average, he also is their premier power option with 19 home runs and 82 RBI.
  • Of all hitters in the majors, De La Cruz's home run total ranks him 80th, and his RBI tally puts him 31st.
  • TJ Friedl is batting .261 with 20 doubles, two triples, 12 home runs and 75 walks.
  • Friedl ranks 164th in homers and 174th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
  • Spencer Steer is batting .237 with 20 doubles, two triples, 17 home runs and 45 walks.
  • Austin Hays is batting .266 with 15 doubles, five triples, 15 home runs and 29 walks.

Reds Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Will Benson 0.5 (-211) 1.5 (+120) - 0.5 (+154)
TJ Friedl 0.5 (-223) 1.5 (+146) - 0.5 (+235)
Sal Stewart 0.5 (-243) 1.5 (+127) - 0.5 (+146)
Gavin Lux 0.5 (-208) 1.5 (+149) - 0.5 (+215)
Elly De La Cruz 0.5 (-214) 1.5 (+132) - 0.5 (+182)

Cardinals Recent Betting Performance

  • The Cardinals have played as underdogs in seven of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Cardinals and their opponents are 5-5-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
  • Over their last 10 games, the Cardinals are 3-7-0 against the spread.

Cardinals Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 3.5
HR 5
ERA 4.99
K/9 7.6

Cardinals Player Insights

  • Alec Burleson is batting .281 with 23 doubles, two triples, 17 home runs and 36 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .333.
  • Burleson's home run total places him 101st in the big leagues, and he is 87th in RBI.
  • Willson Contreras has hit 20 home runs with 80 runs batted in, leading the team in both categories.
  • Contreras is currently 70th in home runs and 37th in RBI in the major leagues.
  • Brendan Donovan has racked up a team-best batting average of .283.
  • Lars Nootbaar is hitting .238 with 23 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 58 walks.

Cardinals Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Nolan Arenado 0.5 (-238) 1.5 (+121) - 0.5 (+171)
Ivan Herrera 0.5 (-225) 1.5 (+130) - 0.5 (+201)
Brendan Donovan 0.5 (-240) 1.5 (+135) - 0.5 (+239)
Alec Burleson 0.5 (-219) 1.5 (+136) - 0.5 (+171)
Victor Scott II - - - -

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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