Mets vs. Red Sox Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 19

The Boston Red Sox and Rafael Devers hit the field against Juan Soto and the New York Mets on Monday, in the first game of a three-game series at Fenway Park. The Mets are listed as -131 moneyline favorites in this matchup with the Red Sox (+111). New York is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The over/under for the contest has been set at 9 runs.

Here is everything you need from a betting perspective on the Mets-Red Sox game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Braves vs. Red Sox Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Atlanta Braves and the Boston Red Sox.

Mets vs. Red Sox Game Information & Odds

• When: Monday, May 19, 2025 at 6:45 p.m. ET
• Where: Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts
• How to watch on TV: NESN and SNY

Mets vs. Red Sox Prediction

• Score Prediction: Mets 5, Red Sox 4
• Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
• Win Probabilities: Mets 51%, Red Sox 49%

Mets vs. Red Sox Betting Insights

• This season, the Mets have won 23 out of the 34 games, or 67.6%, in which they've been favored.
• New York has a record of 19-9, a 67.9% win rate, when favored by -131 or more by bookmakers this season.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mets have a 56.7% chance to win.
• The Red Sox have been victorious in five, or 38.5%, of the 13 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• Boston has a win-loss record of 2-3 when favored by +111 or worse by bookmakers this year.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Red Sox have a 47.4% chance of walking away with the win.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• The Mets have a 5-2 record over the seven games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Mets and their opponents combined to hit the over three times.
• The Mets have gone 4-6-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• Not only does Pete Alonso lead the Mets in hitting with his .301 average, he also is their foremost power hitter with nine home runs and 37 RBI.
• In all of MLB, Alonso ranks 27th in home runs and seventh in RBI.
• Soto has nine doubles, eight home runs and 37 walks while hitting .246.
• Including all major league hitters, Soto is 40th in homers and 97th in RBI.
• Francisco Lindor paces the Mets with nine home runs.
• Brandon Nimmo is hitting .225 with nine doubles, eight home runs and 15 walks.

Mets Team Props

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

• The Red Sox have played as underdogs in five of their past 10 games and have gone 2-3 in those contests.
• The Red Sox and their opponents have combined to hit the over six times in their last 10 games with a total.
• Over their last 10 games, the Red Sox are 5-5-0 against the spread.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Red Sox Player Insights

• Alexander Bregman leads the Red Sox with 11 homers while racking up a team-best batting average of .303.
• Bregman's home run total puts him 13th in MLB, and he ranks 10th in RBI.
• Devers has driven in the most runs for the Red Sox with 38 runs batted in.
• Devers is 27th overall in homers and fourth in RBI this season.
• Wilyer Abreu leads the Red Sox with 11 long balls.
• Jarren Duran is batting .263 with 10 doubles, five triples, three home runs and 12 walks.

Red Sox Team Props

Braves vs. Red Sox Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Atlanta Braves and the Boston Red Sox.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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