Mets vs. Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks - April 28

Griffin Alexander Canning and Trevor Williams will each get the start when the New York Mets and the Washington Nationals face off on Monday at Nationals Park, at 4:05 p.m. ET. The Nationals are +148 moneyline underdogs in this matchup with the favored Mets (-177). New York is favored on the run line (-1.5 with -112 odds). The over/under is 9.5 runs for this matchup (with -113 odds to hit the over and -107 odds to go under).

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Mets-Nationals game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Mets vs. Nationals Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the New York Mets and the Washington Nationals.

Mets vs. Nationals Game Information & Odds

• When: Monday, April 28, 2025 at 4:05 p.m. ET
• Where: Nationals Park in Washington D.C.
• How to watch on TV: MLB Network, MASN2, and SNY

Mets vs. Nationals Prediction

• Score Prediction: Mets 5, Nationals 4
• Total Prediction: Under 9.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Mets 52%, Nationals 48%

Mets vs. Nationals Betting Insights

• This season, the Mets have been favored 21 times and won 15, or 71.4%, of those games.
• New York has a record of 7-2, a 77.8% win rate, when favored by -177 or more by sportsbooks this season.
• The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 63.9% chance of a victory for the Mets.
• The Nationals have been victorious in 11, or 50%, of the 22 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• This year, Washington has won four of seven games when listed as at least +148 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Nationals have an implied victory probability of 40.3% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• The Mets have a 6-2 record from the eight games they were moneyline favorites over their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 outings, the Mets and their opponents combined to go over the total four times (all 10 games had set totals).
• The Mets have a 6-4-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• Peter Morgan Alonso paces the Mets with six home runs and 26 runs batted in, while accumulating a team-high batting average of .333.
• Among all hitters in MLB, Alonso is 24th in homers and third in RBI.
• Alonso brings a hitting streak of two games into this game. During his last five outings he is hitting .294 with two doubles, four walks and two RBI.
• Francisco Lindor has four doubles, five home runs and eight walks while hitting .312.
• Lindor ranks 36th in home runs and 61st in RBI among all batters in baseball.
• Lindor has two straight games with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .429 with a walk and an RBI.
• Juan Soto is hitting .248 with six doubles, three home runs and 21 walks.
• Brandon Nimmo is batting .192 with three doubles, four home runs and seven walks.

Mets Team Props

Nationals Recent Betting Performance

• In seven games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Nationals have a record of 5-2.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Nationals and their opponents are 2-8-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
• The Nationals have a record of 6-4-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Nationals Recent Stats

Nationals Player Insights

• James Wood paces the Nationals in home runs (eight) and runs batted in (19).
• Among all hitters in MLB, Wood ranks sixth in home runs and 18th in RBI.
• Wood has collected a hit in three games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .278 with a double, a home run, four walks and two RBI.
• Keibert Ruiz is batting .297 to lead the lineup.
• Ruiz is 144th overall in homers and 77th in RBI this season.
• Luis Garcia has four doubles, a home run and seven walks while hitting .247.
• Alex Call is batting .327 with three doubles, a triple and 11 walks.

Nationals Team Props

Mets vs. Nationals Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the New York Mets and the Washington Nationals.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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