Red Sox vs. Royals Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 9

Bobby Witt Jr. and Alexander Bregman take the field when the Kansas City Royals and Boston Red Sox meet on Friday at Kauffman Stadium. The Red Sox have been listed as -110 moneyline favorites for this matchup with the Royals (-109). Boston is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The total is 9 runs for this game.

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Red Sox-Royals game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Red Sox vs. Royals Game Information & Odds

• When: Friday, May 9, 2025 at 7:40 p.m. ET
• Where: Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri
• How to watch on TV: FDSKC and NESN

Red Sox vs. Royals Prediction

• Score Prediction: Royals 5, Red Sox 4
• Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
• Win Probabilities: Red Sox 54%, Royals 46%

Red Sox vs. Royals Betting Insights

• The Red Sox have entered the game as favorites 30 times this season and won 17, or 56.7%, of those games.
• Boston is 17-14 this season when entering a game favored by -110 or more on the moneyline.
• The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 52.4% chance of a victory for the Red Sox.
• The Royals have been underdogs in 22 games this season and have come away with the win 10 times (45.5%) in those contests.
• Kansas City has a win-loss record of 10-12 when favored by -109 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Royals have a 52.2% chance of pulling out a win.

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

• The Red Sox have a 5-3 record over the eight games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 outings, the Red Sox and their opponents combined to hit the over five times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
• The Red Sox's ATS record is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Red Sox Player Insights

• Bregman has accumulated a team-best batting average of .318, and leads the Red Sox in home runs (nine) and runs batted in (30).
• Among all hitters in MLB, Bregman's home run total places him 10th, and his RBI tally puts him eighth.
• Wilyer Abreu has shown off his power as he leads his team with nine home runs.
• Among all major league hitters, Abreu ranks 10th in home runs and 16th in RBI.
• Rafael Devers is hitting .255 with 11 doubles, six home runs and 29 walks.
• Jarren Duran is batting .259 with nine doubles, four triples, two home runs and 10 walks.

Red Sox Team Props

Royals Recent Betting Performance

• In six games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Royals have a record of 5-1.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Royals and their opponents have failed to hit the over seven times.
• The Royals have seven wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Royals Recent Stats

Royals Player Insights

• Witt has driven in the most runs for the Royals with 23 runs batted in.
• Witt's home run total places him 66th in the majors, and he is 28th in RBI.
• Witt takes a hitting streak of five games into this game. During his last five outings he is batting .455 with four doubles, two home runs, a walk and eight RBIs.
• Maikel Garcia's .326 batting average paces his team.
• Among all major league hitters, Garcia ranks 100th in home runs and 79th in RBI.
• Vinnie Pasquantino has been a significant run producer for the Royals with six home runs and 23 runs batted in.
• Jonathan India has seven doubles, a home run and 20 walks while batting .237.

Royals Team Props

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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Kansas City Royals

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