Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Prediction, Odds, Picks - April 10

Andres Gimenez and the Toronto Blue Jays will try to take down Wilyer Abreu and the Boston Red Sox when the teams square off on Thursday at 4:10 p.m. ET. The favored Red Sox have -128 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Blue Jays, who are listed at +109. Boston is favored on the run line (-1.5 with +162 odds). The over/under is 8.5 runs for this game (with +101 odds to go over and -121 odds to go under).

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Red Sox-Blue Jays game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments from this matchup between the Toronto Blue Jays and the Boston Red Sox.

Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Game Information & Odds

• When: Thursday, April 10, 2025 at 4:10 p.m. ET
• Where: Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts
• How to watch on TV: NESN and SNET

Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Prediction

• Score Prediction: Red Sox 6, Blue Jays 5
• Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Red Sox 51%, Blue Jays 49%

Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Betting Insights

• This season, the Red Sox have won five out of the nine games in which they've been favored.
• Boston has a record of 1-3 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -128 on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 56.1% chance of a victory for the Red Sox.
• The Blue Jays have been victorious in four of the seven contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• This year, Toronto has won three of six games when listed as at least +109 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Blue Jays have an implied victory probability of 47.8% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

• The Red Sox played as the moneyline favorite in seven of their last 10 games, and finished 4-3 in those matchups.
• In their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Red Sox and their opponents combined to go over the run total four times.
• The Red Sox have put together a 5-5-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Red Sox Player Insights

• Abreu's three long balls and 12 RBI both lead the Red Sox, in addition to his team-high .378 average.
• Abreu ranks 26th in homers and 10th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Kristian Campbell is batting .341 with four doubles, two home runs and eight walks.
• Campbell is 54th in home runs and 96th in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
• Campbell carries a three-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last five games he is batting .235 with four walks and an RBI.
• Alex Bregman is batting .291 with five doubles, two home runs and three walks.
• Rafael Devers is batting .265 with five doubles, a home run and nine walks.
• Devers brings a two-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last five games he is hitting .421 with four doubles, a home run, two walks and six RBI.

Red Sox Team Props

Blue Jays Recent Betting Performance

• The Blue Jays have played as underdogs in seven of their past 10 games and won four of those contests.
• Games involving the Blue Jays have not hit the over in 10 straight contests with a total.
• The Blue Jays have nine wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Blue Jays Recent Stats

Blue Jays Player Insights

• Gimenez has swatted a team-high three home runs.
• Gimenez's home run total puts him 26th in the majors, and he ranks 39th in RBI.
• George Springer has a club-high nine runs batted in and .447 batting average.
• Springer ranks 54th in home runs and 27th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Bo Bichette is hitting .291 with four doubles and three walks.
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is batting .288 with three doubles and six walks.

Blue Jays Team Props

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments from this matchup between the Toronto Blue Jays and the Boston Red Sox.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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