
Phillies vs. Brewers Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 30
D.L. Hall takes the mound for the Milwaukee Brewers on Friday at Citizens Bank Park against Kyle Schwarber and the Philadelphia Phillies. First pitch is at 6:45 p.m. ET. The Phillies are -120 moneyline favorites in this matchup against the Brewers (+100). Milwaukee is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The over/under for the matchup is set at 9.5 runs.
Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Brewers game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.
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Red Sox vs. Brewers Highlights | MLB on FOX
Phillies vs. Brewers Game Information & Odds
- When: Friday, May 30, 2025 at 6:45 p.m. ET
- Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
- How to watch on TV: MLB Network, NBCS-PH, and FDSWI
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Run Line | Favorite Run Line Odds | Underdog Run Line Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies | -120 | +100 | 9.5 | -109 | -111 | -1.5 | -186 | +154 |
Phillies vs. Brewers Prediction
- Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Brewers 4
- Total Prediction: Over 9.5 runs
- Win Probabilities: Phillies 55%, Brewers 45%
Phillies vs. Brewers Betting Insights
- The Phillies have been favorites in 46 games this season and won 31 (67.4%) of those contests.
- Philadelphia has entered 39 games this season favored by -120 or more and is 29-10 in those contests.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Phillies have a 54.5% chance to win.
- The Brewers have been chosen as underdogs in 27 games this year and have walked away with the win eight times (29.6%) in those games.
- This year, Milwaukee has won five of 20 games when listed as at least +100 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Brewers have an implied victory probability of 50% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
Phillies Recent Betting Performance
- The Phillies went 8-1 over the nine games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
- In their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Phillies combined with their opponents to hit the over on the run total five times.
- The Phillies' ATS record is 6-4-0 over their past 10 games.
Phillies Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 8-2 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.4 |
| HR | 14 |
| ERA | 3.66 |
| K/9 | 9.5 |
Phillies Player Insights
- Schwarber has racked up a team-best 19 home runs and 41 runs batted in.
- Among all MLB hitters, Schwarber ranks 93rd in batting average, 10th in on-base percentage, and sixth in slugging.
- Schwarber brings a hitting streak of two games into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .263 with a double, two home runs, four walks and four RBIs.
- Bryce Harper has 13 doubles, eight home runs and 33 walks while hitting .267.
- Harper ranks 58th in homers and 27th in RBI among all batters in MLB.
- Trea Turner has racked up a team-best batting average of .302.
- Turner will look to build on his two-game hitting in this game. During his last five outings he is hitting .211 with a home run, three walks and five RBIs.
- Nick Castellanos has 14 doubles, four home runs and 13 walks while hitting .288.
- Castellanos is riding a three-game hitting streak into this one. In his last five games he is batting .444 with two doubles, three walks and two RBIs.
Phillies Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber | 0.5 (-175) | 1.5 (+125) | - | 0.5 (+120) |
| J.T. Realmuto | 0.5 (-225) | 1.5 (+125) | - | 0.5 (+170) |
| Bryson Stott | 0.5 (-230) | 1.5 (+135) | - | 0.5 (+195) |
| Trea Turner | 1.5 (+170) | 1.5 (+105) | - | 0.5 (+155) |
| Nick Castellanos | 1.5 (+190) | 1.5 (+105) | - | 0.5 (+145) |
Brewers Recent Betting Performance
- Over the past 10 games, the Brewers have been underdogs twice and split those games 1-1.
- When it comes to hitting the over, the Brewers and their opponents are 6-4-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
- Over their last 10 games, the Brewers are 6-4-0 against the spread.
Brewers Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.8 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 3.38 |
| K/9 | 9.4 |
Brewers Player Insights
- Jackson Chourio has 16 doubles, a triple, eight home runs and nine walks while hitting .241.
- Among all hitters in MLB, Chourio is 58th in homers and 58th in RBI.
- Sal Frelick's .294 batting average paces his team.
- Frelick ranks 199th in homers and 162nd in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
- William Contreras has six doubles, five home runs and 35 walks while batting .233.
- Brice Turang has five doubles, four home runs and 23 walks while batting .268.
Brewers Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Contreras | 0.5 (-275) | 1.5 (+105) | - | 0.5 (+115) |
| Sal Frelick | 0.5 (-220) | 1.5 (+145) | - | 0.5 (+170) |
| Jackson Chourio | 1.5 (+160) | 1.5 (-110) | - | 0.5 (+135) |
| Christian Yelich | 1.5 (+170) | 1.5 (-105) | - | 0.5 (+115) |
| Brice Turang | 1.5 (+185) | 1.5 (+120) | - | 0.5 (+200) |
Red Sox vs. Brewers Highlights | MLB on FOX
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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