Mets vs. Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 20

Brad Lord will take the mound for the Washington Nationals in the second of a three-game series against the New York Mets and Juan Soto on Wednesday at 6:45 p.m. ET. The favored Mets have -174 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Nationals, who are listed at +145. New York (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. The contest's total is set at 9 runs.

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Mets-Nationals game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Mets vs. Nationals Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the New York Mets and the Washington Nationals.

Mets vs. Nationals Game Information & Odds

• When: Wednesday, August 20, 2025 at 6:45 p.m. ET
• Where: Nationals Park in Washington D.C.
• How to watch on TV: MASN and SNY

Mets vs. Nationals Prediction

• Score Prediction: Mets 5, Nationals 4
• Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
• Win Probabilities: Mets 52%, Nationals 48%

Mets vs. Nationals Betting Insights

• This season, the Mets have won 52 out of the 87 games, or 59.8%, in which they've been favored.
• This season New York has won 23 of its 32 games, or 71.9%, when favored by at least -174 on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from the Mets, based on the moneyline, is 63.5%.
• The Nationals have been underdogs in 108 games this season and have come away with the win 46 times (42.6%) in those contests.
• This year, Washington has won 16 of 41 games when listed as at least +145 or worse on the moneyline.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Nationals have a 40.8% chance of pulling out a win.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• The Mets went 2-3 across the five games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings, the Mets and their opponents combined to hit the over six times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
• The Mets have a 5-5-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• Soto's 31 homers in 2025 are the most on the Mets. He's also driven in 72 runs while hitting .251.
• In all of the majors, Soto is seventh in home runs and 26th in RBI.
• Francisco Lindor has 26 doubles, 24 home runs and 41 walks while hitting .258.
• Lindor ranks 26th in homers and 29th in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
• Lindor carries a seven-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .357 with four doubles, three home runs, four walks and seven RBIs.
• Pete Alonso paces the Mets with 100 runs batted in while putting up a team-high batting average of .265.
• Brandon Nimmo is batting .255 with 23 doubles, 20 home runs and 43 walks.
• Nimmo brings a seven-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last 10 games he is hitting .263 with two doubles, a home run, six walks and five RBIs.

Mets Team Props

Nationals Recent Betting Performance

• The Nationals have played as underdogs in 10 of their past 10 games and have gone 5-5 in those contests.
• When it comes to hitting the over, the Nationals and their opponents are 4-3-3 in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Nationals have a record of 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Nationals Recent Stats

Nationals Player Insights

• C.J. Abrams leads the team in batting average with a mark of .267.
• Among all hitters in the big leagues, Abrams' home run total is 80th and his RBI tally is 121st.
• James Wood has hit 25 home runs with 80 runs batted in, leading the team in both categories.
• Wood is 19th among all batters in the majors in homers, and 16th in RBI.
• Luis Garcia has 24 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 23 walks while batting .263.
• Josh Bell is hitting .228 with 12 doubles, a triple, 15 home runs and 48 walks.

Nationals Team Props

Mets vs. Nationals Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the New York Mets and the Washington Nationals.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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