Phillies vs. Royals Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 12

Maikel Garcia and the Kansas City Royals will take the field against the Philadelphia Phillies and starter Walker Buehler on Friday. First pitch is at 6:45 p.m. ET at Citizens Bank Park. The Phillies are -141 moneyline favorites for this matchup against the Royals (+119). Philadelphia (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. The over/under is 9 runs for this matchup.

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Royals game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Phillies vs. Royals Game Information & Odds

• When: Friday, September 12, 2025 at 6:45 p.m. ET
• Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
• How to watch on TV: NBCS-PH and FDSKC

Phillies vs. Royals Prediction

• Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Royals 4
• Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
• Win Probabilities: Phillies 56%, Royals 44%

Phillies vs. Royals Betting Insights

• This season, the Phillies have been favored 119 times and won 74, or 62.2%, of those games.
• This season Philadelphia has won 55 of its 81 games, or 67.9%, when favored by at least -141 on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from the Phillies, based on the moneyline, is 58.5%.
• The Royals have been victorious in 38, or 45.8%, of the 83 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• Kansas City has a win-loss record of 17-18 when favored by +119 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Royals have a 45.7% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

• The Phillies have a 5-2 record across the seven games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Phillies and their opponents combined to hit the over five times.
• The Phillies' record against the spread is 8-2-0 over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Phillies Player Insights

• Kyle Schwarber is the Phillies best power hitter, connecting on 50 homers this season in addition to collecting 123 RBI, both team highs.
• Schwarber ranks second in home runs and first in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
• Schwarber brings a hitting streak of three games into this game. In his last five games he is hitting .235 with a home run, six walks and four RBIs.
• Bryce Harper has 31 doubles, 25 home runs and 58 walks while batting .265.
• Harper is 38th in home runs and 67th in RBI among all MLB batters this year.
• Harper has three games in a row with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is batting .286 with two doubles, a home run and three RBIs.
• Bryson Stott has 20 doubles, three triples, 10 home runs and 49 walks while batting .254.
• Stott is on a three-game hitting streak entering this contest. During his last five outings he is batting .353 with a double, two walks and two RBIs.
• Nick Castellanos is batting .255 with 27 doubles, two triples, 16 home runs and 30 walks.
• Castellanos is riding a five-game hitting streak into this one. In his last five games he is hitting .389 with two doubles, a triple, a walk and four RBIs.

Phillies Team Props

Royals Recent Betting Performance

• In five games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Royals have a record of 2-3.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Royals and their opponents have failed to hit the over eight times.
• The Royals have a record of 2-8-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Royals Recent Stats

Royals Player Insights

• Bobby Witt Jr. paces the Royals with a team-leading batting average of .293.
• Witt's home run total puts him 60th in MLB, and he is 42nd in RBI.
• Garcia has 36 doubles, five triples, 16 home runs and 55 walks while hitting .290.
• Garcia is 110th overall in home runs and 74th in RBI this year.
• Vinnie Pasquantino has been a significant run producer for the Royals with 30 home runs and 102 runs batted in.
• Salvador Perez is batting .235 with 34 doubles, 25 home runs and 23 walks.

Royals Team Props

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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