Phillies vs. Orioles Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 5

Dean Kremer will be on the hill for the Baltimore Orioles when they take on Kyle Schwarber and the Philadelphia Phillies on Tuesday at 6:45 p.m. ET. The Phillies are favored in this one, at -144, while the underdog Orioles have +120 odds to win. Philadelphia is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The over/under for the contest has been listed at 9.5 runs.

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Orioles game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Orioles vs. Phillies Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments from this MLB matchup between the Baltimore Orioles and the Philadelphia Phillies.

Phillies vs. Orioles Game Information & Odds

• When: Tuesday, August 5, 2025 at 6:45 p.m. ET
• Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
• How to watch on TV: NBCS-PH and MASN

Phillies vs. Orioles Prediction

• Score Prediction: Phillies 6, Orioles 4
• Total Prediction: Over 9.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Phillies 56%, Orioles 44%

Phillies vs. Orioles Betting Insights

• The Phillies have won 56, or 62.2%, of the 90 games they've played as favorites this season.
• Philadelphia has a record of 40-18 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -144 on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 59% chance of a victory for the Phillies.
• The Orioles have been victorious in 25, or 43.9%, of the 57 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• Baltimore has a mark of 7-14 in contests where bookmakers favor it by +120 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Orioles have a 45.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

• The Phillies played as the moneyline favorite for nine of their last 10 games, and they finished 5-4 in those matchups.
• In their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Phillies and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total six times.
• The Phillies' ATS record is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Phillies Player Insights

• Schwarber has gone yard 40 times in the 2025 campaign while knocking in 94 runs, both totals that lead the Phillies.
• Of all hitters in baseball, Schwarber ranks second in homers and first in RBI.
• Schwarber takes a hitting streak of two games into this game. In his last five games he is batting .300 with a double, three home runs and eight RBIs.
• Trea Turner's .281 batting average leads his team.
• Turner is 125th in home runs and 106th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Bryce Harper is batting .270 with 25 doubles, 17 home runs and 50 walks.
• Harper has at least one base hit in three games in a row. During his last five outings he is hitting .333 with two doubles, two home runs, two walks and three RBIs.
• Nick Castellanos is batting .269 with 23 doubles, a triple, 15 home runs and 23 walks.
• Castellanos brings a five-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last five outings he is hitting .353 with a home run and three RBIs.

Phillies Team Props

Orioles Recent Betting Performance

• The Orioles have played as underdogs in six of their past 10 games and won three of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Orioles and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times.
• The Orioles have seven wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Orioles Recent Stats

Orioles Player Insights

• Gunnar Henderson leads the Orioles with 47 runs batted in while racking up a team-high batting average of .286.
• Among all hitters in the majors, Henderson's home run total ranks 102nd and his RBI tally ranks 95th.
• Henderson brings a hitting streak of three games into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .333 with a home run, two walks and five RBIs.
• Jackson Holliday's 14 home runs lead his team.
• Among all MLB batters, Holliday is 91st in home runs and 125th in RBI.
• Adley Rutschman is batting .234 with 16 doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 34 walks.
• Jordan Westburg has nine doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 12 walks while hitting .272.

Orioles Team Props

Orioles vs. Phillies Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments from this MLB matchup between the Baltimore Orioles and the Philadelphia Phillies.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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