Mets vs. Cardinals Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 2

Juan Soto and Brendan Donovan will be among the stars on display when the New York Mets face the St. Louis Cardinals on Friday at 8:15 p.m. ET, at Busch Stadium. The Cardinals are -102 moneyline underdogs in this matchup against the favored Mets (-118). New York is favored on the run line (-1.5). The contest's over/under has been listed at 7.5 runs.

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Mets-Cardinals game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Mets vs. Cardinals Game Information & Odds

• When: Friday, May 2, 2025 at 8:15 p.m. ET
• Where: Busch Stadium in St. Louis, Missouri
• How to watch on TV: FDSMW and SNY

Mets vs. Cardinals Prediction

• Score Prediction: Mets 5, Cardinals 4
• Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Mets 50%, Cardinals 50%

Mets vs. Cardinals Betting Insights

• This season, the Mets have been favored 24 times and won 17, or 70.8%, of those games.
• This season New York has won 17 of its 23 games, or 73.9%, when favored by at least -118 on the moneyline.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mets have a 54.1% chance to win.
• The Cardinals have won in 10, or 45.5%, of the 22 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• This year, St. Louis has won four of 15 games when listed as at least -102 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Cardinals have an implied victory probability of 50.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• The Mets went 4-3 across the seven games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Mets combined with their opponents to go over the run total four times.
• The Mets' record against the spread is 6-4-0 over their past 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• Pete Alonso paces the Mets with seven home runs and 28 runs batted in, while accumulating a team-high batting average of .342.
• Alonso's home runs rank him 22nd in the majors, and he is fourth in RBI.
• Soto is hitting .252 with seven doubles, five home runs and 24 walks.
• Soto is 49th in homers in baseball, and 90th in RBI.
• Francisco Lindor is hitting .298 with five doubles, six home runs and nine walks.
• Brandon Nimmo has four doubles, six home runs and seven walks while hitting .209.

Mets Team Props

Cardinals Recent Betting Performance

• The Cardinals have played as underdogs in six of their past 10 games and won three of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Cardinals and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times.
• The Cardinals have four wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Cardinals Recent Stats

Cardinals Player Insights

• Lars Nootbaar leads the Cardinals in home runs (five) and runs batted in (18).
• Among all batters in MLB, Nootbaar is 49th in home runs and 35th in RBI.
• Donovan's .333 batting average leads his team.
• Donovan ranks 117th in home runs and 45th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Nolan Arenado is batting .245 with nine doubles, three home runs and 14 walks.
• Victor Scott II is hitting .271 with five doubles, a triple, two home runs and 10 walks.

Cardinals Team Props

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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