Mets vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - June 27

The New York Mets and Brandon Nimmo will hit the field against the Pittsburgh Pirates and Spencer Horwitz on Friday at 6:40 p.m. ET, in the first game of a three-game series at PNC Park. The Mets are favored in this one, at -143, while the underdog Pirates have +120 odds to play spoiler. New York is a 1.5-run favorite (at +115 odds). The total is 8 runs for this contest.

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Mets-Pirates game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Keep up with MLB on FOX Sports.

Mets' pitcher Griffin Canning suffers apparent lower leg injury vs. Braves

New York Mets' pitcher Griffin Canning suffered an apparent lower leg injury against the Atlanta Braves.

Mets vs. Pirates Game Information & Odds

• When: Friday, June 27, 2025 at 6:40 p.m. ET
• Where: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
• How to watch on TV: SportsNet PT and SNY

Mets vs. Pirates Prediction

• Score Prediction: Mets 5, Pirates 4
• Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
• Win Probabilities: Mets 51%, Pirates 49%

Mets vs. Pirates Betting Insights

• This season, the Mets have won 39 out of the 57 games, or 68.4%, in which they've been favored.
• New York has a record of 25-12 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -143 on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 58.8% chance of a victory for the Mets.
• The Pirates have been underdogs in 56 games this season and have come away with the win 21 times (37.5%) in those contests.
• Pittsburgh has a mark of 11-27 in contests where bookmakers favor it by +120 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Pirates have an implied victory probability of 45.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• The Mets played three of their last 10 games as a moneyline favorite, and won all of them.
• Over their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Mets and their opponents combined to go over the run total five times.
• The Mets' ATS record is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• Juan Soto leads the Mets with 19 home runs.
• Soto is 11th in homers and 35th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Soto has collected a hit in two straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .267 with three home runs, four walks and four RBIs.
• Pete Alonso has 65 RBI while hitting .292. Both lead his team.
• Alonso ranks 13th in home runs and fourth in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Alonso enters this game looking for his fourth game in a row with a hit. In his last five games he is batting .263 with a double and an RBI.
• Francisco Lindor is hitting .265 with 14 doubles, 16 home runs and 28 walks.
• Nimmo is batting .251 with 14 doubles, 15 home runs and 25 walks.
• Nimmo is riding a two-game hitting streak into this one. In his last five games he is hitting .278 with a walk and an RBI.

Mets Team Props

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

• The Pirates have played as underdogs in six of their past 10 games and won one of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Pirates and their opponents have combined to hit the over seven times.
• The Pirates have a record of 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Pirates Recent Stats

Pirates Player Insights

• Oneil Cruz paces the Pirates with 13 home runs.
• Among all batters in MLB, Cruz ranks 39th in home runs and 117th in RBI.
• Andrew McCutchen has a club-best .259 batting average.
• McCutchen ranks 123rd in homers and 145th in RBI among all major league batters this season.
• Bryan Reynolds leads the Pirates with 39 runs batted in.
• Isiah Kiner-Falefa is hitting .273 with 10 doubles, two triples, a home run and 12 walks.

Pirates Team Props

Pirates vs. Brewers Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Pittsburgh Pirates and Milwaukee Brewers!

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

Want great stories delivered right to your inbox? Create or log in to your FOX Sports account, follow leagues, teams and players to receive a personalized newsletter daily.

FOLLOW Follow your favorites to personalize your FOX Sports experience

Pittsburgh Pirates

New York Mets