Red Sox vs. Reds Prediction, Odds, Picks - June 30

Ceddanne Rafaela and the Boston Red Sox take on Elly De La Cruz and the Cincinnati Reds on Monday at 7:10 p.m. ET, in the first of a three-game series at Fenway Park. The favored Red Sox have -172 moneyline odds against the underdog Reds, who are listed at +143. Boston is favored on the run line (-1.5). The game's total is set at 8 runs.

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Red Sox-Reds game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Keep up with MLB on FOX Sports.

Padres vs. Reds Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the San Diego Padres and the Cincinnati Reds.

Red Sox vs. Reds Game Information & Odds

• When: Monday, June 30, 2025 at 7:10 p.m. ET
• Where: Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts
• How to watch on TV: NESN and FDSOH

Red Sox vs. Reds Prediction

• Score Prediction: Red Sox 5, Reds 4
• Total Prediction: Under 8 runs
• Win Probabilities: Red Sox 52%, Reds 48%

Red Sox vs. Reds Betting Insights

• The Red Sox have entered the game as favorites 50 times this season and won 25, or 50%, of those games.
• This season Boston has won four of its eight games when favored by at least -172 on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from the Red Sox, based on the moneyline, is 63.2%.
• The Reds have won in 25, or 53.2%, of the 47 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• This season, Cincinnati has been victorious three times in nine chances when named as an underdog of at least +143 or longer on the moneyline.
• The Reds have an implied victory probability of 41.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

• The Red Sox were the moneyline favorite for four of their last 10 games, and they went 1-3 in those matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings, the Red Sox and their opponents combined to go over the run total five times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
• The Red Sox's record against the spread is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Red Sox Player Insights

• Jarren Duran is batting .252 with 20 doubles, nine triples, five home runs and 24 walks.
• Among all batters in MLB, Duran ranks 207th in homers and 81st in RBI.
• Rafaela's .253 batting average leads his team.
• Rafaela ranks 109th in home runs and 115th in RBI on the season.
• Rafaela carries a three-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last five games he is batting .211 with a double, a home run and three RBIs.
• Wilyer Abreu leads the Red Sox with 14 home runs while racking up a team-high batting average of .253.
• Trevor Story has made the most of his opportunities as he leads his team with 43 runs batted in.
• Story is riding a two-game hitting streak into this one. During his last five outings he is hitting .222 with a double, a walk and four RBIs.

Red Sox Team Props

Reds Recent Betting Performance

• In six games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by bookmakers, the Reds had a record of 3-3.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Reds and their opponents have combined to hit the over three times.
• Over their last 10 games, the Reds are 5-5-0 against the spread.

Reds Recent Stats

Reds Player Insights

• De La Cruz has a team-high 18 home runs and has driven in 57 runs.
• In all of MLB, De La Cruz ranks 15th in home runs and 11th in RBI.
• TJ Friedl has a club-best .284 batting average.
• Friedl is currently 133rd in home runs and 132nd in RBI in the big leagues.
• Spencer Steer has 13 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 21 walks while batting .254.
• Gavin Lux is hitting .267 with 15 doubles, a triple, four home runs and 33 walks.

Reds Team Props

Padres vs. Reds Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the San Diego Padres and the Cincinnati Reds.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

Want great stories delivered right to your inbox? Create or log in to your FOX Sports account, follow leagues, teams and players to receive a personalized newsletter daily.

FOLLOW Follow your favorites to personalize your FOX Sports experience

Boston Red Sox

Cincinnati Reds