Phillies vs. Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 1

Kyle Schwarber and the Philadelphia Phillies will try to get to Brad Lord when he starts for the Washington Nationals on Thursday at 6:45 p.m. ET. The favored Phillies have -177 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Nationals, who are listed at +148. Philadelphia is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +115 odds). A 10-run total has been set for the contest.

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Nationals game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Check out the best moments between the Washington Nationals and the Philadelphia Phillies.

Phillies vs. Nationals Game Information & Odds

• When: Thursday, May 1, 2025 at 6:45 p.m. ET
• Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
• How to watch on TV: MLB Network, NBCS-PH, and MASN

Phillies vs. Nationals Prediction

• Score Prediction: Phillies 6, Nationals 4
• Total Prediction: Over 10 runs
• Win Probabilities: Phillies 56%, Nationals 44%

Phillies vs. Nationals Betting Insights

• The Phillies have won 13, or 59.1%, of the 22 games they've played as favorites this season.
• Philadelphia has a record of 9-1, a 90% win rate, when favored by -177 or more by oddsmakers this season.
• The implied probability of a win from the Phillies, based on the moneyline, is 63.9%.
• The Nationals have come away with 11 wins in the 25 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• This year, Washington has won four of nine games when listed as at least +148 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Nationals have an implied victory probability of 40.3% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

• The Phillies were the moneyline favorite for seven of their last 10 games, and they went 4-3 in those matchups.
• In their last 10 outings, the Phillies and their opponents combined to go over the run total six times (all 10 games had set totals).
• The Phillies have a 4-6-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Phillies Player Insights

• Schwarber leads the Phillies with nine home runs and 23 runs batted in.
• Schwarber's home runs place him fourth in MLB, and he ranks 16th in RBI.
• Schwarber has collected a hit in two games in a row. During his last five outings he is hitting .176 with a double, two home runs, three walks and seven RBI.
• Bryce Harper is hitting .234 with six doubles, five home runs and 24 walks.
• Harper ranks 48th in home runs and 56th in RBI on the year.
• Harper carries a two-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last five games he is hitting .158 with two doubles, three walks and two RBI.
• Bryson Stott paces the Phillies with a .297 batting average.
• Trea Turner is hitting .282 with five doubles, a home run and 12 walks.

Phillies Team Props

Nationals Recent Betting Performance

• The Nationals have played as underdogs in eight of their past 10 games and won four of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Nationals and their opponents have failed to hit the over six times.
• The Nationals have six wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Nationals Recent Stats

Nationals Player Insights

• James Wood leads the Nationals with nine long balls.
• Wood is fourth in homers and 19th in RBI among all batters in the majors.
• Nathaniel Lowe has collected 24 runs batted in to lead his team.
• Among all major league hitters, Lowe ranks 31st in homers and ninth in RBI.
• Keibert Ruiz leads the Nationals' lineup with a .301 batting average.
• Luis Garcia is batting .242 with four doubles, two home runs and eight walks.

Nationals Team Props

Nationals vs. Phillies Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Washington Nationals and the Philadelphia Phillies.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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