Red Sox vs. Braves Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 17

Alexander Bregman and Matt Olson are the hottest hitters on the Boston Red Sox and Atlanta Braves, who play on Saturday at Fenway Park, at 7:15 p.m. ET. The favored Red Sox have -120 moneyline odds against the underdog Braves, who are listed at +100. Atlanta is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +157 odds). The over/under for the game is set at 9.5 runs.

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Red Sox-Braves game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Braves vs. Red Sox Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best highlights between the Atlanta Braves and the Boston Red Sox.

Red Sox vs. Braves Game Information & Odds

• When: Saturday, May 17, 2025 at 7:15 p.m. ET
• Where: Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts
• How to watch on TV: FOX

Red Sox vs. Braves Prediction

• Score Prediction: Red Sox 5, Braves 4
• Total Prediction: Under 9.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Red Sox 53%, Braves 47%

Red Sox vs. Braves Betting Insights

• The Red Sox have been favorites in 33 games this season and won 17 (51.5%) of those contests.
• Boston has entered 23 games this season favored by -120 or more and is 13-10 in those contests.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 54.5% chance of a victory for the Red Sox.
• The Braves have won in four, or 36.4%, of the 11 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• Atlanta has a mark of 3-7 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +100 or worse on the moneyline.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Braves have a 50% chance of pulling out a win.

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

• The Red Sox have a 2-3 record from the five games they were moneyline favorites over their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups, the Red Sox and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total five times (all 10 games had set totals).
• The Red Sox have put together a 5-5-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Red Sox Player Insights

• Bregman paces the Red Sox with 11 home runs and 33 runs batted in, while racking up a team-best batting average of .309.
• Bregman's home runs put him 11th in MLB, and he ranks 12th in RBI.
• Wilyer Abreu has shown off his power as he leads his team with 11 home runs.
• Abreu ranks 11th in home runs in the majors, and 29th in RBI.
• Rafael Devers is batting .273 with 12 doubles, seven home runs and 34 walks.
• Jarren Duran has 10 doubles, five triples, two home runs and 11 walks while hitting .259.
• Duran has recorded at least one hit in three straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .286 with a double, a triple, a walk and two RBIs.

Red Sox Team Props

Braves Recent Betting Performance

• Over the past 10 games, the Braves have been underdogs just once and won that contest.
• The Braves and their opponents have combined to hit the over just once in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Braves have won four of their last 10 games against the spread.

Braves Recent Stats

Braves Player Insights

• Olson leads the Braves with eight long balls.
• Olson's home run total puts him 35th in the big leagues, and he is 67th in RBI.
• Marcell Ozuna is hitting .259 with six doubles, six home runs and 37 walks.
• Ozuna ranks 70th overall in home runs and 110th in RBI this year.
• Austin Riley leads the Braves with eight home runs and 26 runs batted in, while recording a club-high batting average of .280.
• Ozzie Albies is batting .219 with four doubles, five home runs and 14 walks.

Braves Team Props

Braves vs. Red Sox Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best highlights between the Atlanta Braves and the Boston Red Sox.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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