Phillies vs. Mets Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 10

The Philadelphia Phillies and New York Mets will meet on Wednesday at Citizens Bank Park, at 6:45 p.m. ET, with Kyle Schwarber and Juan Soto among those expected to step up at the plate. The Phillies are the favorite in this one, at -162, while the underdog Mets have +135 odds to win. Philadelphia is the run-line favorite (-1.5). A 7.5-run over/under is listed in the matchup.

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Mets game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Mets vs. Phillies Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the New York Mets and the Philadelphia Phillies.

Phillies vs. Mets Game Information & Odds

• When: Wednesday, September 10, 2025 at 6:45 p.m. ET
• Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
• How to watch on TV: NBCS-PH and SNY

Phillies vs. Mets Prediction

• Score Prediction: Phillies 4, Mets 3
• Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Phillies 55%, Mets 45%

Phillies vs. Mets Betting Insights

• This season, the Phillies have been favored 117 times and won 72, or 61.5%, of those games.
• Philadelphia has entered 60 games this season favored by -162 or more and is 43-17 in those contests.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Phillies have a 61.8% chance to win.
• The Mets have been victorious in 18, or 41.9%, of the 43 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• This season, New York has been a moneyline underdog of -162 or longer four times, losing every contest.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Mets have a 42.6% chance of walking away with the win.

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

• The Phillies have a 4-3 record from the seven games they were moneyline favorites over their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings, the Phillies and their opponents combined to go over the run total three times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
• The Phillies are 6-4-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Phillies Player Insights

• Schwarber leads the Phillies with 50 home runs and 123 runs batted in.
• Schwarber is second in home runs and first in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
• Bryce Harper is batting .263 with 30 doubles, 24 home runs and 58 walks.
• Among all major league hitters, Harper is 41st in homers and 71st in RBI.
• Bryson Stott is hitting .255 with 20 doubles, three triples, 10 home runs and 48 walks.
• Stott has at least one base hit in two games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .412 with a double, a home run, two walks and five RBIs.
• Nick Castellanos is hitting .253 with 26 doubles, two triples, 16 home runs and 29 walks.
• Castellanos is riding a four-game hitting streak into this one. In his last five games he is hitting .294 with a double, a triple, two walks and four RBIs.

Phillies Team Props

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• Over the past 10 games, the Mets have been underdogs twice and lost both games.
• The Mets and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Mets have three wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• Soto has launched a team-best 38 home runs.
• Among all hitters in the majors, Soto's home run total ranks seventh and his RBI tally ranks 11th.
• Francisco Lindor is hitting .264 with 32 doubles, 26 home runs and 54 walks.
• Lindor is currently 34th in home runs and 41st in RBI in the major leagues.
• Pete Alonso has the top batting average on the Mets (.269) and leads in runs batted in (113).
• Brandon Nimmo is hitting .263 with 27 doubles, 22 home runs and 48 walks.

Mets Team Props

Mets vs. Phillies Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the New York Mets and the Philadelphia Phillies.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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