Phillies vs. Mets Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 16

Updated May. 16, 2024 6:00 p.m. ET

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Bryson Stott and the Philadelphia Phillies will see Jose Quintana starting for the New York Mets in the final game of a four-game series, Thursday at 6:40 PM ET. The favored Phillies have -143 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Mets, who are listed at +122. Philadelphia is a 1.5-run favorite (at +140 odds). The over/under for the contest has been set at 8 runs.

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Mets game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Mets vs. Phillies Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best plays and moments as the New York Mets took on the Philadelphia Phillies.

Phillies vs. Mets Game Information & Odds

• When: Thursday, May 16, 2024 at 6:40 PM ET
• Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
• How to Watch on TV: MLB Network

Phillies vs. Mets Prediction

• Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Mets 4
• Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
• Win Probabilities: Phillies 57%, Mets 43%

Phillies vs. Mets Betting Insights

• This season, the Phillies have won 25 out of the 35 games, or 71.4%, in which they've been favored.
• Philadelphia has a record of 18-8, a 69.2% win rate, when favored by -143 or more by oddsmakers this season.
• The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 58.8% chance of a victory for the Phillies.
• The Mets have been victorious in seven, or 35%, of the 20 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• New York has a mark of 4-6 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +122 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Mets have an implied victory probability of 45% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

FINAL (11)

NYM 6 · PHI 5

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

New York Mets

NYM

+1.5

+119

O 8.5

Philadelphia Phillies

PHI

-1.5

-139

U 8.5

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

• The Phillies were the moneyline favorite for eight of their last 10 games, and they went 6-2 in those matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Phillies combined with their opponents to hit the over on the run total seven times.
• The Phillies' record against the spread is 7-3-0 over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Phillies Player Insights

• Alec Bohm is the Phillies RBI leader this season, knocking in 35 runs to go with his four home runs and .331 batting average.
• Of all hitters in baseball, Bohm's home run total places him 106th, and his RBI tally ranks him fourth.
• Bohm takes a hitting streak of two games into this game. In his last five games he is batting .273 with two doubles, a walk and three RBI.
• Bryce Harper has hit 10 home runs to lead his team.
• Harper is eighth in homers and 10th in RBI in the major leagues.
• Harper heads into this matchup looking for his fourth game in a row with a hit. In his last five games he is batting .318 with two doubles, a home run, three walks and four RBI.
• Stott has five doubles, two triples, four home runs and 23 walks while batting .276.
• Kyle Schwarber is hitting .225 with two doubles, nine home runs and 27 walks.
• Schwarber takes a two-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last five outings he is batting .313 with a double, three walks and four RBI.

Phillies Team Props

Learn more about this Phillies vs. Mets matchup on Fox Sports.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• The Mets have played as underdogs in seven of their past 10 games and have gone 2-5 in those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Mets and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times.
• The Mets have four wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• Pete Alonso has launched a team-high nine home runs.
• Among all hitters in the big leagues, Alonso's home run total is 15th and his RBI tally ranks 52nd.
• Francisco Lindor is hitting .200 with eight doubles, seven home runs and 15 walks.
• Among all major league hitters, Lindor is 37th in homers and 60th in RBI.
• Brandon Nimmo has a team-high 27 runs batted in.
• Starling Marte leads the team in batting average with a mark of .255.

Mets Team Props

Mets vs. Phillies Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best plays and moments as the New York Mets took on the Philadelphia Phillies.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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