Mets vs. Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds, Picks - April 29

Mets vs. Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds, Picks - April 29

Updated Apr. 29, 2025 7:01 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

The New York Mets will send a hot-hitting Francisco Lindor to the plate against the Arizona Diamondbacks and Eugenio Suarez, who has been on a tear as of late, when the teams take the field on Tuesday at 7:10 p.m. ET. The Diamondbacks are listed as +120 moneyline underdogs for this matchup against the favored Mets (-142). New York is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The over/under is 8 runs for the contest (with -119 odds to hit the over and -102 odds to go under).

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Mets-Diamondbacks game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Mets vs. Diamondbacks Game Information & Odds

  • When: Tuesday, April 29, 2025 at 7:10 p.m. ET
  • Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
  • How to watch on TV: MLB Network, SNY, and ARID
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Mets -142 +120 8 -119 -102 -1.5 +145 -175

Mets vs. Diamondbacks Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Mets 4, Diamondbacks 3
  • Total Prediction: Under 8 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Mets 56%, Diamondbacks 44%

Mets vs. Diamondbacks Betting Insights

  • The Mets have entered the game as favorites 22 times this season and won 16, or 72.7%, of those games.
  • New York has entered 16 games this season favored by -142 or more and is 12-4 in those contests.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mets have a 58.7% chance to win.
  • The Diamondbacks have come away with four wins in the seven contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • Arizona has played as an underdog of +120 or more just one time this year and came away with a win in that game.
  • The Diamondbacks have an implied victory probability of 45.5% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

  • The Mets went 6-2 across the eight games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
  • Over their last 10 outings, the Mets and their opponents combined to go over the run total five times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
  • The Mets' record against the spread is 6-4-0 over their past 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 8-2
Runs Per Game 6.1
HR 13
ERA 3.23
K/9 9.8

Mets Player Insights

  • Pete Alonso paces the Mets in home runs (six), runs batted in (27) and has a team-high batting average of .337.
  • Among all MLB hitters, Alonso is seventh in batting average, third in on-base percentage, and third in slugging.
  • Alonso has collected a hit in three straight games. In his last five games he is hitting .278 with a double, five walks and two RBI.
  • Juan Soto is hitting .257 with seven doubles, three home runs and 21 walks.
  • Soto ranks 101st in homers and 103rd in RBI on the year.
  • Soto carries a two-game streak with at least one hit into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .368 with two doubles and three walks.
  • Lindor has four doubles, five home runs and eight walks while hitting .304.
  • Brandon Nimmo has hit six home runs to lead his team.

Mets Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Pete Alonso 0.5 (-215) 1.5 (+120) - 0.5 (+145)
Mark Vientos 0.5 (-205) 1.5 (+130) - 0.5 (+135)
Juan Soto 0.5 (-220) 1.5 (+125) - 0.5 (+165)
Francisco Lindor 0.5 (-250) 1.5 (+115) - 0.5 (+165)
Tyrone Taylor 0.5 (-195) 0.5 (-195) - 0.5 (+200)

Diamondbacks Recent Betting Performance

  • In four games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Diamondbacks have a record of 2-2.
  • The Diamondbacks and their opponents have combined to hit the over eight times in their last 10 games with a total.
  • Over their last 10 games, the Diamondbacks are 4-6-0 against the spread.

Diamondbacks Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 5.2
HR 16
ERA 4.69
K/9 9.2

Diamondbacks Player Insights

  • Corbin Carroll has put up a team-leading 23 runs batted in.
  • Among all hitters in the big leagues, Carroll's home run total is third and his RBI tally is ninth.
  • Geraldo Perdomo is hitting .253 with four doubles, four home runs and 21 walks.
  • Among all major league hitters, Perdomo is 62nd in home runs and 14th in RBI.
  • Josh Naylor has racked up a team-best batting average of .318.
  • Suarez has swatted a team-leading 10 long balls.

Diamondbacks Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Randal Grichuk 0.5 (-235) 1.5 (+135) - 0.5 (+170)
Geraldo Perdomo 0.5 (-255) 1.5 (+155) - 0.5 (+250)
Gabriel Moreno 0.5 (-225) 1.5 (+160) - 0.5 (+225)
Eugenio Suárez 0.5 (-195) 1.5 (+135) - 0.5 (+160)
Corbin Carroll 0.5 (-240) 1.5 (+135) - 0.5 (+195)

Mets vs. Nationals Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the New York Mets and the Washington Nationals!

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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