Mets vs. Phillies Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 27

Juan Soto and the New York Mets will meet Trea Turner and the Philadelphia Phillies on Wednesday at Citi Field, at 7:10 p.m. ET. The Phillies are +131 moneyline underdogs for this matchup with the favored Mets (-156). New York (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. The total is 8.5 runs for the contest (with -116 odds to go over and -104 odds to go under).

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Mets-Phillies game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Phillies vs. Mets Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between Philadelphia Phillies and the New York Mets.

Mets vs. Phillies Game Information & Odds

• When: Wednesday, August 27, 2025 at 7:10 p.m. ET
• Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
• How to watch on TV: SNY and NBCS-PH

Mets vs. Phillies Prediction

• Score Prediction: Mets 5, Phillies 4
• Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Mets 52%, Phillies 48%

Mets vs. Phillies Betting Insights

• The Mets have been favorites in 91 games this season and won 53 (58.2%) of those contests.
• New York has a record of 26-18, a 59.1% win rate, when favored by -156 or more by oddsmakers this season.
• The implied probability of a win from the Mets, based on the moneyline, is 60.9%.
• The Phillies have won in 10, or 41.7%, of the 24 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• This year, Philadelphia has won three of six games when listed as at least +131 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Phillies have a 43.3% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• The Mets were the moneyline favorite in five of their last 10 games, and went 2-3 in those matchups.
• In their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Mets combined with their opponents to hit the over on the run total six times.
• The Mets' ATS record is 7-3-0 over their past 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• Soto has gone yard 32 times this season, the highest mark on the Mets, while hitting .251 with 78 RBI.
• In all of the majors, Soto is seventh in home runs and 22nd in RBI.
• Soto takes a hitting streak of three games into this game. In his last five games he is hitting .353 with a home run, nine walks and six RBIs.
• Francisco Lindor has a club-leading .264 batting average.
• Lindor ranks 26th in home runs and 41st in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
• Pete Alonso paces the Mets in runs batted in (105) and has accumulated a team-best batting average of .264.
• Alonso has at least one base hit in two straight games. In his last five games he is hitting .280 with a double, a home run, a walk and four RBIs.
• Brandon Nimmo has 23 doubles, 20 home runs and 44 walks while hitting .254.
• Nimmo is riding a two-game hitting streak into this one. In his last five games he is batting .286 with two walks and four RBIs.

Mets Team Props

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

• Over the past 10 games, oddsmakers have not installed the Phillies as underdogs once.
• The Phillies and their opponents have combined to hit the over six times in their last 10 games with a total.
• Over their last 10 games, the Phillies are 5-5-0 against the spread.

Phillies Recent Stats

Phillies Player Insights

• Kyle Schwarber has put up a team-leading 45 home runs and has driven in 110 runs.
• In all of MLB, Schwarber ranks second in home runs and first in RBI.
• Turner has a club-high .298 batting average.
• Turner is currently 117th in home runs and 74th in RBI in the major leagues.
• Bryce Harper is batting .267 with 29 doubles, 21 home runs and 54 walks.
• Bryson Stott is batting .246 with 17 doubles, three triples, nine home runs and 45 walks.

Phillies Team Props

Phillies vs. Mets Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between Philadelphia Phillies and the New York Mets.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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