Mets vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 12

Francisco Lindor and the New York Mets will square off against Oneil Cruz and the Pittsburgh Pirates at Citi Field in the first of a three-game series, Monday at 7:10 p.m. ET. The Pirates are +139 moneyline underdogs in this matchup against the favorite Mets (-164). New York (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. The contest's over/under has been listed at 7 runs.

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Mets-Pirates game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Braves vs. Pirates Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the highlights as the Atlanta Braves took on the Pittsburgh Pirates in this regular season matchup.

Mets vs. Pirates Game Information & Odds

• When: Monday, May 12, 2025 at 7:10 p.m. ET
• Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
• How to watch on TV: SNY and SportsNet PT

Mets vs. Pirates Prediction

• Score Prediction: Mets 5, Pirates 3
• Total Prediction: Over 7 runs
• Win Probabilities: Mets 64%, Pirates 36%

Mets vs. Pirates Betting Insights

• The Mets have entered the game as favorites 31 times this season and won 21, or 67.7%, of those games.
• New York has a record of 8-4 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -164 on the moneyline.
• The Mets have a 62.1% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• The Pirates have been chosen as underdogs in 26 games this year and have walked away with the win nine times (34.6%) in those games.
• This season, Pittsburgh has come away with a win five times in 13 chances when named as an underdog of at least +139 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Pirates have an implied victory probability of 41.8% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• The Mets played as the moneyline favorite in eight of their last 10 games, and they went 4-4 in those matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings, the Mets and their opponents combined to hit the over five times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
• The Mets have put together a 4-6-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• Not only does Pete Alonso lead the Mets in hitting with his .320 average, he also paces the squad with nine home runs and 34 RBI.
• Alonso ranks 14th in home runs and second in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Alonso takes a hitting streak of three games into this game. During his last five outings he is hitting .143 with two doubles, a walk and an RBI.
• Lindor's nine home runs lead his team.
• Lindor is 14th in homers in baseball, and 20th in RBI.
• Lindor carries a four-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. During his last five outings he is hitting .381 with two doubles, two home runs, two walks and four RBIs.
• Juan Soto is batting .252 with nine doubles, eight home runs and 30 walks.
• Brandon Nimmo has six doubles, eight home runs and 13 walks while hitting .224.
• Nimmo brings a four-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last five outings he is batting .278 with a double, a home run, a walk and two RBIs.

Mets Team Props

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

• The Pirates have played as underdogs in six of their past 10 games and have gone 2-4 in those contests.
• When it comes to hitting the over, the Pirates and their opponents are 3-7-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Pirates have three wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Pirates Recent Stats

Pirates Player Insights

• Cruz has swatted a team-leading eight home runs.
• Cruz's home run total puts him 30th in the majors, and he ranks 90th in RBI.
• Andrew McCutchen is batting .252 with seven doubles, three home runs and 16 walks.
• McCutchen is 152nd in home runs and 146th in RBI among all batters in the majors.
• Bryan Reynolds has sent home a team-high 19 runs batted in.
• Ke'Bryan Hayes paces the Pirates with a .253 batting average.

Pirates Team Props

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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