Red Sox vs. Twins Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 2

The Boston Red Sox and Alexander Bregman will square off against the Minnesota Twins and Trevor Larnach on Friday at 7:10 p.m. ET in the first game of a three-game series at Fenway Park. The Twins are -102 moneyline underdogs for this matchup with the favorite Red Sox (-118). Minnesota is favored on the run line (-1.5). The over/under is 9 runs for the contest (with -102 odds to hit the over and -118 odds on the under).

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Red Sox-Twins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Twins vs. Guardians Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Minnesota Twins and the Cleveland Guardians.

Red Sox vs. Twins Game Information & Odds

• When: Friday, May 2, 2025 at 7:10 p.m. ET
• Where: Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts
• How to watch on TV: NESN and MNNT

Red Sox vs. Twins Prediction

• Score Prediction: Red Sox 4, Twins 3
• Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
• Win Probabilities: Red Sox 53%, Twins 47%

Red Sox vs. Twins Betting Insights

• This season, the Red Sox have been favored 25 times and won 14, or 56%, of those games.
• This season Boston has won 13 of its 21 games, or 61.9%, when favored by at least -118 on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from the Red Sox, based on the moneyline, is 54.1%.
• The Twins have come away with two wins in the nine contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• This year, Minnesota has won one of six games when listed as at least -102 or worse on the moneyline.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Twins have a 50.5% chance of pulling out a win.

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

• The Red Sox were the moneyline favorite for nine of their last 10 games, and they finished 5-4 in those matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups, the Red Sox and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total seven times (all 10 games had set totals).
• The Red Sox have put together a 5-5-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Red Sox Player Insights

• Not only does Bregman lead the Red Sox in hitting with his .326 average, he also paces the squad with seven home runs and 26 RBI.
• Bregman's home runs place him 22nd in the majors, and he is seventh in RBI.
• Bregman has collected a hit in 11 games in a row. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .400 with five doubles, three home runs, five walks and 10 RBI.
• Wilyer Abreu is batting .283 with six doubles, six home runs and 20 walks.
• Abreu is 31st in homers in baseball, and 19th in RBI.
• Jarren Duran is hitting .279 with eight doubles, three triples, two home runs and 10 walks.
• Duran is on a five-game hitting streak entering this contest. During his last five outings he is batting .458 with a double, a triple, a home run, a walk and six RBI.
• Rafael Devers has 10 doubles, five home runs and 25 walks while batting .228.
• Devers is riding a six-game hitting streak into this one. During his last 10 outings he is batting .243 with three doubles, three home runs, eight walks and seven RBI.

Red Sox Team Props

Twins Recent Betting Performance

• Over the past 10 games, the Twins have been underdogs twice and split those games 1-1.
• When it comes to hitting the over, the Twins and their opponents are 3-7-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Twins have won seven of their last 10 games against the spread.

Twins Recent Stats

Twins Player Insights

• The Twins are led in runs batted in by Ty France with a mark of 18, he also leads the team in hitting, posting an average of .281.
• France is 117th in home runs and 35th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
• France has collected a hit in six straight games. During his last 10 games he is hitting .378 with four doubles, a home run, three walks and eight RBI.
• Byron Buxton's six home runs are a team-high total.
• Buxton is currently 31st in homers and 45th in RBI in the major leagues.
• Larnach is hitting .227 with two doubles, four home runs and 15 walks.
• Harrison Bader has three doubles, three home runs and eight walks while batting .265.

Twins Team Props

Twins vs. Guardians Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Minnesota Twins and the Cleveland Guardians.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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