Phillies vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - June 7

Kyle Schwarber and the Philadelphia Phillies will attempt to take down Adam Frazier and the Pittsburgh Pirates when the teams meet on Saturday at 4:05 p.m. ET. The Pirates are listed as +123 moneyline underdogs for this matchup against the Phillies (-147). Philadelphia is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). An 8-run over/under has been listed for the matchup.

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Pirates game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Phillies vs. Pirates Game Information & Odds

• When: Saturday, June 7, 2025 at 4:05 p.m. ET
• Where: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
• How to watch on TV: SportsNet PT and NBCS-PH

Phillies vs. Pirates Prediction

• Score Prediction: Pirates 5, Phillies 4
• Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
• Win Probabilities: Phillies 50%, Pirates 50%

Phillies vs. Pirates Betting Insights

• The Phillies have won 32, or 61.5%, of the 52 games they've played as favorites this season.
• Philadelphia has entered 35 games this season favored by -147 or more and is 26-9 in those contests.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 59.5% chance of a victory for the Phillies.
• The Pirates have won in 18, or 39.1%, of the 46 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• This season, Pittsburgh has come away with a win 10 times in 30 chances when named as an underdog of at least +123 or longer on the moneyline.
• The Pirates have an implied victory probability of 44.8% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

• The Phillies played as the moneyline favorite for eight of their last 10 games, and they went 3-5 in those matchups.
• In their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Phillies and their opponents combined to go over the total six times.
• The Phillies have gone 2-8-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Phillies Player Insights

• Schwarber paces the Phillies with 19 home runs and 45 runs batted in.
• Of all batters in baseball, Schwarber ranks fourth in homers and ninth in RBI.
• Trea Turner's .306 batting average leads his team.
• Turner ranks 101st in home runs and 74th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Turner carries a two-game streak with at least one hit into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .364 with three doubles, two home runs, a walk and five RBIs.
• Bryce Harper has 13 doubles, nine home runs and 35 walks while batting .258.
• Nick Castellanos has 16 doubles, six home runs and 14 walks while batting .285.
• Castellanos is riding a three-game hitting streak into this one. In his last five games he is batting .278 with two doubles, a home run, a walk and two RBIs.

Phillies Team Props

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

• In nine games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Pirates have a record of 5-4.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Pirates and their opponents have failed to hit the over five times.
• The Pirates are 6-4-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Pirates Recent Stats

Pirates Player Insights

• Oneil Cruz has swatted a team-high 12 home runs.
• Among all hitters in the majors, Cruz's home run total ranks 27th and his RBI tally ranks 86th.
• Cruz brings a hitting streak of three games into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .235 with a double, four walks and two RBIs.
• Bryan Reynolds has made the most of his opportunities as he leads his team with 36 runs batted in.
• Reynolds is 81st in homers and 37th in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
• Andrew McCutchen leads the Pirates with a team-best batting average of .249.
• Isiah Kiner-Falefa has nine doubles, a triple, a home run and 10 walks while batting .303.

Pirates Team Props

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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