Padres vs. Red Sox Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 9

Luis Arraez and the San Diego Padres will try to defeat Jarren Duran and the Boston Red Sox at PETCO Park on Saturday at 8:40 p.m. ET. The favored Padres have -138 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Red Sox, who are listed at +117. San Diego is a 1.5-run favorite (at +152 odds). A 7.5-run total is set for this contest.

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Padres-Red Sox game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Red Sox vs. Padres Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best highlights between the Boston Red Sox and San Diego Padres.

Padres vs. Red Sox Game Information & Odds

• When: Saturday, August 9, 2025 at 8:40 p.m. ET
• Where: PETCO Park in San Diego, California
• How to watch on TV: SDPA and NESN

Padres vs. Red Sox Prediction

• Score Prediction: Padres 5, Red Sox 4
• Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Padres 50%, Red Sox 50%

Padres vs. Red Sox Betting Insights

• The Padres have been favorites in 63 games this season and won 37 (58.7%) of those contests.
• This season San Diego has won 23 of its 38 games, or 60.5%, when favored by at least -138 on the moneyline.
• The Padres have a 58% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• The Red Sox have been chosen as underdogs in 43 games this year and have walked away with the win 21 times (48.8%) in those games.
• Boston has a mark of 8-11 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by +117 or worse on the moneyline.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Red Sox have a 46.1% chance of pulling out a win.

Padres Recent Betting Performance

• The Padres were the moneyline favorite in nine of their last 10 games, and they went 6-3 in those matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Padres combined with their opponents to go over the total five times.
• The Padres' record against the spread is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.

Padres Recent Stats

Padres Player Insights

• Manny Machado leads the Padres with 20 home runs and 72 runs batted in, while putting up a team-best batting average of .300.
• Including all MLB hitters, Machado is eighth in batting average, 26th in on-base percentage, and 19th in slugging.
• Fernando Tatis Jr. has 19 doubles, two triples, 17 home runs and 65 walks while hitting .258.
• Among all major league hitters, Tatis ranks 60th in home runs and 117th in RBI.
• Arraez is hitting .292 with 21 doubles, four triples, six home runs and 24 walks.
• Xander Bogaerts is hitting .269 with 25 doubles, nine home runs and 45 walks.

Padres Team Props

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

• The Red Sox have played as underdogs four times over their past 10 games and won each of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Red Sox and their opponents have combined to hit the over seven times.
• The Red Sox have a record of 8-2-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Red Sox Player Insights

• Duran paces the Red Sox with a .264 batting average.
• Duran ranks 119th in home runs and 37th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Duran has collected a hit in four straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .250 with a double, a home run, a walk and four RBIs.
• Ceddanne Rafaela is batting .262 with 23 doubles, three triples, 14 home runs and 18 walks.
• Rafaela is 93rd in home runs and 80th in RBI among all batters in MLB.
• Trevor Story has sent home a team-high 73 runs batted in.
• Wilyer Abreu has swatted a team-high 21 long balls.

Red Sox Team Props

Red Sox vs. Padres Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best highlights between the Boston Red Sox and San Diego Padres.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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