Mets vs. Orioles Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 9

David Peterson starts for the New York Mets on Wednesday at Oriole Park at Camden Yards against Ryan O'Hearn and the Baltimore Orioles. First pitch is at 7:05 p.m. ET for the second game of a three-game series. The Mets are favored in this one, at -167, while the underdog Orioles have +140 odds to upset. New York is a 1.5-run favorite (at -108 odds). The contest's total is set at 10 runs.

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Mets-Orioles game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Check out the best moments between New York Mets and Baltimore Orioles.

Mets vs. Orioles Game Information & Odds

• When: Wednesday, July 9, 2025 at 7:05 p.m. ET
• Where: Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland
• How to watch on TV: ESPN

Mets vs. Orioles Prediction

• Score Prediction: Mets 5, Orioles 4
• Total Prediction: Under 10 runs
• Win Probabilities: Mets 50%, Orioles 50%

Mets vs. Orioles Betting Insights

• The Mets have won 42, or 65.6%, of the 64 games they've played as favorites this season.
• New York has a record of 19-5 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -167 on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 62.5% chance of a victory for the Mets.
• The Orioles have won in 18, or 42.9%, of the 42 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• This season, Baltimore has come away with a win two times in 10 chances when named as an underdog of at least +140 or longer on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Orioles have a 41.7% chance of walking away with the win.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• The Mets played as the moneyline favorite in seven of their last 10 games, and went 3-4 in those matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups, the Mets and their opponents combined to go over the run total nine times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
• The Mets have put together a 2-8-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• Juan Soto has homered 21 times this season, the highest mark on the Mets, while hitting .269 with 52 RBI.
• Among all batters in baseball, Soto's home run total ranks him 10th, and his RBI tally puts him 34th.
• Pete Alonso has hit 21 home runs with 75 runs batted in while batting .290. Those stats all lead his team.
• Alonso ranks 10th in home runs in the majors, and third in RBI.
• Francisco Lindor is batting .260 with 17 doubles, 18 home runs and 31 walks.
• Lindor will look to build on his three-game hitting in this game. During his last five outings he is batting .250 with a double, a home run, two walks and five RBIs.
• Brandon Nimmo is batting .258 with 17 doubles, 18 home runs and 26 walks.

Mets Team Props

Orioles Recent Betting Performance

• The Orioles have played as underdogs in seven of their past 10 games and won four of those contests.
• The Orioles and their opponents have combined to hit the over six times in their last 10 games with a total.
• Over their last 10 games, the Orioles are 7-3-0 against the spread.

Orioles Recent Stats

Orioles Player Insights

• O'Hearn paces the Orioles with a .286 batting average.
• O'Hearn is 90th in homers and 139th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
• Gunnar Henderson is batting .270 with 17 doubles, three triples, 10 home runs and 31 walks.
• Henderson ranks 110th in home runs and 169th in RBI among all major league batters this season.
• Cedric Mullins leads the Orioles in home runs (13) and runs batted in (41).
• Jackson Holliday has 13 doubles, two triples, 12 home runs and 19 walks while hitting .263.

Orioles Team Props

Mets vs. Orioles Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between New York Mets and Baltimore Orioles.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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