Mets vs. Cardinals Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 3

Pete Alonso and the New York Mets will try to beat Masyn Winn and the St. Louis Cardinals when the teams square off on Saturday at 2:15 p.m. ET. Bookmakers list the Mets as -118 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the underdog Cardinals -102 moneyline odds to win. New York is favored on the run line (-1.5). A 7.5-run total is listed in this contest.

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Mets-Cardinals game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Mets vs. Cardinals Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the New York Mets and the St. Louis Cardinals.

Mets vs. Cardinals Game Information & Odds

• When: Saturday, May 3, 2025 at 2:15 p.m. ET
• Where: Busch Stadium in St. Louis, Missouri
• How to watch on TV: FDSMW and SNY

Mets vs. Cardinals Prediction

• Score Prediction: Mets 6, Cardinals 5
• Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Mets 51%, Cardinals 49%

Mets vs. Cardinals Betting Insights

• The Mets have been favorites in 25 games this season and won 18 (72%) of those contests.
• New York has a record of 18-6 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -118 on the moneyline.
• The Mets have a 54.1% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• The Cardinals have come away with 10 wins in the 23 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• St. Louis has a mark of 4-11 in contests where bookmakers favor it by -102 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Cardinals have an implied victory probability of 50.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• The Mets have a 4-3 record across the seven games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups, the Mets and their opponents combined to hit the over four times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
• The Mets' ATS record is 7-3-0 over their past 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• Not only does Alonso lead the Mets in hitting with his .345 average, he also is their foremost power hitter with eight home runs and 30 RBI.
• Among all MLB hitters, Alonso ranks third in batting average, second in on-base percentage, and second in slugging.
• Alonso has collected a hit in two straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .412 with two home runs, six walks and four RBI.
• Juan Soto is batting .258 with eight doubles, five home runs and 24 walks.
• Soto ranks 52nd in home runs in MLB, and 95th in RBI.
• Soto carries a two-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. During his last five outings he is hitting .316 with two doubles, two home runs, three walks and two RBI.
• Francisco Lindor is hitting .295 with five doubles, six home runs and 10 walks.
• Brandon Nimmo is batting .229 with four doubles, seven home runs and nine walks.

Mets Team Props

Cardinals Recent Betting Performance

• In six games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Cardinals have a record of 3-3.
• The Cardinals and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Cardinals are 3-7-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Cardinals Recent Stats

Cardinals Player Insights

• Lars Nootbaar leads the Cardinals in home runs (five) and runs batted in (18).
• Nootbaar's home run total places him 52nd in the big leagues, and he is 38th in RBI.
• Brendan Donovan has a club-leading .333 batting average.
• Donovan is currently 120th in homers and 48th in RBI in the big leagues.
• Nolan Arenado is batting .237 with nine doubles, three home runs and 14 walks.
• Victor Scott II is hitting .273 with five doubles, a triple, two home runs and 10 walks.

Cardinals Team Props

Mets vs. Cardinals Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the New York Mets and the St. Louis Cardinals.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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