Red Sox vs. Yankees Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 14

Alex Bregman and the Boston Red Sox will try to outdo Cody Bellinger and the New York Yankees at Fenway Park on Sunday at 7:10 p.m. ET. The Red Sox are the favorite in this one, at -154, while the underdog Yankees have +128 odds to win. Boston is a 1.5-run favorite (at +138 odds). The total for the matchup is set at 8 runs.

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Red Sox-Yankees game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Red Sox vs. Yankees Game Information & Odds

• When: Sunday, September 14, 2025 at 7:10 p.m. ET
• Where: Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts
• How to watch on TV: ESPN

Red Sox vs. Yankees Prediction

• Score Prediction: Red Sox 5, Yankees 4
• Total Prediction: Under 8 runs
• Win Probabilities: Red Sox 52%, Yankees 48%

Red Sox vs. Yankees Betting Insights

• The Red Sox have won 53, or 58.2%, of the 91 games they've played as favorites this season.
• This season Boston has won 20 of its 31 games, or 64.5%, when favored by at least -154 on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from the Red Sox, based on the moneyline, is 60.6%.
• The Yankees have come away with nine wins in the 21 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• New York has been listed as an underdog of +128 or more on two occasions this season and split those games.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Yankees have a 43.9% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

• The Red Sox have a 2-4 record across the six games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 outings, the Red Sox and their opponents combined to hit the over on the run total three times (all 10 games had set totals).
• The Red Sox are 4-6-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Red Sox Player Insights

• Jarren Duran is great at both finding his way aboard and doing damage when he's at the plate. Duran leads the Red Sox this season with a .333 OBP, .447 slugging percentage, and 147 base hits.
• Among all MLB hitters, Duran is 77th in batting average, 63rd in on-base percentage, and 61st in slugging.
• Trevor Story has put his power on display as he leads his team with 24 home runs and 91 RBI, with a team-high .259 batting average.
• Story is 46th in homers and 18th in RBI on the season.
• Bregman is hitting .278 with 27 doubles, 17 home runs and 43 walks.
• Bregman will look to build on his five-game hitting in this game. In his last five games he is hitting .286 with a double, a home run, three walks and two RBIs.
• Ceddanne Rafaela is batting .241 with 29 doubles, three triples, 16 home runs and 25 walks.

Red Sox Team Props

Yankees Recent Betting Performance

• The Yankees are not favored for the first time in a while, as they have not been underdogs in their last 10 games.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Yankees and their opponents are 5-5-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
• The Yankees have a record of 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Yankees Recent Stats

Yankees Player Insights

• Aaron Judge leads the Yankees with 47 home runs and 101 runs batted in, while recording a team-best batting average of .325.
• In all of the majors, Judge ranks fourth in homers and ninth in RBI.
• Judge has collected a hit in three games in a row. In his last five games he is batting .438 with four home runs, four walks and four RBIs.
• Bellinger is hitting .278 with 25 doubles, five triples, 28 home runs and 48 walks.
• Bellinger ranks 23rd in home runs and 16th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Jazz Chisholm is hitting .246 with 13 doubles, a triple, 29 home runs and 56 walks.
• Trent Grisham is batting .238 with nine doubles, a triple, 30 home runs and 71 walks.

Yankees Team Props

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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