Mets vs. Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks - April 25

The New York Mets and Washington Nationals will play on Friday at Nationals Park, at 6:45 p.m. ET, with Peter Morgan Alonso and James Wood -- two hot hitters -- expected to produce at the plate. The favored Mets have -186 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Nationals, who are listed at +155. New York (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. The over/under is 9.5 runs for this matchup (with +100 odds to hit the over and -121 odds on the under).

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Mets-Nationals game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Mets vs. Nationals Game Information & Odds

• When: Friday, April 25, 2025 at 6:45 p.m. ET
• Where: Nationals Park in Washington D.C.
• How to watch on TV: MASN and SNY

Mets vs. Nationals Prediction

• Score Prediction: Mets 5, Nationals 4
• Total Prediction: Under 9.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Mets 54%, Nationals 46%

Mets vs. Nationals Betting Insights

• This season, the Mets have been favored 18 times and won 14, or 77.8%, of those games.
• New York has a record of 6-1 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -186 on the moneyline.
• The Mets have a 65% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• The Nationals have been underdogs in 19 games this season and have come away with the win nine times (47.4%) in those contests.
• Washington has been listed as an underdog of +155 or more on two occasions this season and lost both games.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Nationals have a 39.2% chance of pulling out a win.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• The Mets have a 5-1 record across the six games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Mets combined with their opponents to hit the over on the run total four times.
• The Mets have put together a 7-3-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• Alonso leads the Mets with six home runs and 26 runs batted in, while racking up a team-best batting average of .341.
• Alonso's home runs place him 18th in MLB, and he ranks second in RBI.
• Alonso has collected a hit in six games in a row. During his last 10 games he is hitting .368 with five doubles, a triple, two home runs, five walks and eight RBI.
• Francisco Lindor is hitting .309 with four doubles, five home runs and eight walks.
• Lindor ranks 32nd in homers and 44th in RBI in the bigs.
• Lindor carries a four-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last five games he is hitting .476 with three home runs, two walks and six RBI.
• Juan Soto is hitting .233 with five doubles, three home runs and 19 walks.
• Brandon Nimmo is hitting .196 with three doubles, four home runs and seven walks.

Mets Team Props

Nationals Recent Betting Performance

• In seven games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Nationals have a record of 4-3.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Nationals and their opponents are 2-8-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
• The Nationals have five wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Nationals Recent Stats

Nationals Player Insights

• Wood has swatted a team-high eight long balls.
• Wood is fourth in home runs and 18th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
• Keibert Ruiz's .321 batting average paces his team.
• Ruiz is 131st in home runs and 54th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Nate Lowe has a team-best 19 runs batted in.
• Joshua Evan Bell has a triple, four home runs and 11 walks while batting .148.

Nationals Team Props

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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