Mets vs. Giants Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 3

Juan Soto and the New York Mets face Jung Hoo Lee and the San Francisco Giants at Citi Field on Sunday. First pitch is at 1:40 p.m. ET. Oddsmakers list the Mets as -165 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the underdog Giants +138 moneyline odds. New York (-1.5) is favored on the run line. The total is 8.5 runs for this matchup (with -119 odds on the over and -101 odds on the under).

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Mets-Giants game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Giants vs. Mets Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the San Francisco Giants and New York Mets.

Mets vs. Giants Game Information & Odds

• When: Sunday, August 3, 2025 at 1:40 p.m. ET
• Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
• How to watch on TV: MLB Network, SNY, and NBCS-BA

Mets vs. Giants Prediction

• Score Prediction: Mets 6, Giants 5
• Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Mets 54%, Giants 46%

Mets vs. Giants Betting Insights

• This season, the Mets have been favored 78 times and won 50, or 64.1%, of those games.
• New York has a record of 25-7, a 78.1% win rate, when favored by -165 or more by sportsbooks this season.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 62.3% chance of a victory for the Mets.
• The Giants have been victorious in 21, or 47.7%, of the 44 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• San Francisco has a mark of 2-5 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +138 or worse on the moneyline.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Giants have a 42% chance of pulling out a win.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• The Mets were the moneyline favorite in six of their last 10 games, and they finished 4-2 in those matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings, the Mets and their opponents combined to go over the run total three times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
• The Mets' record against the spread is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• Soto has homered 25 times this season, the highest mark on the Mets, while hitting .247 with 63 RBI.
• Soto's home runs place him 10th in the majors, and he ranks 30th in RBI.
• Soto has collected a hit in two games in a row. During his last five outings he is hitting .158 with a home run, a walk and two RBIs.
• Pete Alonso's 86 runs batted in and .262 batting average both lead his team.
• Among all MLB hitters, Alonso is 12th in homers and fourth in RBI.
• Alonso has two straight games with at least one hit. In his last five games he is hitting .176 with a double, two home runs, three walks and five RBIs.
• Francisco Lindor is hitting .251 with 21 doubles, 20 home runs and 35 walks.
• Lindor is on a two-game hitting streak entering this contest. During his last five outings he is hitting .286 with two doubles, a walk and four RBIs.
• Brandon Nimmo is hitting .261 with 21 doubles, 19 home runs and 34 walks.

Mets Team Props

Giants Recent Betting Performance

• The Giants have played as underdogs in five of their past 10 games and won three of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Giants and their opponents have failed to hit the over six times.
• Over their last 10 games, the Giants are 4-6-0 against the spread.

Giants Recent Stats

Giants Player Insights

• Rafael Devers has put up a team-leading 19 home runs and has driven in 73 runs.
• Among all batters in MLB, Devers' home run total is 33rd and his RBI tally is 11th.
• Lee is hitting .251 with 24 doubles, eight triples, six home runs and 37 walks.
• Lee is 222nd in homers and 108th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Willy Adames is batting .235 with 18 doubles, two triples, 17 home runs and 51 walks.
• Heliot Ramos leads the team in batting average with a high-water mark of .266.

Giants Team Props

Giants vs. Mets Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the San Francisco Giants and New York Mets.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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