Mets vs. Reds Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 19

Juan Soto and the New York Mets play Austin Hays and the Cincinnati Reds on Saturday at 4:10 p.m. ET, in the second of a three-game series at Citi Field. The Mets are -183 moneyline favorites for this matchup with the Reds (+151). New York is a 1.5-run favorite (at +118 odds). The over/under for the game is listed at 8.5 runs.

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Mets-Reds game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Reds vs. Mets Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best highlights between the Cincinnati Reds and New York Mets.

Mets vs. Reds Game Information & Odds

• When: Saturday, July 19, 2025 at 4:10 p.m. ET
• Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
• How to watch on TV: MLB Network, SNY, and FDSOH

Mets vs. Reds Prediction

• Score Prediction: Mets 5, Reds 4
• Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Mets 54%, Reds 46%

Mets vs. Reds Betting Insights

• The Mets have entered the game as favorites 69 times this season and won 44, or 63.8%, of those games.
• New York has entered 22 games this season favored by -183 or more and is 18-4 in those contests.
• The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 64.7% chance of a victory for the Mets.
• The Reds have been chosen as underdogs in 53 games this year and have walked away with the win 28 times (52.8%) in those games.
• This year, Cincinnati has won three of 10 games when listed as at least +151 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Reds have an implied victory probability of 39.8% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• The Mets have a 4-3 record from the seven games they were moneyline favorites over their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 outings, the Mets and their opponents combined to go over the run total six times (all 10 games had set totals).
• The Mets have put together a 3-7-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• Soto leads the Mets with 24 dingers on the year. He's also hitting .262 with 57 RBI.
• Soto's home runs place him ninth in the majors, and he ranks 27th in RBI.
• Pete Alonso has a club-leading 77 runs batted in and .277 batting average.
• Alonso ranks 14th in homers and sixth in RBI on the season.
• Francisco Lindor has 18 doubles, 19 home runs and 33 walks while hitting .256.
• Brandon Nimmo is batting .262 with 18 doubles, 18 home runs and 30 walks.
• Nimmo has recorded at least one hit in two straight games. In his last five games he is hitting .353 with a double and four walks.

Mets Team Props

Reds Recent Betting Performance

• In three games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by sportsbooks, the Reds had a record of 1-2.
• When it comes to hitting the over, the Reds and their opponents are 2-7-1 in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Reds have won four of their last 10 games against the spread.

Reds Recent Stats

Reds Player Insights

• Elly De La Cruz leads the Reds with 18 home runs and 64 runs batted in, while recording a team-best batting average of .283.
• De La Cruz ranks 26th in homers and 14th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• De La Cruz has collected a hit in six games in a row. During his last 10 games he is batting .353 with three doubles, a triple, six walks and four RBIs.
• TJ Friedl is hitting .274 with 15 doubles, two triples, nine home runs and 46 walks.
• Friedl is 142nd in homers and 149th in RBI among all MLB batters this season.
• Spencer Steer is batting .248 with 15 doubles, a triple, 11 home runs and 25 walks.
• Matt McLain is batting .213 with 11 doubles, 11 home runs and 36 walks.

Reds Team Props

Reds vs. Mets Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best highlights between the Cincinnati Reds and New York Mets.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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