Mets vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - April 1

Mets vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - April 1

Updated Apr. 1, 2025 6:00 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

Francisco Lindor and the New York Mets will play Xavier Edwards and the Miami Marlins on Tuesday at loanDepot park, at 6:40 p.m. ET. The favored Mets have -159 moneyline odds against the underdog Marlins, who are listed at +134. New York is a 1.5-run favorite (at +108 odds). The over/under is 7.5 runs for this contest (with -120 odds on the over and +100 odds on the under).

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Mets-Marlins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Keep up with MLB on FOX Sports.

Mets lose to Astros, Can Juan Soto lead New York to the World Series? | Breakfast Ball

The New York Mets lost to the Houston Astros after Juan Soto struck out in a pivotal at-bat. Craig Carton, Danny Parkins, Greg Jennings, and John Smoltz discuss Soto’s potential as a Met and if he can lead them to the World Series.
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Mets vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds

  • When: Tuesday, April 1, 2025 at 6:40 p.m. ET
  • Where: loanDepot park in Miami, Florida
  • How to watch on TV: FDSFL and SNY
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Mets -159 +134 7.5 -120 +100 -1.5 +108 -129

Mets vs. Marlins Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Mets 5, Marlins 2
  • Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Mets 69%, Marlins 31%

Mets vs. Marlins Betting Insights

  • The Mets won 58 of the 95 games they were the moneyline favorite last season (61.1%).
  • New York had a record of 15-6 when it played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -159 or shorter last year (71.4%).
  • Based on this game's moneyline, the Mets have an implied win probability of 61.4%.
  • The Marlins were underdogs in 145 games last season and won 58 (40%) of those contests.
FINAL
NYM 2 · MIA 4
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
New York Mets
NYM
Miami Marlins
MIA

Mets Player Insights

  • Juan Soto hit 41 home runs last season, drove in 109 runs and posted a .288 batting average.
  • Lindor collected 169 hits, posted an OBP of .344, and a .500 SLG.
  • Pete Alonso finished last season with 34 home runs, 88 RBI and a batting average of .240.
  • Brandon Nimmo hit .224 with an OBP of .327, and a slugging percentage of .399.

Mets Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Pete Alonso 0.5 (-210) 1.5 (+130) - 0.5 (+155)
Juan Soto 0.5 (-215) 1.5 (+120) - 0.5 (+160)
Brandon Nimmo 0.5 (-220) 1.5 (+125) - 0.5 (+140)
Francisco Lindor 1.5 (+195) 1.5 (-105) - 0.5 (+160)
Mark Vientos 0.5 (-195) 0.5 (-195) - 0.5 (+150)

Marlins Player Insights

  • Otto Lopez hit .270 last season with 23 doubles, a triple, six home runs and 25 walks.
  • Edwards had 12 doubles, five triples, a home run and 33 walks while batting .328.
  • Jonah Bride hit .276 last season with 10 doubles, 11 home runs and 30 walks.
  • Nick Fortes had 16 doubles, four home runs and 11 walks while batting .227.

Marlins Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Xavier Edwards 0.5 (-250) 1.5 (+140) - 0.5 (+275)
Otto Lopez 0.5 (-235) 1.5 (+140) - 0.5 (+190)
Nick Fortes 0.5 (-115) 0.5 (-115) - 0.5 (+280)
Matt Mervis 0.5 (-125) 0.5 (-125) - 0.5 (+185)
Kyle Stowers 0.5 (-135) 0.5 (-135) - 0.5 (+230)

Mets lose to Astros, Can Juan Soto lead New York to the World Series? | Breakfast Ball

The New York Mets lost to the Houston Astros after Juan Soto struck out in a pivotal at-bat. Craig Carton, Danny Parkins, Greg Jennings, and John Smoltz discuss Soto’s potential as a Met and if he can lead them to the World Series.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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Miami Marlins
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